2019 Giro d'Italia stage 9: Riccione - San Marino 34.7km ITT

[Jancouver]

Stage 9: Riccione - San Marino 34.7 km ITT

Sunday, May 19th

START TIME: 13.15 CEST

FINISH TIME: ~17.15 CEST

Technical Overview:
The most important ITT of this edition is not a long one, with less than 35 km, but it is still quite a tough one, and an absolute classic for the Giro. Starting from the Adriatic coast, in Riccione, the riders will have to cross the border for the first and last time this year. The first third of this ITT is completely flat on rural roads, which should not provide any particular challenge to the riders, besides some curvy sections, all the way to the first time split of Ospedaletto (km 11.7). The second third goes along wider and even easier roads which will favour the specialists a lot more, also considering these roads are actually slightly uphill (on average only 1%, but still...), so raw power will be key. This section ends with the second time split, in Faetano (km 22.2, quite evenly spaced with the first one). Before that, at km 19.7, the riders will have crossed the border and entered the micro-state of San Marino (GPM2, 12.2 km at 4.5%), which is regarded by some as the oldest continuous sovereign country in the world, as well as the oldest constitutional republic. The stage ends in its capital, which is famously built on a hill, Monte Titano. In fact, the climb will start immediately after the split in Faetano. It's quite irregular, and can be divided into three sections. The first is probably the toughest part of the stage, with 5.3 km at 6.7%, with some very tough ramps (max 11%). After that, the second section is a 4.7 km long false flat, ascending and descending, and ends at 2.2 km to go. Those final 2.2 km are uphill again, with a 6.4% average gradient to reach the finishing line.

The Climbs:
San Marino, GPM2, 12.2 km at 4.5%
A very irregular climb, with a long false flat before the last ramp.

What to expect:
A key day for the GC. Roughly 50' of effort that should favour the specialists, although the final climb should help climbers to limit their losses.

San Marino

 

[del1962]

Finally a stage for the GC

 

[Poursuivant]

Re:

Finally a stage for the GC

Then After this, we wait until Thursday

 

[Bavarianrider]

Re: 2019 Giro d'Italia stage 9: Riccione - San Marino 34.7km

If only this was 10km longer.

 

[SafeBet]

Can't see Roglic losing this if in he's in his prologue shape.
Nibali and Yates should be in the top5 as well.

Curious to see if Lopez can limit his losses.

 

[Pantani_lives]

I expect something like this:

Roglic
Campenaerts +10"
Nibali +40"
Yates +50"
Amador +1'00"
Majka +1'10"
Bilbao +1'10"
Conti + 1'20
López +1'40"
Landa +2'00"
Carápaz +2'00"

 

[bajbar]

Re:

I expect something like this:

Roglic
Campenaerts +10"
Nibali +40"
Yates +50"
Amador +1'00"
Majka +1'10"
Bilbao +1'10"
Conti + 1'20
López +1'40"
Landa +2'00"
Carápaz +2'00"

I have a feeling gaps will be slightly bigger than this.

 

[Salvarani]

There are gonna be bigger gaps between the favorites.

 

[johnymax]

Re:

I expect something like this:

Roglic
Campenaerts +10"
Nibali +40"
Yates +50"
Amador +1'00"
Majka +1'10"
Bilbao +1'10"
Conti + 1'20
López +1'40"
Landa +2'00"
Carápaz +2'00"

I expect bigger gaps. It's going to be difficult to stay within a minute from Roglic. Maybe you are right about Campenaerts. I almost forgot about him. When I thought about the stage I was always looking at Rogla, Yates, Nibali, 1, 2, 3. Still I think the gaps will be bigger. Something between 1min and 1:30 for Nibali and Yates.

 

[Son of Amsterhammer]

Will Rogla’s fall play a role? He still looks plenty strong, but hasn’t really been tested.

 

[johnymax]

I'm still really disappointed there's no Dumoulin. Him vs Rogla in this one was going to be one of the highlights of the Giro for me. A shame

 

[Dazed and Confused]

well, the GC guys along with the race organizers etc will have a hard time neutralizing this......

 

[Mayomaniac]

Re: Re:

Finally a stage for the GC

Then After this, we wait until Thursday

Before the riders have ton endure all the hard stages the fans must survive 3 days of hell, rest day and two plain flat sprint stages.
Jokes aside, Nibali limiting his losses to under o1:30 in this ITT would be good news for him. Conti to do better than expected.

 

[Max Rockatansky]

Re: 2019 Giro d'Italia stage 9: Riccione - San Marino 34.7km

The San Marino Individual Time Trial is some kind of a legend in the Giro. However it hasn't been in the percorso for over 20 years now. But still the art of cronoescalada is big in il Giro.
Interestingly only in two editions, the winner of this itt also won the Giro. Pavel Tonkov in 1997 and Beppe Saronni in 1979.

Stage 3, 1997 - Santarcangelo di Romagna › San Marino (18k)
Winner: Pavel Tonkov (34.1 km/h)
Gap to Nr. 10: +1:22

Stage 13, 1987 - Rimini › San Marino (46k)
Winner: Roberto Visentini (38.5 km/h)
Gap to Nr. 10: +2:41

Stage 8, 1979 - Rimini › San Marino (28k)
Winner: Giuseppe Saronni (36.6 km/h)
Gap to Nr. 10: +3:05

Stage 15, 1969 - Cesenatico › San Marino (49.3k)
Winner: Eddy Merckx (39.8 km/h)
Gap to Nr. 10: +6:16

Stage 16, 1968 - Cesenatico › San Marino (43.9k)
Winner: Felice Gimondi (35.2 km/h)
Gap to Nr. 10: +3:54

Stage 12, 1951 - Rimini › San Marino (24k)
Winner: Giancarlo Astrua (31.9 km/h)
Gap to Nr. 10: +1:35

Odds for Roglic around 1.20

 

[hayneplane]

Looks a great course for Roglic if the crash isn’t hampering him at all. I think Yates, Nibali and MAL would all sign on the dotted line right now if offered a 1 minute time loss.

A fit Dumoulin would have been favourite on this course but it looks like too much climbing for the purer time trial specialists like Campanaerts to challenge for the top step but they may feature in the top 5.

Conti will rarely have ridden a TT with any major incentive to push 100% but he should be able to defend himself well enough to keep the Maglia Rosa and take it to the start line of the opening real mountain stage.

 

[yaco]

Yates/Nibali types will be delighted if they can finish within a minute of Roglic - This then gives Roglic close to a two minute lead - Assuming that Roglic takes 40 seconds in the final ITT, this means contenders need to find three minutes in the mountains which could be a tall order.

 

[tobydawq]

Re:

Looks a great course for Roglic if the crash isn’t hampering him at all. I think Yates, Nibali and MAL would all sign on the dotted line right now if offered a 1 minute time loss.

A fit Dumoulin would have been favourite on this course but it looks like too much climbing for the purer time trial specialists like Campanaerts to challenge for the top step but they may feature in the top 5.

Conti will rarely have ridden a TT with any major incentive to push 100% but he should be able to defend himself well enough to keep the Maglia Rosa and take it to the start line of the opening real mountain stage.

Actually, he was second in the San Juan TT earlier this year, beating Evenepoel. That was on regular road bikes, though.

 

[Red Rick]

Dunno, but it's not really explosive which relatively suits Nibali imo.

But we have had 7 long road stages, and still no clue where the legs stand.

 

[Mayomaniac]

Re: Re:

Looks a great course for Roglic if the crash isn’t hampering him at all. I think Yates, Nibali and MAL would all sign on the dotted line right now if offered a 1 minute time loss.

A fit Dumoulin would have been favourite on this course but it looks like too much climbing for the purer time trial specialists like Campanaerts to challenge for the top step but they may feature in the top 5.

Conti will rarely have ridden a TT with any major incentive to push 100% but he should be able to defend himself well enough to keep the Maglia Rosa and take it to the start line of the opening real mountain stage.

Actually, he was second in the San Juan TT earlier this year, beating Evenepoel. That was on regular road bikes, though.

He also finished 14th in the hilly TdS ITT in 2017, he's not that bad.
Can someone like van Emden finish inside the top 10 in such an ITT?
Among the lesser gc riders (with all the respect) Jungels and Kangert should do pretty well.

 

[Lequack]

I told you guys Conti will win this Giro. How can he lose more than 5 minutes?

 

[Jancouver]

Re:

I told you guys Conti will win this Giro. How can he lose more than 5 minutes?

How? Easy! Couple minutes here, couple of minutes there and before you know it, he is 20min behind.

 

[Red Rick]

So sad this ITT is on a frigging Sunday.

 

[Rollthedice]

Re:

So sad this ITT is on a frigging Sunday.

Afternoon church?

 

[Red Rick]

Re: Re:

So sad this ITT is on a frigging Sunday.

Afternoon church?

Yeah not gonna watch an ITT over Djokovic/Nadal.

 

[tobydawq]

Re: Re:

So sad this ITT is on a frigging Sunday.

Afternoon church?

:lol: :lol: