Santos Tour Down Under Stage 2 Mt. Barker to Rostrevor 116.5km - CyclingNews Forum

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Old 01-22-13, 15:02
barmaher barmaher is online now
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Default Santos Tour Down Under Stage 2 Mt. Barker to Rostrevor 116.5km

So this stage sees the first time GC contenders for the Tour Down Under will show their hands.

Here is your profile:

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The forecast is for a dry, hot and sunny day, with temperatures reaching 31 degrees Celsius. Windy enough, too. With winds blowing from the south to south-east at around 20km to 30km/h.

The stage is a rolling stage through the suburbs of south Adelaide. It is not until the last 20km of the stage that things get interesting. There will be a quick sharp ascent of Corkscrew Road, which crests 7km before the finish, followed by a long descent all the way to the chequered flag. The climb is 3.7km long and the gradient hits 10%.

If we can forget the missing 190km, the fact that contenders are not fully cooked, the conditions and the strength of the field, this is not too dissimilar to Milan San Remo. So defending champion Simon Gerrans is an obvious starting point when it comes to finding a winner. With last year’s TDU runner-up Alejandro Valverde sidestepping the race this year, it is left to men who finished ahead of him in last year’s World Championship, Edvald Boasson Hagen and Philippe Gilbert to attempt to unsettle the Orica Greenedge leader. EBH will be hoping to get away in a select group in the final climb, and rely on his sprint at the end. World champion Gilbert will be one of those expected to put in a searing dig on the Corkscrew Road, with a solo to victory more than possible if he can get 5 seconds at the top.

Others who have shown their hand in tough classics are likely to be fancied by many onlookers. Gasporotto, Visconti, Slagter, Rojas, Ponzi and Iglinskiy can all be fancied to go well.

The climb will surely be too much for Gorilla Greipel, and it looks like former MSR winner and Bros frontman is in bad form.

I think Gilbert will win, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Astana have a big say in proceedings.

A race (or at least 20km) to savour.
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Old 01-22-13, 15:08
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TeoSheva TeoSheva is offline
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Andy ftw
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Old 01-22-13, 15:11
maltiv maltiv is offline
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I think Gilbert will win solo, a few seconds ahead of a small group of around 10 people. Something like:

1. Gilbert
2. EBH +8 seconds
3. Gerrans s.t
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Old 01-22-13, 15:17
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jens_attacks jens_attacks is online now
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astana vs phil vs geraint thomas

kash is a great descender so i expect an easy win
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Old 01-22-13, 15:17
theyoungest theyoungest is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maltiv View Post
I think Gilbert will win solo, a few seconds ahead of a small group of around 10 people. Something like:

1. Gilbert
2. EBH +8 seconds
3. Gerrans s.t
I think Geraint Thomas will win, just to p.ss you off
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Old 01-22-13, 15:27
BlenJones2 BlenJones2 is offline
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EBH win with a GT leadout from a group of 12
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Old 01-22-13, 15:36
maltiv maltiv is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by theyoungest View Post
I think Geraint Thomas will win, just to p.ss you off
After all he has won the grand amount of 0 road stages in his career, so that's a great prediction

It wouldn't **** me off though, I like G, I just think he is massively overrated. He has done nothing to justify this hype, except from being British and everyone all of a sudden expecting Brits to become master-climbers out of nowhere when they reach 26 years.
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Old 01-22-13, 15:49
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Maaaaaaaarten Maaaaaaaarten is offline
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I think Thomas is mainly hyped on the cobbles without any results there right? not so much for climbing without showing any results there. Though, he seems to be both explosive, judging from prologue and lead-out performances and able to climb a little bit; who knows what will happen this year, now that he's focusing on again.
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Old 01-22-13, 15:49
theyoungest theyoungest is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maltiv View Post
After all he has won the grand amount of 0 road stages in his career, so that's a great prediction

It wouldn't **** me off though, I like G, I just think he is massively overrated. He has done nothing to justify this hype, except from being British and everyone all of a sudden expecting Brits to become master-climbers out of nowhere when they reach 26 years.
Yes, there's 30 or more riders in this race with as big a chance as him, but that's the Anglophone bonus on Anglophone websites.
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Old 01-22-13, 15:54
Gloin22 Gloin22 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by theyoungest View Post
Yes, there's 30 or more riders in this race with as big a chance as him, but that's the Anglophone bonus on Anglophone websites.

And you know what's best ? If I read correctly it wasn't even mostly / at all users from Britain hyping him....

I am sure Dekker_Tifosi and Jens_attacks are no really from UK, are they ?
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