The flattest road stage of the race, barring the final parade. However, it might actually be an exciting day, as the route is really exposed and (as per the predictions at the time of writing on Thursday evening) the wind direction becomes more favourable the closer to Zaragoza they get...
The first 11 riders finished within his current 2:33 margin on Angliru in both 2020 and 2023. I think the odds of him keeping red there are way higher than those of losing it on an earlier stage.
If anyone other than Almeida, Vingegaard and Ciccone is really peaking for that third week, those three might live to regret their current refusal to work together.
He was third in the pseudo-MTT at Gran Camiño earlier this year behind Gee and Piganzoli, also setting the third time split on the climbing part of the route. It'll take a special effort to hold on here but I wouldn't write him off completely.
Do you want to know something depressing? In terms of elevation gain, this stage is 16 metres away from being the queen stage, and it’s on a day with nothing close to a cat. ESP and a MTF that could see very limited gaps if it isn’t raced hard.
Do you want to know something less depressing? Big...
Feel like we're about two more stages like this away from the UAE fanboys on here negatively polarising me into actively rooting for Vingegaard and Ayuso.