2013 Critérium du Dauphiné Stage 4: Villars-les-Dombes Parc des Oiseaux 32.5 km ITT

[Miburo]

2013 Critérium du Dauphiné Stage 4: Villars-les-Dombes Parc des Oiseaux 32.5 km ITT

1. David Veilleux (Canada/Europcar) in 12u00m22s
2. Gianni Meersman (België/Omega Pharma-Quick Step) op 1m56s
3. Tony Gallopin (Frankrijk/RadioShack-Leopard) op 1m57
4. Alejandro Valverde (Spanje/Movistar) allen z.t.
5. Warren Barguil (Frankrijk/Argos-Shimano)
6. Jakob Fuglsang (Denemarken/Astana)
7. Geraint Thomas (Groot-Brittannië/Sky ProCycling)
8. Angel Madrazo (Spanje/Movistar Team)
9. Richie Porte (Australië/Sky ProCycling)
10. Alberto Contador (Spanje/Team Saxo-Tinkoff)
11. Froome

Normally this is a very easy win for Tony but he has some health problems (http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/martin-continues-in-dauphine-with-intestinal-problems) so who will it be? Still der tony or one of the skyborgs?

It appears that they are already making a deal for who can win tomorrow and thursday:

 

[brilleaben]

A. Contador.

 

[kanari]

My prediction: Sky and OPQS combined to put at least 8 riders in the top 20.

 

[maltiv]

Kwiatkowksi.

Too flat for Porte, Froome and Contador. T Martin is sick.

 

[barmaher]

I will go for Froome, as I have no idea how much Tony Martin will have recovered from his ill-health.

 

[notrolfsorensen]

A. Contador.

That's optimistic. I'm hoping to see Rogers back in topform. He could win this if Tony is sick. But wouldn't mind Bertie slapping the skyborgs around a bit. Dark horse is Castroviejo

 

[airstream]

Froome, Porte +/- 10 sec relatively each other, Contador +30s

 

[del1962]

Pan flat Richie > Froome, the real question is will Rodgers be quicker than Alberto

 

[Miburo]

Kwiatkowksi.

Too flat for Porte, Froome and Contador. T Martin is sick.

I didn't even realise he's in the race

I don't think he's gonna win though.

 

[Dazed and Confused]

Martin will win anyway.

Then Froome and Porte on the lower spots on the podium.

Rogers' power meter not quite calibrated yet, but he might squeeze into top 10.

Contador @ +1min to Martin.

 

[PCutter]

Rohan Dennis for an upset. Well, top 3 anyway

 

[theyoungest]

The guy who always gets ignored in TT previews, Stef Clement, will probably do very well with his Giro legs.

 

[Catwhoorg]

Tony would be a shoe in if he was healthy

Froomedog for the win.
Porte for top 5.

 

[Dazed and Confused]

so what about our friend Veilleux. How much time will he drop to Froome?

A few TT markers:

TdR '13 (18,6km):

1 MARTIN Tony Omega Pharma - Quick-Step 6 50 21:07 52.849
2 MALORI Adriano Lampre - Merida 4 30 0:16 52.190
3 FROOME Christopher Sky Procycling 2 18 0:34 51.468
...
78 VEILLEUX David Team Europcar 2:17 47.692

Belgium Tour '13 (15km)

1 MARTIN Tony Omega Pharma - Quick-Step 20 30 17:42 50.847
2 DUMOULIN Tom Team Argos - Shimano 14 18 0:40 49.002
3 OVECHKIN Artem Rusvelo 8 12 0:43 48.869
....
62 VEILLEUX David Team Europcar 1:45



Canadian TT Champs '11 (43km):

1. TUFT Svein CSM 56'29" 30
2. MEIER Christian UHC 57" 18
3. VEILLEUX David EUC 01'13" 14
4. BELL Zachary CSM 01'26" 10
5. HOULE Hugo CSM 01'32" 7

Post Danmark Rundt '12 (14,5km):

1 WESTRA Lieuwe Vacansoleil - DCM 20 30 16:36 52.410
2 THOMAS Geraint Sky Procycling 14 18 0:19 51.429
3 BOARO Manuele Team Saxo Bank-Tinkoff Bank 8 12 0:22 51.277
4 NAVARDAUSKAS Ramunas Garmin - Sharp 7 7 0:25 51.126
5 FOLSACH Casper Team Concordia Forsinkring - Himmerland 6 4 0:28 50.977
...
...
...
33 VEILLEUX David Team Europcar 1:02 49.338

I think Froome will do about 52km/h. Veilleux max 50km/h.

Anybody good at math?

 

[Roderick]

The Dawg winning this would be a very, very, very bad thing for cycling

 

[Contadoraus Schlecks]

The Dawg winning this would be a very, very, very bad thing for cycling

Can you elaborate?

 

[Roderick]

Can you elaborate?

That would bring me in clinical waters, which isn't allowed here.

I wonder how sick Martin is, should be all his

 

[yetiyeti]

so what about our friend Veilleux. How much time will he drop to Froome?

A few TT markers:

TdR '13 (18,6km):

1 MARTIN Tony Omega Pharma - Quick-Step 6 50 21:07 52.849
2 MALORI Adriano Lampre - Merida 4 30 0:16 52.190
3 FROOME Christopher Sky Procycling 2 18 0:34 51.468
...
78 VEILLEUX David Team Europcar 2:17 47.692

Belgium Tour '13 (15km)

1 MARTIN Tony Omega Pharma - Quick-Step 20 30 17:42 50.847
2 DUMOULIN Tom Team Argos - Shimano 14 18 0:40 49.002
3 OVECHKIN Artem Rusvelo 8 12 0:43 48.869
....
62 VEILLEUX David Team Europcar 1:45



Canadian TT Champs '11 (43km):

1. TUFT Svein CSM 56'29" 30
2. MEIER Christian UHC 57" 18
3. VEILLEUX David EUC 01'13" 14
4. BELL Zachary CSM 01'26" 10
5. HOULE Hugo CSM 01'32" 7

Post Danmark Rundt '12 (14,5km):

1 WESTRA Lieuwe Vacansoleil - DCM 20 30 16:36 52.410
2 THOMAS Geraint Sky Procycling 14 18 0:19 51.429
3 BOARO Manuele Team Saxo Bank-Tinkoff Bank 8 12 0:22 51.277
4 NAVARDAUSKAS Ramunas Garmin - Sharp 7 7 0:25 51.126
5 FOLSACH Casper Team Concordia Forsinkring - Himmerland 6 4 0:28 50.977
...
...
...
33 VEILLEUX David Team Europcar 1:02 49.338

I think Froome will do about 52km/h. Veilleux max 50km/h.

Anybody good at math?

Based your estimated speed, Veilleux would end up about 26 seconds ahead of Froome in GC - Froome 37.5 minutes vs 39 for Veilleux in the ITT. Veilleux's result in the Canadian TT championships isn't very impressive. Might the other results have been skewed by him taking the ITT as a "rest day" given that he was not a GC contender or a threat to win the ITT? He will certainly be giving it everything he has tomorrow.

 

[cycladianpirate]

Just how sick is the Panzer? He would have to be at death's door not to win this.

Martin to win, but without enough of a margin to worry the GC boys.

Edit: I do love a totally unbiased poll.

 

[Vino attacks everyone]

Fuglsang will win

 

[Cimber]

Fuglsang will win

You should money on that. I think you will get great odds

 

[airstream]

The Dawg winning this would be a very, very, very bad thing for cycling

reasonably interesting way of thinking. I'd like to read an explanation even in the other forum section

 

[Cimber]

reasonably interesting way of thinking. I'd like to read an explanation even in the other forum section

Why? You know you wont agree with each other and neither of you will be able to prove your point of view, so it will just be arguing for the sake of it.

 

[sucotash]

DO not underestimate Chavanel.

Bodnar will do well, he is in good form

 

[Hugo Koblet]

Porte will make the others look like junior riders.