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Worlds ITT - Who will win it?

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Who will win?

Poll ended at 24 Sep 2009 16:00

Cancellara
64
86%
Someone else...
10
14%
 
Total votes : 74

Worlds ITT - Who will win it?

19 Sep 2009 15:59

Getting mixed messages about how hard it will be.
Image

Looks like up and down all the time, but how hard are the climbs?

There seems to be just one favorite and the rest are believed to ride for second place.
Your thoughts?
User avatar ak-zaaf
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19 Sep 2009 16:07

check the first page of thread http://forum.cyclingnews.com/showthread.php?t=2447

I think, from the profile I used there, I calculated the following for the 2 peaks in the course:

distance: (2-4)=2km
elevation: (325-425) 100-125m
Gradient: 5%-6.25%

distance: (9.75-10.25)= 1.5km
elevation: (250-375) 125m
Gradient: 8.3%
User avatar Bala Verde
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19 Sep 2009 16:12

I think Canc would have to have a really bad day to lose it. He has proven he can win on hilly courses (Monoco ITT and TdSuisse ITT this year) and flat courses.
User avatar Cobber
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19 Sep 2009 16:19

There seems to be only one 'real climb', and from the image you posted, it appears to be 500/750/1000m long rising from 300m-360m.

That entails a gradient of 12%, 8%, 6%.

If it's the first (12%), I doubt Cancelara will lose too much time he can't make up for (since it's only 500m). If it's 8% or 6%, he can certainly deal with that, as cobber said, he showed that in TdS etc.

Which other rivals are a great deal better on a hilly ITT parcours anyway?
User avatar Bala Verde
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19 Sep 2009 16:23

Don't forget the Beijing TT last year,that was a hilly one.;)
Anyway,as said before,we should discuss here who's going to take silver and bronze,because FC is able to win it even if he's not in top form.
I'm guessing Gustav Larsson and David Millar should be good picks.
Looking forward to see how Tom Zirbel will perform.
User avatar laurentiu46
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19 Sep 2009 16:25

I think most can agree that Cancellara will win so the question then becomes, what riders will take the other medals?

haven't seen a complete list of what riders will riding the TT so does anyone know who the main medal candidates are?

I know that Gustav Larsson is focusing on the race and is hoping to repeat his medal from last years olympics. Also I know the norwegians are hoping that EBH will do a good race in the TT.

Who else will be there? Millar? Zabriskie?

Edit: Beaten to the question by 2 minutes
User avatar ingsve
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19 Sep 2009 16:41

The Americans are coming with Tommy D and Tommy Z for the TT.:D
Maybe Tony Martin could clock a good time.
I see the Kazakhs are betting on Vino and Kash,but i only see AV doing a decent ride.
User avatar laurentiu46
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19 Sep 2009 16:55

Cancellara will win.Anyway, my fav is Bradley Wiggins.
User avatar jens_attacks
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19 Sep 2009 17:10

Kind of strange that nobody mentions the reigning champ, Bert Grabsch, isn't it? I mean, not for the top spot, but among top three? I believe he'll beat Zabriskie.
hektoren
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19 Sep 2009 17:22

I can't really see anyone other than Sparticus winning, unless he is ill, crashes in training or has similar bad luck but I'll be over the moon if Millar and/or Wiggo can get on the podium. A top ten for both is certainly believable.

Team GB's best hope for medals comes from the women though, in both the TT (Pooley) and Road Race (Cooke, Pooley, Armitstead). There could well be two rainbow jerseys on British shoulders next year, but they won't be male shoulders.


I thought I read a few days ago that Dave Z hadn't been included in the US team?
Kingsley A
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19 Sep 2009 17:49

Kingsley A wrote:
I thought I read a few days ago that Dave Z hadn't been included in the US team?


Unfortunately, you are correct. DZ withdrew from the team:

http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/danielson-leads-confirmed-us-worlds-squad

It seems to me that this is Spartacus' race to lose... not only is he (arguably?) the best individual time trialer of recent years, but he has home field advantage. I think a more interesting question than whether or not he's going to win the ITT is whether or not he can also win the road race (wouldn't that be something?!?). Then again, considering the road course, and Fabu's climbing ability, I think that prospect is probably out the door...

Of course, the other favorites have already been mentioned: Larsson, Millar, Wiggins, Grabsch.

BTW, I'm surprised no one has mentioned Svein Tuft of Canada. He's a relatively strong time trialer, and did he not come in second last year?
Give a man a fish and feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish and feed him for a lifetime. Teach a man to cycle and he will realize fishing is stupid and boring.

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User avatar Pseudolus
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19 Sep 2009 18:05

I struggle to see spartacus not winning. EVen if hes crashes... and then crashes again... he will still win :D
User avatar Timmy-loves-Rabo
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19 Sep 2009 19:10

Bala Verde wrote:There seems to be only one 'real climb', and from the image you posted...
Based upon GPS data from the official site (transfered into Bikemap.net) that climb lasts 310m and climbs 45m, or 14.5%.
[SIZE="1"]Where ever you find yourself, there you are[/SIZE]
User avatar benpounder
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19 Sep 2009 21:17

British hopes are all with Wiggo aren't they? I'm pretty sure Millar is only riding the road race as he doesn't think there's enough time between the end of the Vuelta and the World TT.
ruswilks
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19 Sep 2009 22:05

ruswilks wrote:British hopes are all with Wiggo aren't they? I'm pretty sure Millar is only riding the road race as he doesn't think there's enough time between the end of the Vuelta and the World TT.


I'd initially thought this but the most recent article I've seen regarding the GB selection has him riding it.

I assume there will be a formal announcement of the final team in the next 48 hours, unless I've already missed it...
Kingsley A
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19 Sep 2009 22:19

Kingsley A wrote:I'd initially thought this but the most recent article I've seen regarding the GB selection has him riding it.

I assume there will be a formal announcement of the final team in the next 48 hours, unless I've already missed it...


Millar will not ride the World's ITT. This quote is from Velonews:

Despite his track record against the clock, Millar surprisingly said he will not challenge for the world title in the time trial next week in Mendrisio, instead focusing entirely on the road race.
User avatar pedaling squares
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19 Sep 2009 22:36

pedaling squares wrote:Millar will not ride the World's ITT. This quote is from Velonews:

Despite his track record against the clock, Millar surprisingly said he will not challenge for the world title in the time trial next week in Mendrisio, instead focusing entirely on the road race.


Yes, I'd just come back to edit my last post with this more recent (as in a bout a hour ago) article from CN but you'd beaten me to it ;)
Kingsley A
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20 Sep 2009 07:53

I bet for MIkhail Ignatiev
josekaubeda
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20 Sep 2009 16:07

Martin will be a good outsider. He's a huge chance on this course.

Cancellara should win.

I think you boys are missing an in-form man at the moment. Boassen-Hagen. He should figure in the top 10, possibly feature top 5.
Sasquatch
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21 Sep 2009 10:00

It will be interesting to see how Wiggo does against EBH, seeing as Wiggo quit the ToB after 4 stages to concentrate on his training for the TT whereas EBH continued and went on to win the ToB.
timturpinfleck
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