Recent content by Hugo Koblet

Evenepoel

Three months time you mean?

Voted Remco and Kooij. Remco probably 90% and Kooij just north of 50%. Magnier and Philipsen has a chance as well, but not above 50% I think, although it's very early to tell with Magnier.

I agree with a schedule like this. I'd like to see him do quite a few one day races as well, so perhaps Ardeche and Drome instead of Algarve would be fine. Also perhaps some Italian classics at the end of the year would be fine. That said, I think there's a decent chance he's going to the Tour...

I think that Seixas is the favorite for 3rd place. Kind of wild considering the fact that he only just turned 19. He will fight against Skjelmose, Skujins, Ayuso, Scaroni, Del Toro etc. - pretty much the usual suspects at this point.

Does anyone know what's wrong? He was a boss in January and February and has disappeared completely since then, except for two won groups sprints for 3rd place. Mistiming of his form? But then he should be able to peak again in the fall. It was also an issue last year.

Exactly. He has been all over the place as in he has been doing very well for a long time. Probably bad wording on my part, but that's what I meant.

We're approaching the part of the season where the riders suddenly just don't have anything left in the tank, making it harder to predict. Del Toro has been all over the place for three months now; he's certainly one of the top candidates to be running out of gas, especially having done the...

I see they did the first 24 km yesterday. Are they doing the second part today then?

I suspect he might be sick since he rode such a bad ITT as well. Or perhaps its just the two GTs in a season at such a young age that's finally taking it's toll.

MTF's like these usually don't provide as big gaps as one might expect. The last five times Angliru has been the MTF, the margin between 1st and 5th has been: 2023: 44 seconds 2020: 26 seconds 2017: 51 seconds 2013: 54 seconds 2012: 1 minute 21 seconds So I don't expect huge gaps today either...

I like the profile. I guess this is just a straight forward break away stage, no? I don't see who should be interested in trying to pull back a break. Q36.5 perhaps. Trek for Ciccone? I don't really think so. I reckon one of the three UAE musketeers will take it. Each for themselves, none for all.

That sounds weird. Especially the fatigue part, since he had less than 50 race days when he blew up this Vuelta. But he has had a few periods of illness and recovery this season, so perhaps that's what's taking its toll as well.

Does anyone know what's going on this Vuelta? He looked pretty good in Poland and all of a sudden he's completely dead.

Didn't Movistar get a cash injection recently?