Recent content by Jan the Man

  1. J

    Teams & Riders Tadej Pogačar discussion thread

    i would not read too much into body language as yet- still i would ordinarily expect Vigno to take some time on Hautacam given the crash.
  2. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2025 Stage 12: Auch - Hautacam (180.6k)

    I voted Vigne to win by 0-30s - my instinct is the injuries will impede Pog in the Pyrenees but not so much to rule him out of the race for yellow next week. I would ordinarily expect in light of crash for Vigne to take some time but i don’t see Pog completely cracking. I know he had adrenaline...
  3. J

    Teams & Riders Tadej Pogačar discussion thread

    His arm did not look too bad - the hip is the bigger concern and how bruised that will be. Hopefully for him it will not affect his performance too much
  4. J

    Teams & Riders Jonas Vingegaard thread: Love in Iberia

    would be very surprised if he did the TT on a TT bike. The flat section is too short to justify any material gain as against the additional weight he’d be carrying up a climb. The same applies to a bike change. Just too short a flat section imo to jusify the bike change. Some TT bars seem to...
  5. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2025 Stage 12: Auch - Hautacam (180.6k)

    Visma must go all in not use Jorgensen as a platform - he should ride full gas see if vigno can ride pog off his wheel. Reality is if he can’t ride him off his wheel tomorrow he is unlikely to be able to take huge chunks of time from him in the TT. Pog will be at his most vulnerable because of...
  6. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2025 Stage 11: Toulouse – Toulouse (156.8k)

    You can’t necessarily judge crash by speed. Clearly Pog’s injuries are nowhere near as serious as Almeida’s and you don’t jump up as quickly as he does even if you have adrenalin if there is a serious structural issue (ie a fracture). It is also fair that almost all crashes which involve road...
  7. J

    Teams & Riders Tadej Pogačar discussion thread

    Great to hear- hopefully he can fire on all (or most) cylinders tomorrow. As for crash We don’t hear audio from peloton who knows whether there was a shout and from perspective i have seen difficult to attribute full blame you also have to be attentive in the group. Whereas slowing shows...
  8. J

    Teams & Riders Tadej Pogačar discussion thread

    far from ideal to crash before the mountains. He must hope the damage road rash wise is minimal. Given he got up so quickly pretty clear there is nothing more serious than road rash, but road rash itself is far from optimum
  9. J

    Teams & Riders Tadej Pogačar discussion thread

    Yes - whereas Jorgensen is no real threat practically in GC., why would you risk giving a strategic advantage
  10. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2025, Stage 5: Caen – Caen (33.0k, ITT)

    I doubt very much he will perform as baddly (relatively) as he did in the Dauphine but given the parcours doubt either of the big two will put major time between each other. However I still think the most likely event is Jonas putting 0-15s on Pog anything over 30s would be a big surprise and...
  11. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2025, Stage 5: Caen – Caen (33.0k, ITT)

    Agreed. He is too far back I think to take yellow given he would need 50s on Jonas and 58s on Pogacar unless both have a very bad day/missfortune. I think something like 25s- 35s to Jonas and 35s-45s to Pogacar are most likely outcome
  12. J

    Teams & Riders Jonas Vingegaard thread: Love in Iberia

    Chapeau - good strong performance and nice sprint. Impossible to judge how closely matched he will be in the mountains as the stages are not comparable and he followed on St Luca but very strong to follow Pog nonetheless and bodes well. Has a good chance to take yellow tomorrow. Will be...
  13. J

    Teams & Riders The Remco Evenepoel is the next Eddy Merckx thread

    A disappointing day. Will be irrelevant on the podium fight- i expect him to be a level above the others vying for 3rd and 39s will be nothing in the mountain but a blow potentially in trying to take Yellow.
  14. J

    Teams & Riders Tadej Pogačar discussion thread

    I think it will be much closer than many people expect. I don’t think it will be a blow out that some may expect and the two are pretty evenly matched when matching their strengths to the parcours. That said it is difficult to ignore the improvements Pog has made since 2023 and his dominance at...