Recent content by JohnWayne

  1. J

    Giro d'Italia Giro d'Italia 2025 stage 20: Verrès – Sestrière, 205 km

    I’m not sure either. My single-digit estimate was from @ammattipyoraily tweet. The model he uses gave Gee 430.0W with “0% drafting” and 422.7W with “100% drafting”. And that was for the paved part, gravel would be even less (slower).
  2. J

    Giro d'Italia Giro d'Italia 2025 stage 20: Verrès – Sestrière, 205 km

    I think riders hugely overestimate the benefits of drafting on a climb as steep as Finestre. The difference in watts between pulling and following is in single digits. Riders seem to fear pulling their rivals even if it doesn’t really matter. Yates keeping a steady pace vs. Carapaz and Del Toro...
  3. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2024:Stage 21: Monaco - Nice, 21/07, 33.7k (ITT)

    Would need a time under 42:08 or so. Sounds unbelievable, but you never know these days 😅
  4. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2024: Stage 16 16/7 Gruissan - Nîmes, 188.6k

    Really?!? But hey, ever heard of a cyclist who used to be a ski jumper? True story!
  5. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2024, Stage 7: Nuits-Saint-Georges > Gevrey-Chambertin, 25.3 km (ITT)

    De Lie divebombed the descent, 16s faster than Martinez (2nd fastest) T2-T3. Not bad in an under 5min sector.
  6. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2024, Stage 3: Plaisance (Piacenza) > Turin (Torino), 230.8 km

    10-6-4 available at the finish, doesn't seem too likely that Remco, Jonas, Carapaz, Bardet would get top-3 today even if they really tried...
  7. J

    Tour de France Tour de France 2024, Stage 3: Plaisance (Piacenza) > Turin (Torino), 230.8 km

    Was that to be considered a breakaway attempt? Seemed like he asked the Alpecin guy if he can go to a "break", and he got the go-ahead. Sadly, got caught. :D
  8. J

    Commentary on TNT and other WB brands

    Probably quite similar here with Finnish Eurosport. We’ve got a legend Peter Selin doing the races. He usually has his son or some retired pro or semi-pro (Jussi Veikkanen, Kimmo Kananen) with him. I don’t particularly like the way in which some (English) commentators try to fill in and hype up...
  9. J

    Giro d'Italia Giro d'Italia 2024 Stage 17: Selva di Val Gardena/Wolkenstein in Gröden – Passo Brocon, 159.0k

    Another twist to this is that the first climb is Cima Coppi, right? Should increase the number of eager climbers wanting to do a full speed 9k effort from the gun.
  10. J

    Giro d'Italia Giro d'Italia 2024: Stage-by-stage analysis

    Is Mortirolo open? Every page I can find lists it as closed still (e.g. https://www.valtellina.it/it/situazione-passi)? Though realistically that should be easy to clear & open if it still really is closed?
  11. J

    Giro d'Italia Giro d'Italia 2024: Stage-by-stage analysis

    If Stelvio can't be opened, then there's high risk Umbrail won't be open either? It's also not yet open. Maybe Munt la Schera tunnel then?
  12. J

    Giro d'Italia Giro d'Italia 2024: Stage-by-stage analysis

    Indeed, looks very snowy still. Although I guess it's been like that also previously, and they have still managed to clear it in time. Do we know what's the plan B if it can't be ridden? Go around through Switzerland?
  13. J

    Paris - Roubaix 2024, one day monument, April 7

    Was Cancellara (and his team) going for the fastest possible time when he raced? No, of course not. Hence, I don't understand the argument here. PS. The Arenberg chicane contributed less than 0.1kph to the race average speed.
  14. J

    Paris - Roubaix 2024, one day monument, April 7

    Today’s race really bears resemblance to Sky mountain train with peak Froome. Nothing to be done.