114th Paris-Roubaix - UCI World Tour (10/4-2016)

Mar 8, 2014
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!PARIS ROUBAIX 2016!



The intro:

One of the most historical races of all time return for its 114th edition. The Hell of the North is one of the most prestigious races on the calendar, and all of the classics specialist will be present at the starting line on Sunday. The riders will aim to win one of the five monuments of the year.

The sections:

The riders will have to tackle 27 cobblestone sectors, divided into difficulty level with stars. The most challenging parts of the route will be marked with 5 stars (Trouée d’Arenberg, Mons-en-Pévèle, Le Carrefour de l’Arbre) and this is where we will get our biggest questions answered.

(Possibly, the first section Troisvilles and other may be cancelled due to mud problems. More to follow)

27 Troisvilles (km 98.5 - 2200 m) 3 stars
26 Viesly (km 105 - 1800 m) 3
25 Quievy (km 108 - 3700 m) 4
24 Saint-Python (km 112.5 - 1500 m) 2
23 Vertain (km 120.5 - 2300 m) 3
22 Capelle-Ruesnes (km 127 – 1700 m) 3
21 Quérénaing - Maing (km 133.5 - 2500 m) 3
20 Monchaux-sur-Ecaillon (km 136.5 - 1600 m) 3
19 Haveluy (km 149.5 - 2500 m) 4
18 Trouée d’Arenberg (km 158 - 2400 m) 5
17 Wallers - Hélesmes. dit « Pont Gibus » (km 164 - 1600 m) 3
16 Hornaing (km 170.5 - 3700 m) 4
15 Warlaing - Brillon (km 178 - 2400 m) 3
14 Tilloy - Sars-et-Rosières (km 181.5 - 2400 m) 4
13 Beuvry-la-Forêt - Orchies (km 188 - 1400m) 3
12 Orchies (km 193 - 1700 m) 3
11 Auchy-lez-Orchies - Bersée (km 199 - 2700 m) 4
10 Mons-en-Pévèle (km 204.5 - 3000 m) 5
9 Mérignies - Avelin (km 210.5 - 700 m) 2
8 Pont-Thibaut (km 214 - 1400 m) 3
7 Templeuve - Moulin de Vertain (km 220 - 500 m) 2
6a Cysoing - Bourghelles (km 226.5 - 1300 m) 3
6b Bourghelles - Wannehain (km 229 - 1100 m) 3
5 Camphin-en-Pévèle (km 233.5 - 1800 m) 4
4 Le Carrefour de l’Arbre (km 236.5 - 2100 m) 5
3 Gruson (km 238.5 - 1100 m) 2
2 Hem (km 245.5 - 1400 m) 2
1 Roubaix (km 252 - 300 m) 1

The weather:

Right now, the weather forecast is predicting partly cloudy weather, with rain in the evening.

The favorites:

Apart from the Tour of Flanders, the Paris-Roubaix presents a route where power will be more important, than kick up the hills.

Fabian Cancellara, Peter Sagan *****

In my opinion, Peter Sagan presented himself in a class of his own last week, soloing his way to the finish line. The question is though, if he will have enough power to follow Fabian Cancellara, who many people thinks has the bigger engine of the two. IMO it will be very close between the two, and right now I do not see who will challenge the two to the title. For me it is between them.

Sep Vanmarcke, Alexander Kristoff, Zdenek Stybar, ****

Vanmarcke did a great ride in the Tour of Flanders, where he absolutely killed himself. Only Sagan and Cancellara proved to be stronger than him. I have therefore decided to put him in the level just below the best. But he is the strongest contender bellow the two big guys. Etixx-Quickstep have not dominated the classics, as we are used to see it, this year. But the Paris-Roubaix looks to be better suited for the team, with almost too many talented cobblestone riders. Zdenek Stybar will look to improve his 2nd place from last year. Last years winner of Tour of Flanders, Alexander Kristoff is also a big contender for the title. With a good sprint and a big engine, the norwegian is likely the one to win, if a group gets to the velodrome.

Niki Terpstra, Tom Boonen, Luke Rowe ***

The two other main Etixx guys do have some firepower. 4x winner Tom Boonen and 2014 winner Niki Terstra will try possibly be played out earlier than the captains, and that will be the case with a lot of the second-tier guys bellow. Although it is not likely, they do have a shot at fooling the favourites and grabbing the title.

Lars Boom, Edvald Boasson Hagen, Ian Stannard **
Jürgen Roelandts, Tiesj Benoot, Tony Martin *


The lineup:

This is a provisional lineup taken from Steephill. I will update it as soon as the confirmed lineups are released.

IAM CYCLING (IAM)
SUI
BRANDLE Matthias AUT
HAUSSLER Heinrich AUS
HOLLENSTEIN Reto SUI
KLUGE Roger GER
NAESEN Oliver BEL
REYNES MIMO Vicente ESP
SARAMOTINS Aleksejs LAT
VANGENECHTEN Jonas BEL


AG2R LA MONDIALE (ALM)
FRA
BAGDONAS Gediminas LTU
DANIEL Maxime FRA
DENZ Nico GER
GAUDIN Damien FRA
HOULE Hugo CAN
MINARD Sébastien FRA
SERGENT Jesse NZL
TURGOT Sébastien FRA


BMC RACING (BMC)
USA
BURGHARDT Marcus GER
DRUCKER Jean-Pierre LUX
KUENG Stefan SUI
OSS Daniel ITA
PHINNEY Taylor USA
QUINZIATO Manuel ITA
SCHÄR Michael SUI


BORA-ARGON 18 (BOA)
GER
ARCHBOLD Shane NZL
BARTA Jan CZE
BENNETT Sam IRL
MATZKA Ralf GER
PÖSTLBERGER Lukas AUT
SCHILLINGER Andreas GER
SELIG Rudiger GER
THWAITES Scott GBR


COFIDIS, SOLUTIONS CREDITS (COF)
FRA
BOZIC Borut SLO
HOFSTETTER Hugo FRA
JOEAAR Gert EST
LAPORTE Christophe FRA
LEMOINE Cyril FRA
SENECHAL Florian FRA
VAN BILSEN Kenneth BEL
VAN STAEYEN Michael BEL


CANNONDALE (CPT)
USA
BEVIN Patrick NZL
BRESCHEL Matti DEN
LANGEVELD Sebastian NED
MARANGONI Alan ITA
MULLEN Ryan IRL
SKJERPING Kristoffer NOR
VAN BAARLE Dylan NED
WIPPERT Wouter NED


DIMENSION DATA (DDD)
RSA
BOASSON HAGEN Edvald NOR
BRAMMEIER Matt IRL
CAVENDISH Mark GBR
DOUGALL Nick RSA
EISEL Bernhard AUT
FARRAR Tyler USA
JANSE VAN RENSBURG Reinardt RSA
THOMSON Jay Robert RSA


DIRECT ENERGIE (DEN)
FRA
ANDERSON Ryan CAN
CARDIS Romain FRA
CHAVANEL Sylvain FRA
DUCHESNE Antoine CAN
GENE Yohann FRA
MORICE Julien FRA
PETIT Adrien FRA
PICHOT Alexandre FRA


DELKO MARSEILLE PROVENCE KTM (DMP)
FRA
ARISTI GARDOKI Mikel ESP
COMBAUD Romain FRA
GALTA Fredrik Strand NOR
GIRAUD Benjamin FRA
LAAS Martin EST
LABORIE Christophe FRA
MARTINEZ Yannick FRA
SISKEVICIUS Evaldas LTU


ETIXX - QUICK STEP (EQS)
BEL
BOONEN Tom BEL
MAES Nikolas BEL
MARTIN Tony GER
STYBAR Zdenek CZE
TERPSTRA Niki NED
TRENTIN Matteo ITA
VANDENBERGH Stijn BEL


FDJ (FDJ)
FRA
DELAGE Mickael FRA
DEMARE Arnaud FRA
FISCHER Murilo Antonio BRA
HOELGAARD Daniel NOR
KONOVALOVAS Ignatas LTU
LADAGNOUS Matthieu FRA
LE GAC Olivier FRA
SARREAU Marc FRA


FORTUNEO - VITAL CONCEPT (FVC)
FRA
BONNAMOUR Franck FRA
BREEN Vegard NOR
HUTAROVICH Yauheni BLR
JARRIER Benoit FRA
MCLAY Daniel GBR
MOUREY Francis FRA
TRONET Steven FRA
VALLEE Boris BEL


ASTANA (AST)
KAZ
AYAZBAYEV Maxat KAZ
BOOM Lars NED
DE VREESE Laurens BEL
GRUZDEV Dmitriy KAZ
KAMYSHEV Arman KAZ
SMUKULIS Gatis LAT
TLEUBAYEV Ruslan KAZ
WESTRA Lieuwe NED


KATUSHA (KAT)
RUS
GUARNIERI Jacopo ITA
HALLER Marco AUT
ISAYCHEV Vladimir RUS
KOZONCHUK Dmitrii RUS
KRISTOFF Alexander NOR
KUZNETSOV Viacheslav RUS
MORKOV Michael DEN
PORSEV Alexander RUS


LAMPRE - MERIDA (LAM)
ITA
CIMOLAI Davide ITA
FARIA DA COSTA Mario Jorge POR
FENG Chun Kai TPE
FERRARI Roberto ITA
KUMP Marko SLO
PIBERNIK Luka SLO
XU Gang CHN
ZURLO Federico ITA


LOTTO SOUDAL (LTS)
BEL
BAK Lars Ytting DEN
BENOOT Tiesj BEL
FRISON Frederik BEL
GREIPEL André GER
ROELANDTS Jurgen BEL
SIEBERG Marcel GER
WALLAYS Jelle BEL


MOVISTAR (MOV)
ESP
ARCAS PENA Jorge ESP
ERVITI OLLO Imanol ESP
LOBATO DEL VALLE Juan Jose ESP
QUINTANA ROJAS Dayer Uberney COL
SANTOS SIMOES OLIVEIRA Nelson Filipe POR
SOLER Marc ESP
SÜTTERLIN Jasha GER
VENTOSO ALBERDI Francisco José ESP


ORICA GreenEDGE (OGE)
AUS
BEWLEY Sam NZL
DOCKER Mitchell AUS
DURBRIDGE Luke AUS
HAYMAN Mathew AUS
JUUL JENSEN Christopher DEN
KEUKELEIRE Jens BEL
NIELSEN Magnus Cort DEN
TUFT Svein CAN


SKY (SKY)
GBR
FENN Andrew GBR
KNEES Christian GER
MOSCON Gianni ITA
PUCCIO Salvatore ITA
ROWE Luke GBR
STANNARD Ian GBR
VAN POPPEL Danny NED
VIVIANI Elia ITA


TREK - SEGAFREDO (TFS)
USA
CANCELLARA Fabian SUI
DEVOLDER Stijn BEL
IRIZAR ARANBURU Markel ESP
POPOVYCH Yaroslav UKR
RAST Grégory SUI
STUYVEN Jasper BEL
THEUNS Edward BEL
VAN POPPEL Boy NED


GIANT - ALPECIN (TGA)
GER
ANDERSEN Søren Kragh DEN
ARNDT Nikias GER
CURVERS Roy NED
DE BACKER Bert BEL
DE KORT Koen NED
SINKELDAM Ramon NED
STAMSNIJDER Tom NED
WAEYTENS Zico BEL


LOTTO NL - JUMBO (TLJ)
NED
CASTELIJNS Twan NED
ROOSEN Timo NED
TANKINK Bram NED
TEUNISSEN Mike NED
TJALLINGII Maarten NED
VAN ASBROECK Tom BEL
VANMARCKE Sep BEL
WYNANTS Maarten BEL


TINKOFF (TNK)
RUS
BASKA Erik SVK
BLYTHE Adam GBR
GATTO Oscar ITA
GOGL Michael AUT
KOLÁR Michal SVK
SAGAN Peter SVK
TOSATTO Matteo ITA
TRUSOV Nikolay RUS


TOPSPORT VLAANDEREN - BALOISE (TSV)
BEL
CAPIOT Amaury BEL
DECLERCQ Tim BEL
HELVEN Sander BEL
RICKAERT Jonas BEL
STEELS Stijn BEL
VAN HOECKE Gijs BEL
VAN LERBERGHE Bert BEL
VANSPEYBROUCK Pieter BEL


WANTY - GROUPE GOBERT (WGG)
BEL
BACKAERT Frederik BEL
CLAEYS Dimitri BEL
DE HAES Kenny BEL
DEVRIENDT Tom BEL
MARCATO Marco ITA
THURAU Bjorn GER
VAN MELSEN Kevin BEL

Discuss and enjoy the race guys. It looks to be a great one!
 
Having a hard time seeing anyone other than Cancellara, Saganwinning this - possibly Kristoff as well if it's a defensive race.

In fact, can't really see anyone other than Canc winning. He's not going to let any possible threat go after what happened at RVV, and I doubt anyone can live with him when he really lets fly on the pave.
 
Feb 6, 2016
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Good OP, but Thomas definitely isn't riding, I'm fairly convinced Benoot isn't, and I thought Demare wasn't either. Boom should definitely be included on the favourites list, imo, especially since it's muddy and has a 40% chance of rain.
 
May 26, 2015
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Re:

DFA123 said:
Having a hard time seeing anyone other than Cancellara, Saganwinning this - possibly Kristoff as well if it's a defensive race.

In fact, can't really see anyone other than Canc winning. He's not going to let any possible threat go after what happened at RVV, and I doubt anyone can live with him when he really lets fly on the pave.
Sagan will smoke him just like in Flandern. Cancellara dont have what it takes to win Roubaix 4 times :D
 
Re: Re:

blackmamba said:
DFA123 said:
Having a hard time seeing anyone other than Cancellara, Saganwinning this - possibly Kristoff as well if it's a defensive race.

In fact, can't really see anyone other than Canc winning. He's not going to let any possible threat go after what happened at RVV, and I doubt anyone can live with him when he really lets fly on the pave.
Sagan will smoke him just like in Flandern. Cancellara dont have what it takes to win Roubaix 4 times :D
I think Sagan needs brief periods of recovery between the anaerobic efforts to be at his best; which is why he's always done better at Flanders - where you get a nice 1-2 minutes freewheeling downhill after every climb.

The last 4 hours of Roubaix offer pretty much no recovery. You're either on the pave or racing for position ahead of the next set of pave. I just don't think Sagan can be at his explosive best in that situation. Cancellara can and has done many times in the past.
 
Feb 6, 2016
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Re: Re:

DFA123 said:
blackmamba said:
DFA123 said:
Having a hard time seeing anyone other than Cancellara, Saganwinning this - possibly Kristoff as well if it's a defensive race.

In fact, can't really see anyone other than Canc winning. He's not going to let any possible threat go after what happened at RVV, and I doubt anyone can live with him when he really lets fly on the pave.
Sagan will smoke him just like in Flandern. Cancellara dont have what it takes to win Roubaix 4 times :D
I think Sagan needs brief periods of recovery between the anaerobic efforts to be at his best; which is why he's always done better at Flanders - where you get a nice 1-2 minutes freewheeling downhill after every climb.

The last 4 hours of Roubaix offer pretty much no recovery. You're either on the pave or racing for position ahead of the next set of pave. I just don't think Sagan can be at his explosive best in that situation. Cancellara can and has done many times in the past.
Especially for Sagan, who is such a good descender he can gain time in these recovery periods. It's also worth noting that, while Sagan is a decent bike handler, he's comparatively inexperienced on the distinctive and difficult pave of Roubaix (especially in the mud).

*****Cancellara
****Vanmarcke, Stybar
***Sagan, Kristoff, Boom, Terpstra
**Stannard, Rowe, Boonen
*Roelandts, Keukeliere
 
Re: Re:

DFA123 said:
I think Sagan needs brief periods of recovery between the anaerobic efforts to be at his best; which is why he's always done better at Flanders - where you get a nice 1-2 minutes freewheeling downhill after every climb.

The last 4 hours of Roubaix offer pretty much no recovery. You're either on the pave or racing for position ahead of the next set of pave. I just don't think Sagan can be at his explosive best in that situation. Cancellara can and has done many times in the past.
Quoted for truth
 
Hmm i think Paris-Roubaix is less predictable than the Tour of Flanders this year. Although i think Vanmarcke, Cancellara and Sagan are a little stronger than the others. But the possible outsiders are many, and Etixx will try everything to not leave the cobbled classics without a significant podium. So i have no idea who will win.
 
Jun 22, 2015
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What about the weather, seems to be wet the last days but not really on the weekend, right?

But tailwind for the whole route.
 
Kristoff has never performed well in Roubaix, not even last year when he was basically unbeatable in every other race. I don't see how he can be considered on the same level as Sagan, who is clearly stronger than he has ever been.

Cancellara ***
Vanmarcke, Sagan ***
Rowe, Stybar, Terpstra **
Stannard, Kristoff, Boom *

Rowe is my joker here. He has steadily improved over the years and will get to race for himself this time. He suffered a bit on the final walls of Flanders but will be at his best on the flat cobblestones of Roubaix.
I'm sorry to not include Tommeke, but nothing we've seen thus far this season suggests he can win such a race.

Any news on Benoot and Demare kindly appreciated.
 
I'm expecting more open race than ever (in this century).
The strongest team doesn't have a rider close in strength to the strongest from Flanders, so from Arenberg to the velodrome there shouldn't be a meter of freewheeling.
 
I'm hopeful of a classic edition. With no Dengenkolb, Thomas and GVA, with Benoot surely feeling the effects of Sunday, with Kristoff in average form, and with EQS lacking anyone who looks capable of a big win, Sagan, Cancellara and Vanmarcke look comfortably the strongest. But the rest know this, and also know that Sagan and Vanmarcke's teams are weak as p***, and whilst Trek are decent, they don't have the strength to control throughout. So, come the secteurs, we should see the likes of Sky, BMC, EQS, Lotto and Astana sending men up the road. Fingers crossed for a bit of rain too, and we could have mayhem. I'm gonna predict we get an unlikely winner - a strong domestique like an Oss or Trentin.
 
Apr 3, 2011
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Red Rick said:
Alright guys. Who's gonna coordinate the rain dance Sunday morning?
This! And even more - if it does not rain, there should be a sprinkler truck rolling in front of them (preferably with a mud distributing device).
 
Another vote for Rowe as a really strong contender here. Of the 2nd tiers, Boom is looking good too.

Biggest shame is Benoot getting injured. Even if he makes the start line, we're not going to see what he might be capable of. Here's hoping he comes into this race in good shape next year. Really excited by his potential.
 

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