Time to check in on this team - I'm in 5th place on the 2015-17 one, 6th here, but have a much better chance ultimately here, because a) there's more time and b) my team is much better.
DE PLUS Laurens
GAVIRIA RENDON Fernando
GEOGHEGAN HART Tao
MARTINEZ POVEDA Daniel Felipe
Funny to compare the previous year's team to this team - I had 5 repeat riders in Boudat, Chevrier, Gaviria, Mullen, and Vervaeke. Apart from Chevrier, I'm convinced it was a good idea to pick them again (although a bad sign if I can still pick them again after taking them the year before) - Gaviria is obviously a generational talent at this point, but Vervaeke I think is poised to take a big step up this year too. Boudat is maybe a steady growth guy, and Mullen I'll hold out on before I decide whether his Worlds performance was more than a fluke.
Moscon is already a boss, and Guillaume Martin seems to be progressing well with a Pro Conti program. Mads Pedersen wrung 195 points riding for an absolutely inept Stolting team last year so he should do great with the leap up to Trek. Stoked on all three of those guys.
Kamna and Daniel Martinez I guess I chose them too young, as I picked them again THIS year, ha! Obviously I believe they can grow into big scorers, although after last year I'm skeptical of Kamna as he might need a couple of years (but again, he rode for Stolting, which is maybe the only team I've seen in recent years that developed talent more poorly than IAM or Cofidis). So, I still have hope.
Bernard and Canty seem like steady growth guys (in the mold of one of my current CQ consistency crushes, Dion Smith, who I sadly couldn't pick for this game), and Geoghegan Hart is gonna be money, it's just a matter of how soon he can spread his wings in team Sky, but he'll probably get a favourable calendar like American races or ToB.
Consonni is a neo this year and I have him in my main team. I'm a believer.
Foliforov I had two years ago in my main team and he's been a mystery. Or, rather, Gazprom have been a mystery. He wins a Giro stage but really nothing else. Who knows.
De Plus was thoroughly unconvincing last year, although he might have just needed some blooding like Vervaeke. Jury is out.
Manzin seems set to continue as a moderate points-getter in some minor races, will probably not reach the ceiling I imagined for him.
Oram looks like a mistake, Chevrier looks like he's got a ceiling unless he takes a big growth spurt soon.
So, taking a look at how popular riders are vs. how good I think they'll be, Foliforov, Canty and Chevrier are my rarest picks, and although I've got fingers crossed for the other two, I think Canty might be my real value here. Other than that, my best prospects are popular picks... I think it might be two mid-table guys in Vervaeke and Martin that could really boost my chances.
Looking forward to a new year!