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The Cycling Betting Thread

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The Cycling Betting Thread

28 May 2010 07:32

If you have a punt on cycling, throw your bets in here. That's what I'm going to do.

Aim: To get to $2000 by the end of October. Obviously I will aim higher, but got to stay with what is realistic.

$40 Pinotti over Dupont @ $1.57 (Stage 19)
$30 Basso top 3 @ $1.80 (Stage 19)
$20 Basso over Scarponi @ $1.85 (Stage 19)
$20 Basso over Evans @ $2.25 (Stage 19)
$30 Basso to win the Giro @ $1.55
Sasquatch
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28 May 2010 15:50

Where did you get those odds, they all seem a bit long even going into 19?
User avatar dresch
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28 May 2010 15:52

What do you mean a bit long? They were the stage 19 head to heads. I.E the position the riders finish on the stage.

The only overall bet in there was Basso to win the Giro.

But to answer your question: Bet365, Sportingbet and Centrebet
Sasquatch
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28 May 2010 15:54

Sasquatch wrote:If you have a punt on cycling, throw your bets in here. That's what I'm going to do.

Aim: To get to $2000 by the end of October. Obviously I will aim higher, but got to stay with what is realistic.

$40 Pinotti over Dupont @ $1.57 (Stage 19)
$30 Basso top 3 @ $1.80 (Stage 19)

$20 Basso over Scarponi @ $1.85 (Stage 19)
$20 Basso over Evans @ $2.25 (Stage 19)
$30 Basso to win the Giro @ $1.55


Bold = Winners
Unbold = Losers
Underline = Pending

+$51.8 not including Basso winning the Giro. Though, he won't lose, you can't count your chickens in this game.
Sasquatch
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29 May 2010 04:46

+$51.8

Pending: $30 Basso @ $1.55

Stage 20

$40 Nibali over Evans @ $1.62
$40 Nibali over Vino @ $1.57
$30 Nibali top 3 @ $2.35
$15 Nibali to win @ $7.50
Sasquatch
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30 May 2010 11:07

Sasquatch wrote:+$51.8

Pending: $30 Basso @ $1.55

Stage 20

$40 Nibali over Evans @ $1.62
$40 Nibali over Vino @ $1.57
$30 Nibali top 3 @ $2.35
$15 Nibali to win @ $7.50


Pending: $30 Basso @ $1.55

Final Time Trial

$40 Wiggins over Nibali x Larsson over Cummings @ $1.72
$40 Vinokourov over Nibali @ $1.90
$20 Meyer over Bodnar @ $2.05

$5 Bookwalter @ $41
$10 Larsson @ $21
Sasquatch
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30 May 2010 15:55

sasquatch wrote:pending: $30 basso @ $1.55

final time trial

$40 wiggins over nibali x larsson over cummings @ $1.72
$40 vinokourov over nibali @ $1.90
$20 meyer over bodnar @ $2.05


$5 bookwalter @ $41
$10 larsson @ $21



+$218.1 - ytd
Sasquatch
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31 May 2010 23:17

Sasquatch wrote:What do you mean a bit long? They were the stage 19 head to heads. I.E the position the riders finish on the stage.

The only overall bet in there was Basso to win the Giro.

But to answer your question: Bet365, Sportingbet and Centrebet


Was referring to the odds on Basso to take the win.

Wish I had layed Evans at the end of week 1!
User avatar dresch
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01 Jun 2010 00:40

Every place had him $1.55 the day before he took pink. Some had him at $1.60. But yes, he shouldn't have been that long.
Sasquatch
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05 Jun 2010 16:06

Dauphine:

The odds are exactly as I thought.

Contador $1.80 to win

Contador $2.30 to win prologue
Millar $3.25 to win prologue

Will wait for some head to heads to come through. If there's nothing decent, I"ll be giving this week a miss. Hard to get an idea on what is going on with Contador.

Might do a small play on EBH to win the prologue. $12. If he's in form, he should do it.

We'll see if I decide anything later in the afternoon when more odds are around.
Sasquatch
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06 Jun 2010 06:50

Dauphine Outright

$30 Soler over Szmyd @ $2.25
$30 Van Garderen over Samoilau @ $2
$20 Di Gregorio over Moinard @ $2.10
$25 Zubeldia over Brajkovic @ $1.76
$20 Le Mevel over Van den Broeck @ $1.65

Prologue

$30 Teejay Van Garderen over Jerome Coppel @ $1.85
$20 Chris Horner over Laurent Mangel @ $1.85
$35 Gerraint Thomas over Hayden Roulston @ $1.70
$25 Haimar Zubeldia over Jurgen Van den Broeck @ $1.65

$5 Samuel Sanchez @ $19
$5 Tejay Van Garderen @ $41
Sasquatch
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06 Jun 2010 11:15

$5 Coppel @ $51
$35 Gerraint Thomas over Hayden Roulston @ $1.70
Sasquatch
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06 Jun 2010 12:48

Odds on Van Garderen moving up and down ... took him at 2.04 at Pinnacle, he started as a fav there but odds changed a lot. Dont see a reason why people are backing Coppel. Ok he rides in his home country and thats always a motivation but this short prologue should suit Van Garderen much better then Coppel. We'll see what happens.

Where did you get the bet Horner over Mangel??
Badeend
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06 Jun 2010 12:54

Sportingbet, mate!

Both the Brittish and Australian ones have it.

In the Paris Nice prologue, Horner finished 3 seconds behind Mangel so with a bit more climbing, he should have enough to get him. Thomas finished 20 odd seconds ahead of Roulston, hence the Thomas bet. I know Roulston finished third in a chrono not long ago.

Van Garderen should come top 10, could even push top 5. I wouldn't be surprised if he actually comes up with a win, but Top 5 and 10 would be good for him.
Sasquatch
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06 Jun 2010 13:54

Ok thanks, normally most match-ups are the same at all bookies but at Pinnacle and bet365 (those 2 i use most) its Horner versus Tjallingii.
Horner is in great shape this year but i read on his blog he feels pretty tired after California, he only arrived in France after 20 hours of travelling so its very possible legs arent gone be what they were the previous races.
In normal conditions he should beat Tjallingii and Mangel ... but in cycling anything can happen :)
Badeend
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06 Jun 2010 15:53

Yeah, we'll see. Brajkovic did 8:39, Mandel did 8:59. On a normal day, Horner should do something in-between. So we'll see how he feels but looking at these times so far and considering the big guns haven't come out, I think it's looking good!

Just realised Roulston didn't start, so that bet will be a refund. I wish H2H's were all in, but they're not!
Sasquatch
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06 Jun 2010 16:49

Amazing Van Garderen!!!
Badeend
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06 Jun 2010 16:49

Sasquatch wrote:Dauphine Outright

$30 Soler over Szmyd @ $2.25
$30 Van Garderen over Samoilau @ $2
$20 Di Gregorio over Moinard @ $2.10
$25 Zubeldia over Brajkovic @ $1.76
$20 Le Mevel over Van den Broeck @ $1.65

Prologue

$30 Teejay Van Garderen over Jerome Coppel @ $1.85
$20 Chris Horner over Laurent Mangel @ $1.85

$35 Gerraint Thomas over Hayden Roulston @ $1.70 - REFUND
$25 Haimar Zubeldia over Jurgen Van den Broeck @ $1.65

$5 Samuel Sanchez @ $19
$5 Tejay Van Garderen @ $41


Nice ride from the American. Pity Contador beat him by two seconds. Nearly was a brilliant day.
Sasquatch
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06 Jun 2010 16:50

Badeend wrote:Amazing Van Garderen!!!


Nearly got there. That would have covered my overall bets. ;)

But anyway, strong ride from him. Very strong ride.

To answer your question regarding the books.

Bet365, Pinnacle and Sportingbet do good ones. Centrebet in Australia also do great head to heads. Nearly trump them all with the value. Sportingbet and Centrebet don't change their odds regardless of how much money is put on. Only Bet365 and Pinnacle do.
Sasquatch
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06 Jun 2010 17:14

3/3 and almost Van Garderen at 41, very strong man!!

I'm happy with my pick on Van Garderen, Tjallingii did beat Horner so i'm glad i skipped that one. Thanks to blogs and twitter betting on cycling gets a bit easier! You cant draw a conclussion out of odds going up and down. Van Garderen started at 1.85, went down to 1.56!!! and then up to 2.04 ...

I'll keep an eye on Sportingbet and Centrebet, i also use Unibet and Bwin but they often have only little amount of match-ups and Unibet has incredibly stupid rules!!! When you bet some rider wont finished in top 10 and he does not finish they void the bet :confused:. And Bwin doesnt want to except my money anymore, i tried to deposit 3 times today and they send back my money ... never had that 'problem' with a bookie :D
Badeend
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