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The Cycling Betting Thread

Come in and talk about betting, computer games and cycling simulations, and your office's or online fantasy cycling leagues.

08 Sep 2015 20:20

Was looking forward to bet on the TT, but the h2h's are pretty lame.

For now I have:
JVDB top-3 @ 6/1
De Clercq vs Pozzovivo @ 1.45
Valverde vs Majka @ 2.90 (very nice odds if you ask me even though Valverde is fading)
Brambilla vs Meintjes @ 1.60
User avatar Flamin
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Re:

09 Sep 2015 00:28

Red Rick wrote:Lol, Fraille still at 1.03 for mountains classification. Free money, there, banks take a year to give that kind of roi


I agree that it's ridiculous the odds are still available, but like I mentioned, he's been sick, so if it gets to a stage where he can't ride, he's going to have to pull out. So there's still a 1% chance he can lose it. :p
Sasquatch
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Re: The Cycling Betting Thread

09 Sep 2015 09:35

Sky are still a nice price for the teams classification.

Today I'm on

Van Den Broeck top 3 @ $5
Van Den Broeck @ $151

Oliveira @ $67 and Sanchez @ $15

You can't ignore the form of Oliveira and Sanchez.
Sasquatch
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09 Sep 2015 09:47

VdB top 3 doesn't look too good to me, winning @151 sees a whole lot better though
Kwibus wrote:So much quesions they have. Answers they will never get.
So why questions? If no answers?
-Kwibus, one of the great philosophers of the 21st century
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09 Sep 2015 14:05

Whatever, the guy is hopeless :p
User avatar Flamin
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Re:

09 Sep 2015 16:57

Flamin wrote:Was looking forward to bet on the TT, but the h2h's are pretty lame.

For now I have:
JVDB top-3 @ 6/1
De Clercq vs Pozzovivo @ 1.45
Valverde vs Majka @ 2.90 (very nice odds if you ask me even though Valverde is fading)
Brambilla vs Meintjes @ 1.60


Won all h2h's, especially the one with Valverde was nice :)
User avatar Flamin
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Re:

09 Sep 2015 20:31

Flamin wrote:Whatever, the guy is hopeless :p


Yeah, should've said less crappy
Kwibus wrote:So much quesions they have. Answers they will never get.
So why questions? If no answers?
-Kwibus, one of the great philosophers of the 21st century
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11 Sep 2015 20:56

Any tips for WC? I went for Styby,more for fun tho :)
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Re:

11 Sep 2015 21:17

ILovecycling wrote:Any tips for WC? I went for Styby,more for fun tho :)


Breschel each way
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12 Sep 2015 05:24

Just a few longshots :P

Madrazo @ $301
Bilbao @ $151
Bennett @ $151
Vanendert @ $126
Kiryienka @ $101
Plaza @ $41
Torres @ $34
Sasquatch
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Re:

12 Sep 2015 07:29

ILovecycling wrote:Any tips for WC? I went for Styby,more for fun tho :)

The odds are very disappointing imo.

I had a few in my mind, but the odds are way too low (depending on which sites you have acces to).

Breschel: Only available @ 26 for me. Paddy has him 67 which I think is OK but not that much value.
Greipel: Highest available odds is 51 at Paddy. I would be looking for 70+.
Matthews: Highest available odds is 15. I would be looking for 20+.
Bouhanni: Highest available odds i 41. I would be looking for 50+.
Gallopin: I have a bet on Gallopin @ 67. Highest available odds atm is 51 which is too low.

Oh, and I think Stybar is quite overrated here sorry :) But if I don't win, I hope that you do :D

If you're looking for a longshot, I would look at Geschke @ 501 (Paddy) or Uran @ 251 (10Bet)
User avatar Hugo Koblet
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Re: The Cycling Betting Thread

12 Sep 2015 08:19

Henk Vogels reckons that Rohan Dennis will win the time trial. Win. No. Podium? Yes.

Would it be that outrageous to suggest that Phinney could podium?
Sasquatch
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Re: Re:

12 Sep 2015 08:28

Hugo Koblet wrote:
ILovecycling wrote:Any tips for WC? I went for Styby,more for fun tho :)

The odds are very disappointing imo.

I had a few in my mind, but the odds are way too low (depending on which sites you have acces to).

Breschel: Only available @ 26 for me. Paddy has him 67 which I think is OK but not that much value.
Greipel: Highest available odds is 51 at Paddy. I would be looking for 70+.
Matthews: Highest available odds is 15. I would be looking for 20+.
Bouhanni: Highest available odds i 41. I would be looking for 50+.
Gallopin: I have a bet on Gallopin @ 67. Highest available odds atm is 51 which is too low.

Oh, and I think Stybar is quite overrated here sorry :) But if I don't win, I hope that you do :D

If you're looking for a longshot, I would look at Geschke @ 501 (Paddy) or Uran @ 251 (10Bet)


GB are stupid not naming Adam Yates. He would have been a good chance on this course.

Of the outsiders, Felline could be generous odds. Could see him on the podium.

And I'm going to mention Phinney again. I know he hasn't raced much the last 24 months and he won't have the condition, but you just never know. He has come back alright.
Sasquatch
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Re: The Cycling Betting Thread

12 Sep 2015 11:08

Sasquatch wrote:Henk Vogels reckons that Rohan Dennis will win the time trial. Win. No. Podium? Yes.

Would it be that outrageous to suggest that Phinney could podium?


Dennis is my favourite as well, if he makes a goal out of something he is very good, and he was looking really solid in the USA Pro Challenge. Besides that T Martin didnt have an ideal preparation with his TdF injury and Dumoulin is obviously going very deep in this Vuelta.
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Re:

12 Sep 2015 15:16

Sasquatch wrote:Just a few longshots :P

Madrazo @ $301
Bilbao @ $151
Bennett @ $151
Vanendert @ $126
Kiryienka @ $101
Plaza @ $41
Torres @ $34


I'll take that.
Sasquatch
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Re: Re:

13 Sep 2015 05:59

Hugo Koblet wrote:
ILovecycling wrote:Any tips for WC? I went for Styby,more for fun tho :)

The odds are very disappointing imo.

I had a few in my mind, but the odds are way too low (depending on which sites you have acces to).

Breschel: Only available @ 26 for me. Paddy has him 67 which I think is OK but not that much value.
Greipel: Highest available odds is 51 at Paddy. I would be looking for 70+.
Matthews: Highest available odds is 15. I would be looking for 20+.
Bouhanni: Highest available odds i 41. I would be looking for 50+.
Gallopin: I have a bet on Gallopin @ 67. Highest available odds atm is 51 which is too low.

Oh, and I think Stybar is quite overrated here sorry :) But if I don't win, I hope that you do :D

If you're looking for a longshot, I would look at Geschke @ 501 (Paddy) or Uran @ 251 (10Bet)

I bet that for fun,Styby is my countrymate and a great guy :)
Agreed at odds,if we consuder its a unpredictable wc its weird that odds are this short.Breschel tip is not bet tho ;)


Grats to Sasquatch! :cool
Alberto Contador fanboy
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Re: The Cycling Betting Thread

13 Sep 2015 08:32

Tempting to back Kristoff tonight. He's obviously come back well ahead of the World's.
Sasquatch
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13 Sep 2015 08:53

I wouldn't.

Montréal is too hard for him. Just look at the names that have been contending the last five editions.

Also, take a look at these quotes by Konyshev: "It was hard out there today but in the end Kristoff was better than last year. I think he spent everything today so we’re not expecting so much for Sunday Montréal." and Kristoff himself: "Sunday’s climb is too hard for me – the finish is better but the course is heavier so I don’t think I’ll be there. I will use Montréal for training as I look forward to the Worlds."

Instead I'd be tempted to back Lagutin who will be given a free reign today. He held back Friday with Montréal in mind and he was really strong in Alberta. I'd even be tempted to back Zakarin as well. Lagutin is 250:1 at Paddy and 200:1 at Unibet, Zakarin 150:1 at both sites.

Spilak is a third option seeing that it's likely going to rain tonight. He's 150:1 as well.
User avatar Hugo Koblet
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Re: The Cycling Betting Thread

13 Sep 2015 09:52

Yeah

I'm on at Unibet

Yates @ $41/$11
Zakarin @ $151/$41
Uran @ $26

I see the sense in backing Lagutin and Zakarin, but feel Zakarin would finish it off better. Surely Adam Yates will go with the late attack, so should Zakarin.

I'm also on.

Sbargali @ $19 (Sportsbet for the Aussies, Paddy for the euros)
Impey @ $41 (Crownbet for the Aussies)

Valverde to win the points jersey @ $1.62
Sasquatch
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Re: The Cycling Betting Thread

13 Sep 2015 10:46

Sasquatch wrote:Yeah

I'm on at Unibet

Yates @ $41/$11
Zakarin @ $151/$41
Uran @ $26

I see the sense in backing Lagutin and Zakarin, but feel Zakarin would finish it off better. Surely Adam Yates will go with the late attack, so should Zakarin.

I'm also on.

Sbargali @ $19 (Sportsbet for the Aussies, Paddy for the euros)
Impey @ $41 (Crownbet for the Aussies)

Valverde to win the points jersey @ $1.62


Impey seems very good value to me. I would have liked to bet on him as well but he's only @ 26 now. Nice find. I actually had a bet on Impey @ 101 when he finished second so I was a little upset at that point. Hopefully he'll earn you some cash today :)

Valverde also looks like nice value. He just has to finish 13th or better today which shouldn't be a problem at all.
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