theyoungest wrote:Nibali is always fairly unspectacular, but he's also quite consistent, and he knows how to save energy in a three week race. He has also shown steady progression whereas Gesink's progress has been halted and, in my view, set back by the legbreak. In the only "real" mountain stage of the Vuelta with multiple cols you could see Gesink suffered like hell, and he was dropped really early, from a 20 man group. To the "old" Gesink this would never have happened. And the Giro has more stages like this.
Nibali is not that explosive at all. Gesink used to be better on hills than him.
But nowhere do I say that Nibali will be the main contender... I think Hesjedal and Wiggins have an equal or bigger chance.
When all is said and done I thought Nibali's ride in the Tour was impressive. It remains to be seen in 2013 whether he will continue on the same level or improve again but I agree that he will have to be at his best to have any chance against Ryder and Wiggins. I think the team change will only help him as well. It's hard to line up Ryder against Wiggins or even Nibali. Great win in the Giro but how good was the opposition ? It's hard to compare when the riders don't compete against each other regularly. Although looking at Rodriguez's ride in the Vuelta it becomes even less clear as to which GT had the more impressive performances.