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Dubai Tour 2018

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Dubai Tour 2018

06 Feb 2018 05:35

OK, please don't crucify me for not even attempting to do an Eshnar standard opening post. I'm just wanting to start a discussion if anyone's interested.

I do so acknowledging that the Dubai Tour is a pretty mediocre race, but at least:

(a) It is cycling when there has been very little for months;
(b) There's a super strong field of sprinters this year;
(c) The Hatta Dam stage is always good for a minute or so of entertainment;
(d) I never get tired of seeing shots of Burj Khalifa.

Obviously the GC seems to be Kittel's for the taking and even at $2.10 I think he's backable. He should be super motivated kicking off with a new team and he only lost 4 seconds the last time he went up Hatta Dam.

Degenkolb is the second favourite but I don't see him picking up many times bonuses other than on Hatta Dam, where I think he'll win.

I prefer Viviani as the main threat to Kittel. His form in Australia looked fabulous. I'm thinking he could even surprise at Milan San Remo.

Overall, a good race to record and watch the final 3 kilometres each day.
The Barb
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06 Feb 2018 08:31

Teuns is in good shape? The last 200 meters of Hatta are perfect for him.
Anyway the overall will likely be for a sprinter.
Nirvana
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06 Feb 2018 09:43

Keen for some sprints!
hammerthaim
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06 Feb 2018 10:09

Andy Fenn in the break at 1m38s
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User avatar TourOfSardinia
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06 Feb 2018 10:10

I'd forgotten how frustrating Kirby is to listen to. "Kristoff is the kind of sprinter who hits the wind and then goes backwards". Really, the guy with the most beastly 300m sprints in the peloton? Especially in February.
User avatar Squire
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Re:

06 Feb 2018 10:18

Squire wrote:I'd forgotten how frustrating Kirby is to listen to. "Kristoff is the kind of sprinter who hits the wind and then goes backwards". Really, the guy with the most beastly 300m sprints in the peloton? Especially in February.

Surely AI can come up with
a sure fire way to filter out any given commentator
- Kirby could be the test case.

Edit:
Even Brian Smith describes Kirby's commentary as a drone
:)
User avatar TourOfSardinia
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Re: Dubai Tour 2018

06 Feb 2018 10:45

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User avatar fauniera
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06 Feb 2018 10:58

Viviani FTW QS look impressive
User avatar MartinGT
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06 Feb 2018 11:12

Is that Nibali down?
User avatar TourOfSardinia
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06 Feb 2018 11:13

Looks like it
User avatar MartinGT
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06 Feb 2018 11:21

Viviani squashed a bit there
User avatar TourOfSardinia
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Re:

06 Feb 2018 11:28

TourOfSardinia wrote:Is that Nibali down?

No it wasn't Nibs
Riposa in pace, Michele!
User avatar Laplaz
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06 Feb 2018 11:33

If prov is right, Jacob Hennessy 6th is v.impressive
Strawberry_Jams
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06 Feb 2018 11:34

W/hat was Viviani doing there trying to get through on the inside? Probably cost himself a win; there was never going to be enough space.
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06 Feb 2018 11:35

Thought Cort Nielsen had it in the bag...

1) Groenewegen
2) Cort Nielsen
3) Viviani
4) Kristoff
5) Bouhanni
6) Hennessy
7) Young
8) Colbrelli
9) Peron
10) Vliegen
Der Effe
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06 Feb 2018 11:37

Wow, impressive sprint by Nielsen. Didn't think he was that fast.
User avatar Hugo Koblet
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06 Feb 2018 11:40

Also impressive from Peron and Novo Nordisk, getting a top10 in such elevated company.
User avatar Squire
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06 Feb 2018 11:45

Who has the best chance of the sprinters on the "micro-Mur"?

It's only really a 200 metre effort on steep gradients.
Velolover2
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Re:

06 Feb 2018 11:50

Velolover2 wrote:Who has the best chance of the sprinters on the "micro-Mur"?

It's only really a 200 metre effort on steep gradients.

Both Cort Nielsen and Groenewegen have a nice uphill kick. Cort can survive harder stages but I don't think that's an issue here since the stage itself is rather easy.

We all know that Valverde is the king of the 1k uphill sprint but who is the king of the 200m uphill sprint?
Velolover2
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Re: Re:

06 Feb 2018 11:53

Velolover2 wrote:
Velolover2 wrote:Who has the best chance of the sprinters on the "micro-Mur"?

It's only really a 200 metre effort on steep gradients.

Both Cort Nielsen and Groenewegen have a nice uphill kick. Cort can survive harder stages but I don't think that's an issue here since the stage itself is rather easy.

We all know that Valverde is the king of the 1k uphill sprint but who is the king of the 200m uphill sprint?

Lobato is the king of the 200m uphill sprint. He's not here though. Degenkolb was quite convincing when he won on the Hatta dam in 2015. Nizzolo was 2nd after Lobato in 2016. In general I'd look for the slightly lighter riders who can produce a lot of power. Viviani should do well. He'll benefit from his team too, as positioning is very important for that stage.
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