Originally Posted by theyoungest
Nibali is always fairly unspectacular, but he's also quite consistent, and he knows how to save energy in a three week race. He has also shown steady progression whereas Gesink's progress has been halted and, in my view, set back by the legbreak. In the only "real" mountain stage of the Vuelta with multiple cols you could see Gesink suffered like hell, and he was dropped really early, from a 20 man group. To the "old" Gesink this would never have happened. And the Giro has more stages like this.
Nibali is not that explosive at all. Gesink used to be better on hills than him.
But nowhere do I say that Nibali will be the main contender... I think Hesjedal and Wiggins have an equal or bigger chance.
Nibali still won stage in the Tirreno Adriatico on a relative short climb, which indicates to me he is quite explosive. But indeed not as explosive as Rodriguez, Contador or Valverde.
With regards to Gesinks Vuelta last year, not really fair to judge him entirely on that. for 2 reasons he was not at his best there.
1. He broke his leg and had to learn how to walk again, therefore the power in his legs are not back to normal yet. (explained many times)
2. His peak form was targeted for the Tour the France, however because he fell there he tried to go for the Vuelta. The vorm was OK but not at a peak.
And Gesink indeed got dropped once when there were 20 riders still in the group (bad day in the office) however there were also many times that he finished many times in the top 10 on mountain stages. and had a not to bad 6th place in the overall classement.
I dont have the feeling that Hesjedal will perform as well as he did last year. He is a capable rider, but some how I see his performance in the Giro as a one off