Recent content by Jns

  1. J

    State of the peloton 2022

    Sport performances move forward over time, not only in cycling. The fact that - on the long term - new performances eventually surpass past performances of the doping era, does not prove that the current riders use doping. There is the impact of training methods, better athlete selection...
  2. J

    State of the peloton 2022

    I do believe that there will always be individuals who use doping, but that ratio implies that almost all teams still endorse and organise a doping program. It seems incredibly difficult for a team to organise a successful and secret doping program on the long term. Even when we ignore the...
  3. J

    State of the peloton 2022

    I am new to this forum, so sorry for stupid questions. But why are you all so convinced that all the top riders / top teams are doping? Is this based on any verifiable and objective facts, or only your gut feeling?
  4. J

    Teams & Riders Everybody needs a little bit of Roglstomp in their lives

    The team will only prioritise Vingegaard (to the detriment of the chances of Roglic), if they know that Vingegaard is stronger or more likely to win the TdF than Roglic at that time. I also believe that if the team's data shows that Roglic is the strongest of the two, the team will be favouring...
  5. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Stage 21 (Paris La Défense Arena – Paris Champs-Élysées, 115.6k)

    I'll be keeping my fingers crossed for another Philipsen win. Would be well-deserved.
  6. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Second rest day thread

    You're right; they have indeed followed the same UCI protocol for his case. That makes the alleged statement of Martin even stranger. I don't think it is that weird. All the teams do their own testing and immediately intervene in case of a positive test . The tests undertaken by the UCI seem to...
  7. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Second rest day thread

    All teams still do regular testing themselves. It's in their own self-interest to continue the testing to mitigate the risk of an outbreak within the entire team. I also disagree that the new UCI protocol only obliges "really sick" riders to disappear from the race. If a rider tests positive by...
  8. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Second rest day thread

    Was this outcome really that unlikely? This was obviously not the first covid test for the riders since the start of the TDF. All the teams do very regular testing and they have implemented strict protocols again. Riders or other staff of the team who are positive, are identified early on and...
  9. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Stage 8 (Dole – Lausanne, 186.3k)

    JV simply weighed all options, looked at the probabilities and expected results, and they decided not to put everything on yellow alone. If you look at it objectively, it is a very understandable and correct decision. Yes, to optimise their chances of winning the TDF, they’d have to focus on...
  10. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Stage 4 (Dunkerque – Calais, 171.5k)

    You're counting on other GT teams making a big strategic mistake. No way other GT teams would let Pogacar chase alone against WVA, Vingegaard and Yates.
  11. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Stage 4 (Dunkerque – Calais, 171.5k)

    It's extremely unlikely that they would have gained even more time. Besides the sprinters' teams, Bahrain, AG2R, Bora, UAE and Movistar would all have had a good reason to chase and they had sufficient time to organise (even if they weren't organised yet immediately after the climb). Weighing...
  12. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Stage 4 (Dunkerque – Calais, 171.5k)

    Letting WVA wait for Vingegaard would have been a bad team decision. It is true that, if WVA waits, you slightly increase the chance that Vingegaard and Yates gain a few seconds on Pogacar and some other contenders. However, it is also true that: it is very unlikely that those few seconds will...
  13. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Stage 4 (Dunkerque – Calais, 171.5k)

    ?? Laporte was very strong in 2021 , his last year for Cofidis..
  14. J

    2018 Strade Bianche, 1.UWT, 03.03.18

    I'm expecting Stybar, Kwiatkowski and Vanmarcke to be the strongest riders. I'd love to see Van Aert play a role in the finale, but I'd be surprised if he would.
  15. J

    PREDICTION 2018

    Strade: Stybar Sanremo: Demare Ronde: Sagan Roubaix: Sagan Liège: Valverde Lombardia: Valverde Worlds: Kwiatkowski Worlds ITT: Dumoulin Giro: 1. Dumoulin, 2. Chaves, 3. Aru Tour: 1. Froome, 2. Porte, 3. Quintana Vuelta: 1. Landa, 2. Chaves, 3. Valverde