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2017 Volta Ciclista a Catalunya, March 20-26, WT

Here it is - after P-N and T-A, the next opportunity to see the big GT guns in action is Volta a Catalunya.

As usual, the route is clearly preferring those who can climb, with three middle mountain stages ending after the descent, two MTFs (one easier and one harder) and usual Montjuic circuit in Barcelona on the final day. This year, the riders will have to face also a long TTT on the second day of the race.

Startlist:
http://www.procyclingstats.com/race/_Volta_Ciclista_a_Catalunya_2017_Startlist

Profiles:

Stage 1: Callela - Callela, 179 km
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Stage 2: Banyoles - Banyoles, 41 km
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Stage 3: Mataro - La Molina (Alp), 181 km
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Stage 4: Llivia - Igualada, 194 km
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Stage 5: Valls - Lo Port (Tortosa), 182 km
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Stage 6: Tortosa - Reus, 190 km
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Stage 7: Barcelona - Barcelona, 139 km
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Lo Port is a very hard climb, but the stage itself is easy while its the other way around for La Molina. I like that there are no stages for pure sprinters, will be some good intermediate stages for complement the 2 MTFs and the long TTT
 
I reckon BMC, Movistar and Sky will be the fastest in the TTT, so the GC will go to Dennis, Valverde or Froome/Thomas. I think.
Valverde has the bonus second advantage.
The TTT is outrageously long. Half the length would have been more than enough.
 
Mar 13, 2015
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Sky vs Contador vs Bala. Too much mountains for Dennis, from BMC maybe Samu can do something
 
Valverde Ftw! For Sky i expect Landa to finally show something here after Thomas strong Tirreno performance.
Zakarin should do better than in Paris-Nice if he wants to be a factor in Giro.
 
Aug 16, 2013
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I'm glad there is a proper mountain stage in it. Tortosa is a really tough climb.

Should a proper fight between the big guns.
 
With the extremely long TTT a good GC for Manzana isn't very much a possibility, but I hope Aguirre and Reyes can show they belong on this level, especially the former. Molano as well, but there isn't much of an actual stage for sprinters here.
 
Re:

Mr.White said:
Sky vs Contador vs Bala. Too much mountains for Dennis, from BMC maybe Samu can do something
Van Garderen another outside bet for BMC. I know he's been hopeless for over a year now, but he showed a few signs of returning to form in Tirreno and if he gets a minute or so advantage from the TT, he could make top 3.
 
I can see good reasons to experiment with a TTT like this in theory. It should force teams to pick big lumps to avoid being put out of GC contention, which should bias teams away from mountain support, which should make it much harder to strangle the hilly and mountain stages. Presumably the idea was to encourage situations where domestiques get dropped early and the GC riders can't be controlled. The problem is that this race coincides with a major cobbled classic, so most teams can't or won't send their A team of big lumps. There is a strong likelihood of huge gaps killing the GC race if one or two teams have an actually good TTT line up and just batter the rest.
 
Re:

Zinoviev Letter said:
I can see good reasons to experiment with a TTT like this in theory. It should force teams to pick big lumps to avoid being put out of GC contention, which should bias teams away from mountain support, which should make it much harder to strangle the hilly and mountain stages. Presumably the idea was to encourage situations where domestiques get dropped early and the GC riders can't be controlled. The problem is that this race coincides with a major cobbled classic, so most teams can't or won't send their A team of big lumps. There is a strong likelihood of huge gaps killing the GC race if one or two teams have an actually good TTT line up and just batter the rest.
I think you're giving the organizers too much credit.