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2017 Giro d'Italia: Stage-by-stage Analysis

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Re:

05 May 2017 18:01

Singer01 wrote:Prediction time, which individual stage thread will have the highest number of pages? I'm going out on a limb and going with Stage 4, expecting a number of big favourites not to be ready and to crack hard and early.

anything other than stage 16 would be a surprise.
A race that doesn't give an attacker the chance to finish it off alone is not a race anymore.


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User avatar Eshnar
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05 May 2017 18:55

Probably a stage we never expected.
Aka The Ginger One.
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05 May 2017 19:03

A strange stage stage with Bora's second lead out rider clipping off with less than 2km - Lotto Soudal and Etix had no lead out riders in the final, while Orica had 2 riders but could do nothing - Stage 2 seems a mini LBL day - It could be a classics or even a Gc rider win the stage.
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07 May 2017 07:39

Stage 3 a.k.a. race to the ferry - is here! Have a feeling someone will come a cropper today.
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07 May 2017 21:17

Amazing work Eshnar, appreciate it.
alspacka
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10 May 2017 06:27

Thanks a lot Eshnar, brilliant as always!

OK, a serious question now: if I take a day off at work next week, which day/stage would you recommend ?
- the ITT on stage 10 ?
- or the medium mountain stage 11 ?
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Re:

10 May 2017 06:51

TommyGun wrote:Thanks a lot Eshnar, brilliant as always!

OK, a serious question now: if I take a day off at work next week, which day/stage would you recommend ?
- the ITT on stage 10 ?
- or the medium mountain stage 11 ?

Well the ITT would be guaranteed to be meaningful, so unless you don't enjoy watching time trials, the choice should be clear :p
A race that doesn't give an attacker the chance to finish it off alone is not a race anymore.


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Re: Re:

10 May 2017 06:58

Eshnar wrote:
TommyGun wrote:Thanks a lot Eshnar, brilliant as always!

OK, a serious question now: if I take a day off at work next week, which day/stage would you recommend ?
- the ITT on stage 10 ?
- or the medium mountain stage 11 ?

Well the ITT would be guaranteed to be meaningful, so unless you don't enjoy watching time trials, the choice should be clear :p


Thanks, but ITTs are sometimes a bit dull to watch (watching the live time splits on a web page is basically the same, imo). I was thinking of the "Fuente De"-esque potential of stage 11, but it might be too early in the race.
I will wait until the Blockhaus to decide :o
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Re: 2017 Giro d'Italia: Stage-by-stage Analysis

10 May 2017 09:54

Seems stage 9, the Blockhaus stage, on Sunday is when things while happen.
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10 May 2017 13:07

Looking forward to stage 6 and 8 - tricky, hilly finishes are part of the Giro and is always great to watch. Possibility for a few seconds gained and lost for the GC-men as well. Unfortunately we have a very mediocre field contesting these stages, I miss Bettini and Riccó and with no Gilbert, I think Haas is the best puncheur around.
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Re:

10 May 2017 13:49

Valv.Piti wrote:Looking forward to stage 6 and 8 - tricky, hilly finishes are part of the Giro and is always great to watch. Possibility for a few seconds gained and lost for the GC-men as well. Unfortunately we have a very mediocre field contesting these stages, I miss Bettini and Riccó and with no Gilbert, I think Haas is the best puncheur around.

Especially considering the king of random Giro stage wins isn't present this year.
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Re:

10 May 2017 14:00

Valv.Piti wrote:Looking forward to stage 6 and 8 - tricky, hilly finishes are part of the Giro and is always great to watch. Possibility for a few seconds gained and lost for the GC-men as well. Unfortunately we have a very mediocre field contesting these stages, I miss Bettini and Riccó and with no Gilbert, I think Haas is the best puncheur around.

I'd say Woods also.

But yes, the puncher field is very poor. Maybe one of the GC guy could win tomorrow or Saturday.
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Re:

10 May 2017 14:18

Valv.Piti wrote:Looking forward to stage 6 and 8 - tricky, hilly finishes are part of the Giro and is always great to watch. Possibility for a few seconds gained and lost for the GC-men as well. Unfortunately we have a very mediocre field contesting these stages, I miss Bettini and Riccó and with no Gilbert, I think Haas is the best puncheur around.


Gasparotto, Teuns and Costa could all get invlved on a punchy finish.
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11 May 2017 00:13

Thank you Eshnar.
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11 May 2017 19:55

Thanks eshnar

Keeping the forum alive!
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11 May 2017 20:03

I don't know if someone already mentioned it, but the Mortirolo will the the Montagna Scarponi, double KoM points and a special trophy for the first rider on top, so pretty much a 2nd Cima Coppi right before the actual one.
Thanks for the great analysis Eshnar.
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11 May 2017 20:07

So you can basically do nothing for 15 days, then go in the break and win the jersey.
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11 May 2017 20:13

The whole giro is so backloaded that the big guys who actually go for the climbers jersey could always pretty much do nothing for 15 days.
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11 May 2017 20:19

Yeah, but lets say one rider theoretically wins all climbs on stage 16 and nothing else, I'd say he has very good chances of winning, no?
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11 May 2017 20:28

Yes the fact that the Mortirolo is on the same stage is a bit of a problem for the whole competition.
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