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2015 Giro d'Italia, Stage 3: Rapallo – Sestri Levante 136 km

Stage 3: Rapallo – Sestri Levante 136 kms

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Start time: 13:35, May 11th

Analysis:
First medium mountain stage, very short but very interesting as well. The peloton heads for the first time deep into the narrow and twisty Ligurian roads, with a very hilly first part and a flat finale. We start in Rapallo, on the coast, and climb la Ruta, uncategorized, and then head north through the GPM 3 Colle Caprile (11.8 kms at 3.8%). What follows is a sequence of ups and downs (more ups than downs) that end with the final climb of the day, the GPM 2 Barbagelata. This climb features pretty serious ramps, with 5.7 kms at 8.1%. From there on, only downhill. And it's not an easy one at all. In general, the Ligurian descents are all pretty narrow and technical, without too many hairpins but a lot of fast bends. Being fast and narrow, they're also dangerous, and since we started in Rapallo I'm sure you all remember how much.
After approximately 20 km of descent, the road flattens and goes on for 24 km to the finish in Sestri Levante, on easy and straight roads.

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Expectations:
In short, a breakaway. Hopefully big. At the start the GC will be still undefined so any breakaway would go for both the stage and the pink... I expect a big battle to get into it and there's a good chance many teams will send people forward, so that they can avoid pulling the peloton later. It'll be very interesting to see who will take responsibility in the bunch. I do not think sprinters should bother, because I really don't see them making it to the end.
Of course, there's also the possibility the peloton agrees to a ridiculous breakaway of 2-3 men and then reels them in for a reduced sprint. But I prefer the former option.
 
Re: 2015 Giro d'Italia, Stage 3: Rapallo – Sestri Levante 13

This stage reminds me of the mulhouse stage of last years tour which was won by martin. However I have the fear that it will end in a reduced sprint because orica will try to keep the pink jersey. (Although that would be stupid because there will be so many moves on the last climb on tuesday that Im almost one hundred percent sure that the jersey will change its owner that day)
 
Re: 2015 Giro d'Italia, Stage 3: Rapallo – Sestri Levante 13

Gigs_98 said:
This stage reminds me of the mulhouse stage of last years tour which was won by martin. However I have the fear that it will end in a reduced sprint because orica will try to keep the pink jersey. (Although that would be stupid because there will be so many moves on the last climb on tuesday that Im almost one hundred percent sure that the jersey will change its owner that day)

Why would it be stupid? Would still be an extra day + a great oppertunity for Matthews.

Im going for Felline for the stage win though.
 
Jun 15, 2009
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Re: 2015 Giro d'Italia, Stage 3: Rapallo – Sestri Levante 13

Ruudz0r said:
Gigs_98 said:
This stage reminds me of the mulhouse stage of last years tour which was won by martin. However I have the fear that it will end in a reduced sprint because orica will try to keep the pink jersey. (Although that would be stupid because there will be so many moves on the last climb on tuesday that Im almost one hundred percent sure that the jersey will change its owner that day)

Why would it be stupid? Would still be an extra day + a great oppertunity for Matthews.

Im going for Felline for the stage win though.

And I know better... how about you go with Mezgec. ;)

BTW, I stay with Matthews.
 
Since the road starts going up almost at the start, it's going to be hard to control and it could be a lot stronger breakaway than today. It's a good profile for Bling, so before the big climb Orica will ride to keep the break under control. After the climb, there is just over 20km to organise a manic chase. Hence, a strong break has a very good chance of success, but if I had to pick anybody for the win here, it has to be Bling
 
Jun 6, 2010
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Flamin said:
Probably the hardest stage of the Giro to predict, so I like this one :)
Exactly, if Saxo or Sky really want i dont think any sprinter can survive that climb. But they probably wont so i say Matthews.
 
25 kilometers from the descent to the finish seems too much to hold the bunch this early in the race.
And Matthews shouldn't have a problem to survive the hills. So, Orica starring tomorrow, but someone else will probably steal the fame in the bunch sprint.
 
If Tinkoff set a medium-high pace on the climb just to have a safer descent, I don't see more than 40 riders surviving. 6 kms at 8% are a proper climb. It'll all come down to what the pace at the beginning will be.
 
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Eshnar said:
If Tinkoff set a medium-high pace on the climb just to have a safer descent, I don't see more than 40 riders surviving. 6 kms at 8% are a proper climb. It'll all come down to what the pace at the beginning will be.
They don't need to lift the pace to stay safe, to come at the front should be enough.
 
Mar 13, 2015
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Jspear said:
GuyIncognito said:
Perfect stage for Lobato. I expect to see Movistar on the front.

That's what I was thinking, but then I checked were he finished to day. He finished 172nd over 4 minutes down. Anyone know why?

Saving himself for this stage ;)
 
This stage could be very exciting if the breakaway makes it all the way to the finish line. For some reason, LuLu came to my mind -don't know how much freedom he's got in this Giro, but this kind of terrain can be ideal for him to hunt the stage victory and re launch his career :)