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Let's look at the last time these two raced against each other on a punchy finish. If i'm correct that was 2nd etappe of the Tour last year. At that moment they were both in top form. And Nibali won. So he did prove something against Contador, Fact :)
So if we look at the most recent past...
Do you base this on the races won, or the way the races were won?
I don't want to reduce the weight of Nibali's Tour victory (or Quintana's Giro victory), they both races very good! But both didn't have to fight for the victory in the last week, the only thing happening in those weeks were...