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  #21  
Old 11-21-12, 16:22
burning burning is offline
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ferrari will be the best sprinter of the year
I'd love to see that
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  #22  
Old 11-21-12, 17:12
maltiv maltiv is offline
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Interesting to see that year after year 85% only pick "big guns" for all podium spots. Yet we see every year that we get surprise winners more often not - see Iglinskyi, Gerrans, Hesjedal, Zaugg...Anyway, some random predictions:

MSR: 1. Sagan 2. Kristoff 3. Degenkolb
RVV: 1. Cancellara 2. Sagan 3. EBH
P-R: 1. Boonen 2. Cancellara 3. Hushovd
AGR: 1. EBH 2. Gilbert 3. Sagan
F-W: 1. Rodriguez 2. Henao 3. Contador
L-B-L: 1. Hesjedal 2. Nordhaug 3. Nibali

Giro: 1. Nibali 2. Hesjedal 3. Wiggins
TDF: 1. Contador 2. Froome 3. Pinot
Vuelta. 1. Contador 2. Henao 3. Costa

Worlds RR: 1. Cancellara 2. EBH 3. Gilbert
Worlds ITT: 1. Tony Martin 2. Cancellara 3. Phinney

Lombardy: 1. Gilbert 2. Henao 3. Löfkvist
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  #23  
Old 11-21-12, 17:24
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Parrulo Parrulo is offline
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Originally Posted by maltiv View Post
Vuelta. 1. Contador 2. Henao 3. Costa
jesus maltiv i know you are going for a couple of surprises but costa getting a podium at a GT is a bit too far fetched.

winning LBL, the worlds or the GdL would still be a surprise result but within the realms of reality
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  #24  
Old 11-21-12, 17:42
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El Pistolero El Pistolero is offline
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Originally Posted by maltiv View Post
Interesting to see that year after year 85% only pick "big guns" for all podium spots. Yet we see every year that we get surprise winners more often not - see Iglinskyi, Gerrans, Hesjedal, Zaugg...Anyway, some random predictions:

MSR: 1. Sagan 2. Kristoff 3. Degenkolb
RVV: 1. Cancellara 2. Sagan 3. EBH
P-R: 1. Boonen 2. Cancellara 3. Hushovd
AGR: 1. EBH 2. Gilbert 3. Sagan
F-W: 1. Rodriguez 2. Henao 3. Contador
L-B-L: 1. Hesjedal 2. Nordhaug 3. Nibali

Giro: 1. Nibali 2. Hesjedal 3. Wiggins
TDF: 1. Contador 2. Froome 3. Pinot
Vuelta. 1. Contador 2. Henao 3. Costa

Worlds RR: 1. Cancellara 2. EBH 3. Gilbert
Worlds ITT: 1. Tony Martin 2. Cancellara 3. Phinney

Lombardy: 1. Gilbert 2. Henao 3. Löfkvist
None of the big guns were in form this year for the Ardennes classics, so obviously you had surprise winners. Also with Lombardia a week after the Worlds the quality of the racing field has improved compared to 2011.

Most of the surprise winners are actually caused by Cancellara's racing style...
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horrible. boonen just the same guy as years before and this course is too hard for him. that's why he rode like a coward there were at least 3 guys stronger than boonen today and none of them won: sagan, ballan, pozzato
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Goss will woop boonens candy ass in a sprint he cares about, any day of the week
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  #25  
Old 11-21-12, 18:09
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Hugo Koblet Hugo Koblet is offline
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Originally Posted by maltiv View Post
Interesting to see that year after year 85% only pick "big guns" for all podium spots. Yet we see every year that we get surprise winners more often not - see Iglinskyi, Gerrans, Hesjedal, Zaugg...
While that is true, it doesn't mean that a prediction of only favorites isn't likely to be the most precise.
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contador is such a coward
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  #26  
Old 11-21-12, 18:42
maltiv maltiv is offline
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Originally Posted by Parrulo View Post
jesus maltiv i know you are going for a couple of surprises but costa getting a podium at a GT is a bit too far fetched.

winning LBL, the worlds or the GdL would still be a surprise result but within the realms of reality
He's been improving every year, so you never know. Would hardly be more surprising than De Gendt now would it? Or Peter Velits, for that matter! I certainly agree that it is far fetched though

I find the prediction in the opening post far more unlikely: that Jungels will be 3rd in M-SR as a 20 y.o neo-pro. He isn't even suited to the race at all, and probably has never ridden anything longer than 200 km
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  #27  
Old 11-21-12, 18:47
maltiv maltiv is offline
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Originally Posted by Hugo Koblet View Post
While that is true, it doesn't mean that a prediction of only favorites isn't likely to be the most precise.
Not much fun in predicting though if everyone puts the top 3 guys from the betting odds in their list!

Last year I believe there was someone predicting Gasparotto to win AGR (or perhaps it was Maxim- LBL he had) and Vino to win Olympic road. Now that's some far fetched predictions, but in hindsight they are far more impressive than the guys who correctly predicted that Gilbert would win worlds for example.
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  #28  
Old 11-21-12, 19:00
burning burning is offline
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Originally Posted by maltiv View Post
Not much fun in predicting though if everyone puts the top 3 guys from the betting odds in their list!

Last year I believe there was someone predicting Gasparotto to win AGR (or perhaps it was Maxim- LBL he had) and Vino to win Olympic road. Now that's some far fetched predictions, but in hindsight they are far more impressive than the guys who correctly predicted that Gilbert would win worlds for example.
Well most of your predictions arent exactly the outsiders, only EBH for AGR and Hesjedal for LBL could be considered as surprises
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  #29  
Old 11-21-12, 19:43
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Pentacycle Pentacycle is offline
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Omloop: 1. Haussler, 2. Boonen, 3. Demare (mass sprint)

MSR: 1. Scarponi, 2. Gilbert, 3. Degenkolb (Scarponi holds off Gilbert who almost caught him, John wins the bunch sprint)

Ronde: 1. Breschel, 2. Pozzato, 3. Thomas (Breschel wins the four-man group sprint, Nuyens 4th)

Roubaix: 1. Devolder, 2. Boom, 3. Cancellara (Devolder beats Boom in the sprint on the Velodrome, Cancellara gets third place after protecting his teammate up the road)

AGR: 1. Gerrans, 2. J. Vanendert, 3. Gilbert (with Gerrans, you never know...)

Fleche: 1. Gilbert, 2. Rodriguez, 3. Anton (Gilbert will win by aproximately 10 seconds)

LBL: 1. De Gendt, 2. Voeckler, 3. D. Martin (De Gendt wins after a 225km solo, Voeckler beats Martin and Mollema in the sprint)

Giro: 1. Porte, 2.Nibali +8:32, 3. Hesjedal +11:58 (Porte does what everyone expected from him and puts up a prefect show for Sky with also 2 TT victories and 5 stage victories)

Nationals: Moser(solo), Valverde(beats Contador in sprint), Pinot(solo), Cavendish(solo), Nuyens(unnoticed until the last kilometers), Hoogerland(solo from the start), Kluge(bunch sprint), Fuglsang(beats CAS), Leipheimer(solo), Albasini(bunch sprint), Isaichev(sprint against Kolobnev, Menchov and Firsanov)

Tour: 1. Froome, 2. Contador +5.04, 3. Pinot +6:47 (Froome smash...)

Vuelta: 1. F. Schleck, 2. Wiggins +1:38, 3. S. Sanchez +4:11 (F. Schleck fights back from his ban and defeats Wiggins with a daring attack while the Brit has a bad day)

Worlds RR: 1. Valverde, 2. Nibali, 3. D. Martin (Valverde sprints to his first rainbow jersey, with also Mollema and Henao in this group)

'' '' TT: 1. Phinney, 2. Durbridge, 3. Contador (Phinney rides faster than anyone else, there's not much more to it)

Tours: 1. Demare, 2. Greipel, 3. Cavendish (bunch sprint)

Lombardia: 1. Van Avermaet, 2. Gilbert, 3. Evans (Van Avermaet just defeats Gilbert, who can save his season here, with half a wheel and signs for OPQS. Evans retires despite this result)

Last edited by Pentacycle; 11-21-12 at 19:54.
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  #30  
Old 11-21-12, 19:57
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greenedge greenedge is offline
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MSR: Degenkolb, Pozzato, Sagan
RVV: Sagan, Boonen, Cancellara
PR: Cancellara, Boonen, Boom/ Vanmarcke
AGR: Gilbert, Sagan, Vanendert
FW: Gilbert, Valverde, Samu
LBL: Nibali, Gilbert, Zaugg
GDL: Samu, Vanendert, Basso

ToC: TJVG, Chris Horner, Gesink
TDU: A OGE person or Gilbert (if he rides)
P-T: Moser, GVA,Degnkolb
CSS: EBH, Gerrans, Valverde

Giro: Nibali, Wiggins...
TDF: Contador, Froome, Evans
Vuelta: JROD, Valverde, Quintana/ Cobo

WC ITT: Martin
WC RR: Evans, Cancellara, Henao
WC TTT: I am tempted to say Euskatel (Samu, Nieve, Anton, Landa/ 2 others) would own on the climbs but Movistar or RSNT in my view will take it.

Best young rider will be Quintana- best new rider either McCarthy or surprise Boswell.
The sprinting clashes will be great.
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Quote:Originally Posted by Vino attacks everyone
"Has Porte ever dropped Nibali in any mountain?"
D&C "He will soon......"

Last edited by greenedge; 11-21-12 at 20:01.
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