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  #41  
Old 11-05-12, 01:54
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Originally Posted by Ferminal View Post
Parker is the U19 3000m WR holder.

It will be hard for Hepburn to find races where he can play for himself. If Durbridge has the same calendar it will lock out all the ****ty little races decided by an ITT, he will probably not be strong enough (yet) anyway. Should almost target prologues only for his first year.
I'm not too sure, Durbridge can't attack or sprint the way Hepburn can, although he is much better in the ITT. Look back at Hepburn's performances at L'Avenir (before he got kicked off) to see what I mean.
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  #42  
Old 11-05-12, 02:05
Ferminal Ferminal is offline
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I agree, but it takes a lot longer to be competitive in those areas as instead of 150km it's after 200km, more hills, and you're up against 10 year pros. Not only that but you need to win the backing of your own team first. Dominate an ITT and you give them no choice.

Unless your Sagan or Moser it's just not happening.
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  #43  
Old 11-05-12, 02:28
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I agree, but it takes a lot longer to be competitive in those areas as instead of 150km it's after 200km, more hills, and you're up against 10 year pros. Not only that but you need to win the backing of your own team first. Dominate an ITT and you give them no choice.

Unless your Sagan or Moser it's just not happening.
Certainly, however I do think he is a similar rider to those guys. From what I've seen he could become the type of rider everyone was expecting Michael Matthews to be. Greenedge could do worse than show him some confidence in smaller .1 and HC races.
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  #44  
Old 11-05-12, 03:48
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Michael Matthews will have a great year next year at OGE (like Gerrans, Albasini, Davis), just watch. He is more of a pure sprinter than Hepburn, whereas Hepburn is more versatile. Hepburn could be good at the cobbles as he has a good sprint and a good motor. He cannot climb as well as Sagan though.

Matthews just did not get to ride a GT and would only go good at the TDU and some smaller Spanish races.
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  #45  
Old 11-05-12, 04:01
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It's interesting to look back on some of their past lists (going back to 2004).
Kohl and Haussler are a bit low. So is Nibali (though he might have been so low because of his age), Gerdermann (before the crash) and Greipel.

In 2006 Goss is before Cavendish . I know Vanendert has the real chance of winning an Ardennes but ahead of Martin

I also can't see Andy in 06 or 07.
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I'd agree with you but then we'd both be wrong

It's not the size of the dog in the fight, it's the size of the fight in the dog

The Grand Boucle wasn't just Europe's for the taking.

@TheYoungest: "We might as well get dropped"

Quote:Originally Posted by Vino attacks everyone
"Has Porte ever dropped Nibali in any mountain?"
D&C "He will soon......"
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  #46  
Old 11-05-12, 07:33
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Originally Posted by greenedge View Post
Kohl and Haussler are a bit low. So is Nibali (though he might have been so low because of his age), Gerdermann (before the crash) and Greipel.

In 2006 Goss is before Cavendish . I know Vanendert has the real chance of winning an Ardennes but ahead of Martin

I also can't see Andy in 06 or 07.
That's because Andy turned pro in 2005. The list is for U23 riders only.
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  #47  
Old 11-05-12, 08:07
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Have not read through this thread.. but Barguil is an obvious one, also I believe Cattaneo should hopefully make a breakthrough, Litsenko, a dark horse could be Joshua Edmonson, but that is probably more wishful thinking and he anyways will probably only feature in a very limited amount of races. Otherwise their is still time for last year's predictions of Novikov and Silin to prove their worth this year.. Other obvious ones include Dombrowski and possibly Zakarin, who was been hindered by his doping ban.

In terms of the TPers, well much has been said about the Aussies and of course Bobridge though by no means a surprise should finally start to prove his immense talent though he is at Rabo. Hepburn has been in the shadow of Durbo and Bobridge but he is certainly talented. But Kennaugh is someone who has been labelled by the Sky management as a rider with bagloads of potential, his career on the road so far has been hindered by the track so this season will tell us a lot about him.
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  #48  
Old 11-05-12, 08:28
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although i doubt that they get onto the big road stage before 2014 prober, i'd peg Lasse Norman Hansen and a few other of the danish youth track team (Rasmus Quaade in peticular, European U23 TT Champ this year) as raising stars in the near future as several of them have expressed a wish to switch to road as primary focus in the near future
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  #49  
Old 11-05-12, 10:53
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Quote:
Originally Posted by greenedge View Post
Kohl and Haussler are a bit low. So is Nibali (though he might have been so low because of his age), Gerdermann (before the crash) and Greipel.

In 2006 Goss is before Cavendish . I know Vanendert has the real chance of winning an Ardennes but ahead of Martin

I also can't see Andy in 06 or 07.
nibali turned pro in 2005 at 20 years of age, same for andy so they pretty muck skipped the u23 ranks.
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  #50  
Old 11-05-12, 12:12
FF'Wilco FF'Wilco is offline
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Edmondson will shine in u23 together with Lecuisinier.
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