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Paris-Nice 2012 - Stage 5; Onet-le-Chateau - Mende (178.5 km)

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Paris-Nice 2012 - Stage 5; Onet-le-Chateau - Mende (178.5 km)

07 Mar 2012 19:18

Queen stage of this year's Paris Nice!

map:
Image
profile:
Image

Mende:
Image

2007 results:
1. Contador
2. Rebelin +2
3. Lopez Garcia +12

6. F. Schleck +28
8. Leipheimer +33
12. Chavanel +43

2010 results:
1. Contador
2. S. Sanchez +10
2. J. Rodriguez +18

8. L.L. Sanchez +28
10. Coppel +37
12. Chavanel +44
28. Leipheimer +1:08

GC favourities:
1 Bradley WIGGINS SKY PROCYCLING 13:30:52
2 Levi LEIPHEIMER OMEGA PHARMA-QUICK STEP 0:00:06
3 Tejay VAN GARDEREN BMC RACING TEAM 0:00:11
4 Sylvain CHAVANEL OMEGA PHARMA-QUICK STEP 0:00:14
5 Maxime MONFORT RADIOSHACK-NISSAN 0:00:18

7 Alejandro VALVERDE MOVISTAR TEAM 0:00:20
10 Robert KISERLOVSKI ASTANA PRO TEAM 0:00:36
12 Arnold JEANNESSON FDJ-BIGMAT 0:00:52
14 Gustav LARSSON VACANSOLEIL-DCM 0:02:31
17 Jérôme COPPEL SAUR-SOJASUN 0:02:46
20 Luis-Leon SANCHEZ RABOBANK CYCLING TEAM 0:03:00
21 Laurens TEN DAM RABOBANK CYCLING TEAM 0:03:01
23 Daniel NAVARRO TEAM SAXO BANK 0:03:07
25 Eros CAPECCHI LIQUIGAS-CANNONDALE 0:03:09
26 Rigoberto URAN SKY PROCYCLING 0:03:12
27 Nicolas ROCHE AG2R LA MONDIALE 0:03:12
35 Damiano CUNEGO LAMPRE - ISD 0:03:28
38 Bauke MOLLEMA RABOBANK CYCLING TEAM 0:03:37
FF'Wilco
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07 Mar 2012 19:26

Wasn't Valverde 2nd in 2010???

So yeah, I won't be original - Valverde FTW

Spilak to surprise and top-5
Fetisoff
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07 Mar 2012 19:29

Thomas De Gendt.
User avatar Panda Claws
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07 Mar 2012 19:43

Yeah hard to see past Valverde for this.
inthedrops.net

blackcat wrote:you must respect the Cobra, a man who can give himself his own nickname. he trancends hubris.
User avatar luckyboy
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07 Mar 2012 19:48

It's a nice stage but it goes a long way to showing how poor this year's route is when this is the queen stage.
User avatar will10
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07 Mar 2012 19:49

Tour de France 1995, La Croix Neuve (~3.1 Km, 10.1 %)

Pantani, Indurain, Riis : 8:40 (record time)

Stage winner's time might be over 60 secords slower tomorrow (~9:50).
halamala
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07 Mar 2012 19:52

Barring crashes or bad luck: Valverde. About the only specialist for this kind of finish in the race.
theyoungest
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07 Mar 2012 19:53

halamala wrote:Tour de France 1995, La Croix Neuve (~3.1 Km, 10.1 %)

Pantani, Indurain, Riis : 8:40 (record time)

Stage winner's time might be over 60 secords slower tomorrow (~9:50).


video of that

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O71bQBwSayE
User avatar scullster46
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07 Mar 2012 20:10

I 'll go for a breakaway to stay away somehow with the likes of Voekler, Mollema, Anton, Gerrans, Casar, Barredo, Di Gregorio and maybe De Gendt!!(Taaramae)

Otherwise Valverde for the win!
greatking88
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07 Mar 2012 20:11

Fetisoff wrote:Wasn't Valverde 2nd in 2010???

So yeah, I won't be original - Valverde FTW

Spilak to surprise and top-5

That 2nd place has been erased from history.
User avatar Duartista
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07 Mar 2012 20:16

greatking88 wrote:I 'll go for a breakaway to stay away somehow with the likes of Voekler, Mollema, Anton, Gerrans, Casar, Barredo, Di Gregorio and maybe De Gendt!!(Taaramae)

Otherwise Valverde for the win!


no way in hell will movistar allow a break to stay clear with bonus secs on the line. The question imo isn't who is going to win, that's clearly piti, the question is how well will wiggins manage his losses? he can win PN before we even get to the itt with a good performance here but since he is a diesel for the longer climbs i will say he will lose about 30 secs+ bonus to valverde which should make the final itt super interesting.
User avatar Parrulo
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07 Mar 2012 20:25

Parrulo wrote:no way in hell will movistar allow a break to stay clear with bonus secs on the line. The question imo isn't who is going to win, that's clearly piti, the question is how well will wiggins manage his losses? he can win PN before we even get to the itt with a good performance here but since he is a diesel for the longer climbs i will say he will lose about 30 secs+ bonus to valverde which should make the final itt super interesting.


Going to be interesting. Wiggins was only 20 seconds off the pace on stages 5 and 8 of the Vuelta and they were proper walls. The climb tomorrow is quite a bit longer though.
User avatar Richeypen
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07 Mar 2012 20:25

Results from 2010

http://www.cyclingnews.com/races/paris-nice-2010/stage-4/results

Valverde was second, 10 seconds down on Contador. Only beat Voeckler, Cunego, Kreuziger by 10 seconds, Taaramae by 20 seconds.

Wiggins finished 11th on the Mur de Bretagne in the tour 2011. Would like to see how Uran could go on this climb but i get the feeling he will be pacing Wiggins.
Frosty
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07 Mar 2012 20:27

Wiggins will glide up the slopes to a beautiful victory. :cool:
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07 Mar 2012 20:28

Bubban
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07 Mar 2012 20:32

Parrulo wrote:no way in hell will movistar allow a break to stay clear with bonus secs on the line. The question imo isn't who is going to win, that's clearly piti, the question is how well will wiggins manage his losses? he can win PN before we even get to the itt with a good performance here but since he is a diesel for the longer climbs i will say he will lose about 30 secs+ bonus to valverde which should make the final itt super interesting.


I'm not sure Movistar can control the break too well. They were left with only rojas in front of Valverde for the sprint with 3km to go today, they messed the sprint up a bit in my opinion but we ll see, I do think Valverde will win the stage but i would like to see a strong break give it a go :)
greatking88
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07 Mar 2012 20:46

First off - thanks to Wilco for taking the trouble to set up the thread. I'm afraid that I just assume that someone will do it and wait...

My view is that Wiggins will get to know Valverde's rear wheel very well - right to the end of the stage.
User avatar cycladianpirate
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07 Mar 2012 20:47

Valverde is in good shape, Wiggins in great shape.

I say piti gains max 15".
Flamin
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07 Mar 2012 21:41

FF'Wilco wrote:[B]7 Alejandro VALVERDE MOVISTAR TEAM 0:00:20
10 Robert KISERLOVSKI ASTANA PRO TEAM 0:00:36
12 Arnold JEANNESSON FDJ-BIGMAT 0:00:52
14 Gustav LARSSON VACANSOLEIL-DCM 0:02:31
17 Jérôme COPPEL SAUR-SOJASUN 0:02:46
20 Luis-Leon SANCHEZ RABOBANK CYCLING TEAM 0:03:00
21 Laurens TEN DAM RABOBANK CYCLING TEAM 0:03:01
23 Daniel NAVARRO TEAM SAXO BANK 0:03:07
25 Eros CAPECCHI LIQUIGAS-CANNONDALE 0:03:09
26 Rigoberto URAN SKY PROCYCLING 0:03:12
27 Nicolas ROCHE AG2R LA MONDIALE 0:03:12
35 Damiano CUNEGO LAMPRE - ISD 0:03:28
38 Bauke MOLLEMA RABOBANK CYCLING TEAM 0:03:37

You missed out Spilak hes placed perfectly at 8th and has been looking pretty good, and he looked pretty good at andalucia and has a history of being of valverde's leavings.;)
The whole fight between the top 3 + OMPQS + Valverde means it may be a perfect oppostunity for a well timed attack. Uran looked strong today and he very well may be able to counter anything valverde throws unless its in the last 500m, so attacks before that may be the ones which actually stick even though the climb doesnt really suit it.
User avatar Froome19
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07 Mar 2012 21:45

This type of finish fits Uran very well. But he has to be by Wiggins side anyway.
User avatar Escarabajo
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