Christian wrote:One thing that might partially explain his "performance" if you can call it that.... is that this was a short and fast stage, and so what you need for that is race rhythm and intensity training, none of which he has.... he has trained general stamina but not so much intensity. So when the intensity picks up on the final laps he can't follow.
Of course there are riders like Froome who also do their first race, but Froome at least is a category of his own I would say.... plus Andy has always gotten his victories through endurance and attrition. His best performances have always been at the hardest, 200+km races, or at the third week in the Tour, that's when it really starts to be to his advantage (cf. his top-20 ITT performances in the 3rd week of the Tour, when he is actually a bad TT'er).
Hence also why I don't think he can do well on Green Mountain. It is simply too short and too early, it will be raced really fast and he can't follow then. People like Sagan, Gallopin and Cancellara will likely finish higher than he.
It is more simple... Main thing is that he is not here looking for GC, as his brother, he is just to test himself tomorrow... but he must consider in the test that he today didnt give everything, as another riders...
You can take into consideration what you said, but it is not important.