Re: 2018 Giro d'Italia, Stage 1: Jerusalem - Jerusalem ITT 9
Gotta take into account that crashes take a lot of energy as well, so it's especially bad if you're counting on it to improve during the first part of the race. If the crash makes you waste too much extra energy, you're just exhausing yourself while you're hanging on by a thread.Gigs_98 said:Dumoulin must be the happiest man in the world right now. He is in great shape, won a stage, wears pink and his biggest rival was way worse than expected.
The big question is whether Froome was bad because of a bad shape or because of the crash. And actually I don't even know what's the better option. If this performance was due to his bad shape I have problems seeing him improve so much that he can win. Moreover, if he loses over half a minute on 10 kilometers, he'd lose a lot of time on 35 kilometers? He'd lose over two minutes on Dumoulin just in the time trials and I'm not convinced he has the climbing shape to make that up.
If he is injured however (imo the more likely option. I just refuse to believe Froome messed up his preparation so badly) he could recover and be back at his best in the alps. However you don't lose so much time due to a few minor bruises you got hours ago. Last year Geraint Thomas was still superb after his crash, getting 2nd in the ITT, gaining around 1:20 on a good time trialist like Nibali and still he had to abandon the race. I think Froome will lose more time in the first week, but maybe he can recover. That would in my opinion also be the best scenario for the race.
Actually what I just wrote about Froome 100% counts for Lopez as well. We don't exactly know how good/bad Lopez is in TT's so his bad performance didn't strike out as much as Froome's, but I really really don't think a 61st place represents how good he really is.