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Emerging Riders CQ Game

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23 Jun 2016 23:15

Year 3 month 6 but only up to last Sunday, 19th June

Points won
ALAPHILIPPE Julian 184 points 35 teams (6th in GC and stage points in Dauphiné)
DE BIE Sean 126 12 (2nd and stage points in Ster ZLM Toer)
YATES Adam 125 27 (7th in GC and stage points in Dauphiné)
HAIG Jack 98 2 (2nd in Tour de Slovenié)
GEOGHEGAN HART Tao 62 1 (2nd in both Course de la Paix and Tour des Pays de Savoie)
CORT NIELSEN Magnus 60 9 (7th GP Kanton Aargau - Gippingen)
RATHE Jacob 60 1 (6th in Winston-Salem, 5th in Philadelphia)
DILLIER Silvan 55 7 (8th GP Kanton Aargau - Gippingen, 3rd in a Tour de Suisse stage)

and this month, an unwelcome addition:
Points lost
YATES Simon -113 pts 42 teams (Loss of points from Paris-Nice, Milan-San Remo, Tour of Basque Country)

Points won for teams well, won in most cases...

1 Ingsve 434
2 Afrank 400
3 NairoQ 394
4 Kazistuta 384
5 Cyivel 374
6 MC_Mountain 371
7 Hilltop_Finisher 362
7 Tuart 362
9 Search 359
10 Rote_Laterne 356
11 Florecita 330
12 Dazed_and_Confused 315
13 ItalianGigolo 314
14 Blackbandit222 312
15 GPBlanco 307
16 Mutschi 288
17 Bellsax 284
18 GeraintTooFast 283
19 Madrazo 282
20 Ray200 267
21 HugoKoblet 261
22 18Valve 257
23 Ludwigzgz 254
23 Skidmark 254
25 Leadbelly 249
26 Ruudz0r 244
27 Armchair_Cyclist 243
28 Vladimir 227
29 Oliveira 213
30 Fauniera 202
31 Comodoro 195
32 Fus87 190
33 asdfgh101 159
34 Il_Pirata 158
35 Karaev 134
36 Del1962 128
37 Just_Some_Guy 125
38 Froome19 124
39 Ansimi 122
40 Jakob747 121
41 The_Fool_on_the_Hill 118
42 Mellow_Velo 104
43 Manafana 69
44 Al_Pacino 55
45 Josedin -11
CollectiveWisdom 243

Standings
1 Ludwigzgz 13236
2 Skidmark 12489
3 HugoKoblet 11797
4 MC_Mountain 11746
5 Rote_Laterne 11526
6 ItalianGigolo 11429
7 Blackbandit222 10995
8 Ingsve 10808
9 Karaev 10601
10 GPBlanco 10526
11 Ruudz0r 10442
12 Hilltop_Finisher 10419
13 Kazistuta 10418
14 NairoQ 10377
15 Florecita 10369
16 Leadbelly 10284
17 Cyivel 10271
18 Tuart 10224
19 18Valve 10104
20 Mutschi 10079
21 Fauniera 10061
22 Jakob747 9990
23 Madrazo 9968
24 Afrank 9940
25 Comodoro 9870
26 Dazed_and_Confused 9672
27 asdfgh101 9651
28 Del1962 9528
29 Froome19 9362
30 Armchair_Cyclist 9198
31 Bellsax 9050
32 Search 9042
33 The_Fool_on_the_Hill 8940
34 Ray200 8817
35 Mellow_Velo 8735
36 Al_Pacino 8570
37 Oliveira 8527
38 Fus87 8113
39 Ansimi 7834
40 GeraintTooFast 7409
41 Il_Pirata 7315
42 Manafana 7225
43 Just_Some_Guy 6882
44 Vladimir 6577
45 Josedin 6208
CollectiveWisdom 10530

Top two tie this month: that gap is not getting any smaller. Ingsve overtaking Karaev is the only change in the top ten, and no-one moved up by more than 2 slots.
User avatar Armchair cyclist
Senior Member
 
Posts: 2,900
Joined: 22 Mar 2010 17:28
Location: East of England, West of Ireland

14 Aug 2016 22:19

Year 3 Month 7 which actually includes from 20th June to 7th August

Points gained
A lot of points in this extended month: about 14% of the total from the last 2 1/2 years taken in this update on average.

YATES Adam 387pts 27 teams (4th in Tour de France GC, top 20s in San Sebastian and Rio)
ALAPHILIPPE Julian 359 35 (4th in Olympic RR, 5th in Nat Champs, 4 top 10 finishes in TdF)
YATES Simon 301 42 (4th in Burgos, 7th in San Seb, Win in Villafranco and 2nd in Getxo)
VALGREN ANDERSEN Michael 283 13 (GC win and stage and leadeer points in Tour of Denmark, 2nd in Nat Champs)
BETTIOL Alberto 207 2 (won the pts jersey, 2nd in the KoM jersey, and 3rd in GC in Tour of Poland for Fauniera and GPBlanco)
VUILLERMOZ Alexis 196 1 (3rd in Nat Camps, top 20 GC plus 3rd on a stage in TdF, minor points in both Olympic events for Ludwigzgz)
FORMOLO Davide 174 18 (4th in Tour of Poland with a stage 2nd, 9th in Nat Champs)
CORT NIELSEN Magnus 172 9 (GC 2nd and stage win in Tour of Denmark, 4th in Nat Champs)
FERNANDEZ ANDUJAR Ruben 169 7 (6th in both Poland and Burgos)
HIRT Jan 152 2 (GC and a stage wins in Tour of Austria)
WÜRTZ SCHMIDT Mads 146 3 (first and second in stages, 3rd in GC in Denmark)

but we all missed out on:
LAGKUTI Sergiy 214
VASYLYUK Andriy 164
VINHAS Rui Pedro Carvalho 155
MIHAYLOV Nikolay 152

1 Ludwigzgz 2010 (Both Yates, Alaphilippe, Valgren, Vuillermoz, Formolo)
2 GPBlanco 1817 (Both Yates, Alaphilippe, Bettiol, Formolo, Cort Nielsen)
3 MC_Mountain 1780 (Both Yates, Alaphilippe, Fenandez & Wurtz)
4 Ingsve 1769 (Both Yates, Alaphilippe, Valgren, Cort Nielsen)
5 Florecita 1760 (Both Yates, Alaphilippe, Valgren, Cort Nielsen)
6 ItalianGigolo 1743 (Both Yates, Alaphilippe, Valgren, Wurtz)
7 Comodoro 1651
8 Skidmark 1621
9 Rote_Laterne 1587
10 Oliveira 1584
11 HugoKoblet 1580
12 Dazed_and_Confused 1560
13 Kazistuta 1527
14 Blackbandit222 1502
15 asdfgh101 1487
16 Hilltop_Finisher 1449
17 Leadbelly 1448
18 Karaev 1425
19 18Valve 1413
20 Afrank 1391
21 Tuart 1386
22 Cyivel 1383
23 Mutschi 1380
24 NairoQ 1368
25 Fauniera 1347
26 Ruudz0r 1335
27 Armchair_Cyclist 1313
28 Bellsax 1220
29 Ray200 1214
30 Jakob747 1189
31 Froome19 1187
32 Madrazo 1154
33 Del1962 1142
34 Search 1094
35 GeraintTooFast 1059
36 Ansimi 1031
37 Mellow_Velo 1007
38 The_Fool_on_the_Hill 1005
39 Manafana 985
40 Fus87 964
41 Il_Pirata 932
42 Josedin 757
43 Just_Some_Guy 621
44 Vladimir 566
45 Al_Pacino 473
CollectiveWisdom 1527


Standings

Ludwigzgz already had a dominant lead, and has had since very early on (since May 2014: Skidmark meanwhile has never been lower than 3rd, and that was the very first month), then he goes and wins this segment by a very healthy margin.
Below the top two, there are several positional swaps, MC Mountain, Italian Gigolo, Ingsve and GP Blanco all moved up, Hugo Koblet, Rote Laterne, Blackbandit222 and Karaev moved down. Flo rises 5 places to appear in the top ten, and Comodoro has a 6 place rise which, at this stage of the game, is in equal measure impressive and irrelevant.

1 Ludwigzgz 15246
2 Skidmark 14110
3 MC_Mountain 13526
4 HugoKoblet 13377
5 ItalianGigolo 13172
6 Rote_Laterne 13113
7 Ingsve 12577
8 Blackbandit222 12497
9 GPBlanco 12343
10 Florecita 12129
11 Karaev 12026
12 Kazistuta 11945
13 Hilltop_Finisher 11868
14 Ruudz0r 11777
15 NairoQ 11745
16 Leadbelly 11732
17 Cyivel 11654
18 Tuart 11610
19 Comodoro 11521
20 18Valve 11517
21 Mutschi 11459
22 Fauniera 11408
23 Afrank 11331
24 Dazed_and_Confused 11232
25 Jakob747 11179
26 asdfgh101 11138
27 Madrazo 11122
28 Del1962 10670
29 Froome19 10549
30 Armchair_Cyclist 10511
31 Bellsax 10270
32 Search 10136
33 Oliveira 10111
34 Ray200 10031
35 The_Fool_on_the_Hill 9945
36 Mellow_Velo 9742
37 Fus87 9077
38 Al_Pacino 9043
39 Ansimi 8865
40 GeraintTooFast 8468
41 Il_Pirata 8247
42 Manafana 8210
43 Just_Some_Guy 7503
44 Vladimir 7143
45 Josedin 6965
CollectiveWisdom 12057
Collective Ignorance 14455

Best possible team:
ALAPHILIPPE Julian 2214pts 35 teams
YATES Adam 1945 27
THEUNS Edward 1696 0
BENOOT Tiesj 1535 0
VUILLERMOZ Alexis 1467 1
BONIFAZIO Niccolo 1387 4
LAMPAERT Yves 1270 3
FORMOLO Davide 1230 18
VAKOC Petr 1225 6
VALGREN ANDERSEN Michael 1184 13
EWAN Caleb 1098 44
YATES Simon 1056 42
DILLIER Silvan 1046 7
JANS Roy 996 1
ROGLIC Primoz 992 0
LOPEZ MORENO Miguel Angel 989 0
SEPULVEDA Eduardo 899 5
LATOUR Pierre 880 4
which remarkable act of foresight would have yielded 23109 points.
User avatar Armchair cyclist
Senior Member
 
Posts: 2,900
Joined: 22 Mar 2010 17:28
Location: East of England, West of Ireland

05 Oct 2016 21:00

Year 3, Months 8 and 9 8th August to 2nd October.

Sorry: hoped to do this rather sooner after the Vuelta than this, but life interferes sometimes.

Rider gains
BETTIOL Alberto 325 points 2 teams (Top ten in three WT one day races : 2nd in Plouay, 4th in Quebec, 7th in Montreal for Fauniera and GPBlanco)
YATES Simon 315 42 (6th in Vuelta GC with a stage win and 5 other top tens, for nearly everyone)
LATOUR Pierre 289 4 (3rd in Tour de l'Ain, stage win in Vuelta, 10th in Lombardia for Italian Gigolo, MC Mountain, Mellow Velo and The Fool on the Hill)
CORT NIELSEN Magnus 279 9 (2 stage wins and a 3rd in the Vuelta, and 5th in Impanis-Van Petegem)
EWAN Caleb 265 44 (Vatenfalls Classic win, and stage points in Tour of Britain)
RUFFONI Nicola 193 1 (win in GP Bruno Beghelli, 2nd in Coppa Bernocchi for Fauniera)
FORMOLO Davide 155 18 (9th in Vuelta GC)
VAKOC Petr 145 6 (9th in Quebec, 2nd in GP Wallonie, 5th in Euros)
BARBERO CUESTA Carlos 143 2
ALAPHILIPPE Julian 121 35
MOLARD Rudy 115 1
FERNANDEZ ANDUJAR Ruben 106 7
FRAILE MATARRANZ Omar 100 1

while our collective kick-ourselves for this period are headed by:
NAESEN Oliver 482
MOSCON Gianni 336
GAVIRIA RENDON Fernando 277
BENFATTO Marco 253


Team gains
1 GPBlanco 1745 (BETTIOL Alberto, YATES SIMON, CORT NIELSEN Magnus, EWAN Caleb, FORMOLO Davide, ALAPHILIPPE Julian)
2 Fauniera 1616 (BETTIOL Alberto, YATES Simon, EWAN Caleb, RUFFONI Nicola, FORMOLO Davide, ALAPHILIPPE Julian)
3 ItalianGigolo 1435 (YATES Simon, LATOUR Pierre, EWAN Caleb, VAKOC Petr, ALAPHILIPPE Julian)
4 Karaev 1434 (YATES Simon, EWAN Caleb, FORMOLO Davide, VAKOC Petr, BARBERO CUESTA Carlos, ALAPHILIPPE Julian)
5 Comodoro 1431 (YATES Simon, CORT NIELSEN Magnus, EWAN Caleb, FORMOLO Davide, ALAPHILIPPE Julian)
6 MC_Mountain 1418 (YATES Simon, LATOUR Pierre, EWAN Caleb, ALAPHILIPPE Julian, FERNANDEZ ANDUJAR Ruben)
7 HugoKoblet 1391
8 Oliveira 1302
9 Ludwigzgz 1301
10 Ingsve 1299
11 Rote_Laterne 1289
12 Florecita 1263
13 asdfgh101 1238
14 Mellow_Velo 1223
15 Skidmark 1222
16 Search 1205
17 Tuart 1180
18 Dazed_and_Confused 1158
19 The_Fool_on_the_Hill 1157
20 Jakob747 1149
21 Leadbelly 1139
22 NairoQ 1101
23 Blackbandit222 1093
24 Kazistuta 1081
25 Bellsax 1079
26 Madrazo 1054
27 Ansimi 1053
28 Il_Pirata 1038
29 Cyivel 1036
30 Ruudz0r 1035
31 18Valve 1032
32 Mutschi 1026
33 Afrank 972
33 Froome19 972
35 Ray200 959
36 Josedin 931
37 GeraintTooFast 913
38 Armchair_Cyclist 894
39 Hilltop_Finisher 869
40 Fus87 822
41 Just_Some_Guy 762
42 Manafana 717
43 Del1962 677
44 Vladimir 644
45 Al_Pacino 630
CollectiveWisdom 1109

Standings
This period comprised about 10% of the total points for the game, but hasn't changed the positions much.
In terms of the overall, it has been a bit like Froome winning a huge MTF and a long TT by Wednesday of week 1: Ludwigzgz's lead has got bigger again, and Skidmark will need the equivalent of a half hour breakaway onto the Champs Elysees, perhaps a clean sweep of all the WC podiums would do the job...

The highest in the table we see any change is GP Blanco up 2 places,and Karaev sneaks back into the top ten. Fauniera manages to rise 9 places: with relatively few points still available, he should at least have ensured a top half finish.
1 Ludwigzgz 16547
2 Skidmark 15332
3 MC_Mountain 14944
4 HugoKoblet 14768
5 ItalianGigolo 14607
6 Rote_Laterne 14402
7 GPBlanco 14088
8 Ingsve 13876
9 Blackbandit222 13590
10 Karaev 13460
11 Florecita 13392
12 Kazistuta 13026
13 Fauniera 13024
14 Comodoro 12952
15 Leadbelly 12871
16 NairoQ 12846
17 Ruudz0r 12812
18 Tuart 12790
19 Hilltop_Finisher 12737
20 Cyivel 12690
21 18Valve 12549
22 Mutschi 12485
23 Dazed_and_Confused 12390
24 asdfgh101 12376
25 Jakob747 12328
26 Afrank 12303
27 Madrazo 12176
28 Froome19 11521
29 Oliveira 11413
30 Armchair_Cyclist 11405
31 Bellsax 11349
32 Del1962 11347
33 Search 11341
34 The_Fool_on_the_Hill 11102
35 Ray200 10990
36 Mellow_Velo 10965
37 Ansimi 9918
38 Fus87 9899
39 Al_Pacino 9673
40 GeraintTooFast 9381
41 Il_Pirata 9285
42 Manafana 8927
43 Just_Some_Guy 8265
44 Josedin 7896
45 Vladimir 7787
CollectiveWisdom 13166
CollectiveIgnorance 16524
Best Possible 25446
User avatar Armchair cyclist
Senior Member
 
Posts: 2,900
Joined: 22 Mar 2010 17:28
Location: East of England, West of Ireland

02 Jan 2017 00:55

I had at least managed something on this edition during the Autumn, but I could absolutely have sworn that I had done an update on what (very little) had happened from the beginning of October to mid November: the spreadsheet had been updated, but I must have somehow lost the update without posting it.

Nevertheless, here is the scoring for those last couple of months of the game.

JANS Roy 194pts 1 team (Wins Nationale Sluitingprijs Putte-Kapellen, 2nd in Munsterland Giro for Vladimir)
LAMPAERT Yves 132 3 (World Championship time trials: 7th as an individual and on wining team for Vladimir, MCMountain and Skidmark)
MOHORIC Matej 125 41 (Stage win and GC 3rd in Hainan)
SCHELLING Patrick 87 1
BAUHAUS Phil 66 1
KOLAHDOUZ HAGH Amir 64 2


Like a sprinter in a GT, Vladimir takes the final laurels, even though he was last at the penultimate update.

1 Vladimir 423
2 The_Fool_on_the_Hill 367
3 MC_Mountain 326
4 Skidmark 325
5 Rote_Laterne 270
6 Mellow_Velo 251
7 Florecita 249
8 ItalianGigolo 245
9 Fauniera 244
10 Mutschi 237
11 Ingsve 236
12 Del1962 232
13 Kazistuta 231
14 HugoKoblet 227
15 NairoQ 226
16 Just_Some_Guy 225
17 Search 224
18 Bellsax 223
18 GeraintTooFast 223
20 Tuart 222
21 Karaev 220
22 Dazed_and_Confused 217
23 GPBlanco 216
23 Hilltop_Finisher 216
25 Froome19 215
26 Ruudz0r 214
27 Ludwigzgz 211
28 18Valve 208
29 Manafana 206
30 Madrazo 203
31 Oliveira 200
32 Ansimi 199
33 Blackbandit222 198
34 Josedin 194
35 Leadbelly 189
36 Comodoro 186
37 Il_Pirata 178
38 Armchair_Cyclist 177
39 Ray200 176
40 Cyivel 172
41 Fus87 159
42 Afrank 154
43 asdfgh101 93
44 Al_Pacino 72
45 Jakob747 35
CollectiveWisdom 210


But like a GT, the finale made no real difference to the overall, and despite some recovery by Skidmark, what has been apparently inevitable since the autumn of 2014 has indeed come to pass.

[b][u]Final positions
1 Ludwigzgz 16758
2 Skidmark 15657
3 MC_Mountain 15270
4 HugoKoblet 14995
5 ItalianGigolo 14852
6 Rote_Laterne 14672
7 GPBlanco 14304
8 Ingsve 14112
9 Blackbandit222 13788
10 Karaev 13680
11 Florecita 13641
12 Fauniera 13268
13 Kazistuta 13257
14 Comodoro 13138
15 NairoQ 13072
16 Leadbelly 13060
17 Ruudz0r 13026
18 Tuart 13012
19 Hilltop_Finisher 12953
20 Cyivel 12862
21 18Valve 12757
22 Mutschi 12722
23 Dazed_and_Confused 12607
24 asdfgh101 12469
25 Afrank 12457
26 Madrazo 12379
27 Jakob747 12363
28 Froome19 11736
29 Oliveira 11613
30 Armchair_Cyclist 11582
31 Del1962 11579
32 Bellsax 11572
33 Search 11565
34 The_Fool_on_the_Hill 11469
35 Mellow_Velo 11216
36 Ray200 11166
37 Ansimi 10117
38 Fus87 10058
39 Al_Pacino 9745
40 GeraintTooFast 9604
41 Il_Pirata 9463
42 Manafana 9133
43 Just_Some_Guy 8490
44 Vladimir 8210
45 Josedin 8090
CollectiveWisdom 13376

A bit more analysis of the data tomorrow, and the launch of the 2017-19 edition of the game, but unil then, congratulations to Ludwigzgz, as we have known would be due, and to Sidmark and MCMountain for being almost competitive, to all who sent in a team, and (and I should have made a point of doing this more often at the end of these games) a huge thanks to the guys at CQ, without whom none of this would be possible.
User avatar Armchair cyclist
Senior Member
 
Posts: 2,900
Joined: 22 Mar 2010 17:28
Location: East of England, West of Ireland

02 Jan 2017 09:59

Thanks, that were fun 3 years. Congratulations to Ludwigzgz who proofed to be the champion in the first emerging riders edition from the get go. Can't wait for the new edition, see you all there.
User avatar rote_laterne
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Posts: 361
Joined: 06 Jan 2014 20:21

02 Jan 2017 15:51

Very curious to know the guys we missed.
User avatar GP Blanco
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Posts: 690
Joined: 26 Dec 2012 11:34
Location: Bottom of a lake which used to be a sea

02 Jan 2017 16:59

I'm very happy. What a big victory
Thanks everyone about the congratulations
Ludwigzgz
New Member
 
Posts: 15
Joined: 07 Jan 2014 10:23
Location: Spain

Re:

02 Jan 2017 17:09

GP Blanco wrote:Very curious to know the guys we missed.


Lopez and Benoot jump out to me as riders nobody picked and have done well over the last three years but there are more I'm sure.
snccdcno
Junior Member
 
Posts: 277
Joined: 22 Aug 2014 17:08

Re:

02 Jan 2017 17:37

Ludwigzgz wrote:I'm very happy. What a big victory
Thanks everyone about the congratulations


Congrats! :p
Kryvo
New Member
 
Posts: 15
Joined: 01 Jan 2017 20:02

02 Jan 2017 18:59

super pleased with 3rd place. Perhaps my early successes in the main game wasnt such a fluke...
mc_mountain
Member
 
Posts: 473
Joined: 02 Jan 2010 22:52

03 Jan 2017 12:21

is expected a 2017 edition?
torcia_86
New Member
 
Posts: 29
Joined: 14 Oct 2015 15:53

03 Jan 2017 12:23

Congratulations Ludwigzgz! Very convincing victory. I'm a bit sad to miss out on the podium, but 4th isn't bad either :) Thanks for running the game. Hopefully there will be a 2017 edition as well.
User avatar Hugo Koblet
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Posts: 7,285
Joined: 09 May 2010 08:08

03 Jan 2017 22:29

What could have been

Three years ago I challenged you to identify 18 riders who would emerge from the near obscurity of their early careers within three years. Our convincing winner picked up 65% of the best possible score (I suspect that will be a challenging benchmark for years to come), which would have been achieved thus:
ALAPHILIPPE Julian 2335
YATES Adam 1950
THEUNS Edward 1696
BENOOT Tiesj 1674
VUILLERMOZ Alexis 1493
LAMPAERT Yves 1462
BONIFAZIO Niccolo 1392
FORMOLO Davide 1385
YATES Simon 1371
VAKOC Petr 1370
EWAN Caleb 1363
NAESEN Oliver 1300
JANS Roy 1261
VALGREN ANDERSEN Michael 1247
ROGLIC Primoz 1174
LATOUR Pierre 1169
LOPEZ MORENO Miguel Angel 1129
CORT NIELSEN Magnus 1101 (Total 25872)

While the top two were on most teams, and Ewan and the Other Yates Boy were even more popular, this list shows the uncertainty of any correlation between hype and subsequent success as we did not between manage any of Theuns, Benoot, Naesen, Roglic or Lopez. Vuillermoz was a unique pick for our winner, Ludwigzgz, but that cannot be taken as a sole key to victory, as Jans was also a unique pick, but for Vladimir, who only dodged the lanterne rouge at the last. Formolo (who also made the Collective Wisdom team with 18 picks) and Valgren Andersen (13) reflect a little better on the states of our knowledge 3 years ago, but the numbers selecting any of the rest of this perfect pool were in single figures: Lampaert (3), Bonifazio & Latour (4), Vakoc (6) and Cort Neilsen (9).

Collective Ignorance
There was a virtual team that outscored Ludwigzgz, and that is those who, like Theuns, Benoot, Naesen, Roglic and Lopez, were ignored by the whole lot of us 3 years ago. How did we ever ignore all of these? The guilt is universal.
THEUNS Edward 1696
BENOOT Tiesj 1674
NAESEN Oliver 1300
ROGLIC Primoz 1174
LOPEZ MORENO Miguel Angel 1129
GAVIRIA RENDON Fernando 986
MARECZKO Jakub 870
TORRES AGUDELO Rodolfo Andres 858
CLAEYS Dimitri 841
BARBIER Rudy 796
MOSCON Gianni 784
FEDI Andrea 756
MCLAY Daniel 752
SMITH Dion 714
GROSU Eduard-Michael 695
CARTHY Hugh 694
WOODS Michael 682
MAIKIN Roman 660
Total 17061

Collective Wisdom
Which is essentially the list of the most hyped young riders of late 2013. Some of them have indeed lived up to the promise, some have probably been nearly forgotten already.

This lot were all picked by at least one third of teams
(Name/score/popularity, in order of popularity)
EWAN Caleb 1363 44
YATES Simon 1371 42
MOHORIC Matej 366 41
STUYVEN Jasper 746 36
ALAPHILIPPE Julian 2335 35
HERKLOTZ Silvio 319 32
HOWSON DAMIEN 348 30
YATES Adam 1950 27
ZABEL Rick 379 27
SENECHAL Florian 704 23
HEPBURN Michael 361 21
EDMONDSON Joshua 177 21
FORMOLO Davide 1385 18
KUDUS Merhawi Gebremedhin 606 18
ZORDAN Andrea 5 18
HANSEN Lasse Norman 279 17
HENAO GOMEZ Sebastian 588 16
LUDVIGSSON Fredrik 94 16
Their total score of 13376 would have come in 12th.

Yep: 40% of us named Andrea Zordan as one of the riders most likely to be among the big hitters by now, and in all that time he has earned just 5 points (for coming 125th in Ghent Wevelegem) Further causes for embarrassment can be found further down this post.

Other decent returns
The remainder of the riders who have at least shown some serious progress (500pts + over the three years) can be split not very flatteringly between those that at least someone thought of:
DILLIER Silvan 1063 7
SEPULVEDA Eduardo 952 5
BARBERO CUESTA Carlos 945 2
DE BIE Sean 907 12
FERNANDEZ ANDUJAR Ruben 859 7
MOLARD Rudy 857 1
GOUGEARD Alexis 810 7
HANSEN JESPER 707 2
BETTIOL Alberto 680 2
KONRAD Patrick 677 5
THWAITES Scott 646 1
CAMPENAERTS Victor 633 2
KOLAHDOUZ HAGH Amir 600 2
FRAILE MATARRANZ Omar 591 1
BAUHAUS Phil 519 1
and those none of us did:
KÜNG Stefan 652
BUSATO Matteo 641
DEMOITIE Antoine 638
PRADES REVERTER Eduard 628
BEVIN Patrick 617
TURGIS Anthony 616
BUCHMANN Emanuel 609
PARRINELLO Antonino Casimiro 596
TEUNS Dylan 595
CONTI Valerio 592
BRANDAO Joni Silva 590
ANDERSEN Søren Kragh 587
SPRENGERS Thomas 582
OOMEN Sam 577
PARDINI Olivier 577
TEUNISSEN Mike 561
ROSSKOPF Joey 559
VLIEGEN Loïc 548
CAPIOT Amaury 525
LAPORTE Christophe 523
SHALUNOV Evgeny 521
GRADEK Kamil 520
EIKING Odd Christian 518
MÜHLBERGER Gregor 516
ZANOTTI Marco 505

Oh dear
So, who is willing to own up to having invested part of their hopes in this lot, none of whom managed to average even as much as 10 points per year over the last three years? Whatever could we have been thinking?
BERTILSSON Christian
CHAMORRO CHITAN Juan Ernesto
GARBY Marc Christian
GIMENEZ NUÑEZ Carlos Alberto
KLEMME Daniel
LARGO QUINTERO Luis Alberto
LOH Sea Keong
MØLLER NIELSEN Mathias
MOSER Ignazio*
NOVAK Jakub
ORBE URRUTIA Haritz
OSPINA HERNANDEZ Argiro Alonso
PAULUS Daniel
SOKOL Jan
SVENDSEN Oskar
SWIRBUL Keegan
(*: This one was my own aberration, with my optimism based purely in the hope of him having some good DNA, but he abandoned cycling in favour of viniculture within a couple of months of the game starting)
Of course, it might simply be that these riders will have the hoped for trajectory, but on a different timetable, but this game is all about identifying whether it happens in those particular 3 years.

Year by Year
I had expected the scoring to be rather more backloaded than it turned out to be: the distribution of the total points scored across the three years was approximately 25% - 35% - 40%

The top scorers each year were
2014
1 Ludwigzgz 4452
2 Skidmark 4107
3 HugoKoblet 3753
4 Blackbandit222 3676
5 Froome19 3644
6 Rote_Laterne 3625
7 Karaev 3621
8 Ingsve 3614
9 Comodoro 3612
10 Hilltop_Finisher 3605

2015
1 Ludwigzgz 5853
2 Skidmark 5587
3 MC_Mountain 5434
4 ItalianGigolo 5127
5 HugoKoblet 5085
6 Rote_Laterne 5036
7 Mutschi 4957
8 NairoQ 4947
9 Tuart 4699
10 Blackbandit222 4696

2016
1 ItalianGigolo 6631
2 MC_Mountain 6622
3 Ludwigzgz 6453
4 GPBlanco 6165
5 HugoKoblet 6157
6 Rote_Laterne 6011
7 Ingsve 5991
8 Skidmark 5963
9 Karaev 5908
10 Florecita 5792

How it was won

A dominant and consistent point haul (top, top and 3rd on year by year breakdown) by Ludwigzgz, gained by this bunch of riders:
ALAPHILIPPE Julian 2335
YATES Adam 1950
VUILLERMOZ Alexis 1493
FORMOLO Davide 1385
YATES Simon 1371
EWAN Caleb 1363
VALGREN ANDERSEN Michael 1247
BARBERO CUESTA Carlos 945
GOUGEARD Alexis 810
STUYVEN Jasper 746
SENECHAL Florian 704
KUDUS Merhawi Gebremedhin 606
ZABEL Rick 379
MOHORIC Matej 366
HEPBURN Michael 361
HOWSON Damien 348
BOSWELL Ian 302
HAUGAARD JENSEN Kristian 47

What he has here is 12 of the best scoring 13 from the Collective Wisdom team (more than half of us can feel a tiny bit of oneupmanship in regards to selecting Sebastian Henao), and then 4 high scoring picks that most people missed: we have already seen Vuillermoz and Valgren, but Barbero and Gougeard were also very valuable. Ian Boswell was not a total disaster: on the other 6 teams that chose him, he was on average the 13th highest scorer rather than 2nd lowest. We will draw a discreet veil over the inclusion of Haugaard Jensen.

Our winner was 13th in the popularity stakes, and the top team there was his closest challenger throughout, Skidmark, with this selection:
ALAPHILIPPE Julian 2335
YATES Adam 1950
LAMPAERT Yves 1462
FORMOLO Davide 1385
YATES Simon 1371
EWAN Caleb 1363
SEPULVEDA Eduardo 952
STUYVEN Jasper 746
SENECHAL Florian 704
KUDUS Merhawi Gebremedhin 606
HENAO GOMEZ Sebastian 588
ZABEL Rick 379
MOHORIC Matej 366
HEPBURN Michael 361
HOWSON Damien 348
HERKLOTZ Silvio 319
HANSEN Lasse Norman 279
OLIVIER Daan 143

The first cycle finishes, the fourth begins
If I don't put up the post for the beginning of the 2017-19 cycle (the 4th iteration of this game) tonight, I will tomorrow. Same idea: 18 riders, less than 200 lifetime CQ points to their name as of end of 2016, to be resolved by end of 2019.
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Location: East of England, West of Ireland

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