Giro d'Italia 2021 Giro d'Italia, Stage 21: Senago – Milano 30.3 km ITT

Ganna?

  • 0.1 - 10 seconds

    Votes: 2 4.0%
  • 10.1 - 20 seconds

    Votes: 8 16.0%
  • 20.1 - 30 seconds

    Votes: 10 20.0%
  • 30.1 - 40 seconds

    Votes: 9 18.0%
  • 40.1 - 50 seconds

    Votes: 5 10.0%
  • 50.1 - 60 seconds

    Votes: 2 4.0%
  • Over a minute

    Votes: 8 16.0%
  • No! (Who? - name in your reply)

    Votes: 6 12.0%

  • Total voters
    50
You know the drill by now... Eshnar did it.

Stage 21: Senago – Milano 30.3 km ITT

Sunday, May 30th, 13.35 CEST








Technical Overview:

The final stage of the Giro is, as usual recently, an ITT, but this time it is the only “long” one, like it happened last time in 2012. From Senago to Milano, the road will always be pan flat, but it will not be straight all the way. The route is divided into three parts by the two intermediate checkpoints, in Cascina Battiloca (km 9.2) and Sesto San Giovanni (km 18.8). Of these three sectors the last one is the most power-friendly, featuring long straights with turns only at the end into the city center, to get to the usual finish line in front of the Duomo.



Final Kilometers





What to expect:

It is a time trial for pure specialists in a Giro that barely has any time trials… Gaps should be fairly consistent but it all depends on how the GC looks like coming into the stage.





Duomo di Milano
 
Caruso produced pretty much Bernal level W/kg on the finishing climbs on stages 17 and 19. Of course end of stage 30-40 minute effort is different to an ITT of the same duration and there is a power loss from riding in the TT position, but as a rough estimate, it looks like Caruso can produce 30-35 watts more than Bernal for the duration of the ITT, so he should beat Bernal relatively easily.
 
I'll be in various spots during the race. Early I'll be watching from my balcony in Sesto San Giovanni :)
Then I'll follow the TT route and take some pictures where there aren't many fans.
For the last 20-30 riders I'll be in Milan close to the finish.
So you're an actual time trial traveller?

Based purely on the stage 1 Foss, Almeida and Vlasov should be the best among the GC contenders. Caruso also did well on that stage. Yates hasn't ridden a great TT on a Bianchi bike yet, so it'll be difficult for him to overtake Caruso, unless he takes more time on him tomorrow.

Affini, Cavagna and Ganna and maybe Bettiol and Moscon should finish high up.
 
You know the drill by now... Eshnar did it.

Stage 21: Senago – Milano 30.3 km ITT

Sunday, May 30th, 13.35 CEST








Technical Overview:

The final stage of the Giro is, as usual recently, an ITT, but this time it is the only “long” one, like it happened last time in 2012. From Senago to Milano, the road will always be pan flat, but it will not be straight all the way. The route is divided into three parts by the two intermediate checkpoints, in Cascina Battiloca (km 9.2) and Sesto San Giovanni (km 18.8). Of these three sectors the last one is the most power-friendly, featuring long straights with turns only at the end into the city center, to get to the usual finish line in front of the Duomo.



Final Kilometers





What to expect:

It is a time trial for pure specialists in a Giro that barely has any time trials… Gaps should be fairly consistent but it all depends on how the GC looks like coming into the stage.





Duomo di Milano
Still no average gradients on the profile :mad:

Will Ganna be able to smash Zülle's 53.771 avg. from 1998 or is the course too technical? And will the wind be in his favor?
 
Last edited:
So who can make a GC change tomorrow?

Bernal safe
Caruso has made himself today for second
Yates has a huge margin on Vlasov
Bardet won't beat anyone on a TT
If Martinez has anything left in his legs, he should be able to take Bardet's fifth.
Carthy won't overtake Martinez, but could get Bardet.
Almeida should be very close to passing Bardet and Carthy, but not Martinez
Foss might be the best TTer in the top ten, but the gap in front of him is huge.
Dan Martin will be glad to see how big the gap back to 11th is so that he can get his top ten in all three GTs


So final top ten:
  1. Bernal
  2. Caruso
  3. Yates
  4. Vlasov
  5. Martinez
  6. Almeida
  7. Carthy
  8. Bardet
  9. Foss
  10. Martin
Final placings 5th to 8th will, I think, be very close.
 
So who can make a GC change tomorrow?

Bernal safe
Caruso has made himself today for second
Yates has a huge margin on Vlasov
Bardet won't beat anyone on a TT
If Martinez has anything left in his legs, he should be able to take Bardet's fifth.
Carthy won't overtake Martinez, but could get Bardet.
Almeida should be very close to passing Bardet and Carthy, but not Martinez
Foss might be the best TTer in the top ten, but the gap in front of him is huge.
Dan Martin will be glad to see how big the gap back to 11th is so that he can get his top ten in all three GTs


So final top ten:
  1. Bernal
  2. Caruso
  3. Yates
  4. Vlasov
  5. Martinez
  6. Almeida
  7. Carthy
  8. Bardet
  9. Foss
  10. Martin
Final placings 5th to 8th will, I think, be very close.
Exactly how I see it. Posted the same in the other stage thread before seeing this.
 
So who can make a GC change tomorrow?

Bernal safe
Caruso has made himself today for second
Yates has a huge margin on Vlasov
Bardet won't beat anyone on a TT
If Martinez has anything left in his legs, he should be able to take Bardet's fifth.
Carthy won't overtake Martinez, but could get Bardet.
Almeida should be very close to passing Bardet and Carthy, but not Martinez
Foss might be the best TTer in the top ten, but the gap in front of him is huge.
Dan Martin will be glad to see how big the gap back to 11th is so that he can get his top ten in all three GTs


So final top ten:
  1. Bernal
  2. Caruso
  3. Yates
  4. Vlasov
  5. Martinez
  6. Almeida
  7. Carthy
  8. Bardet
  9. Foss
  10. Martin
Final placings 5th to 8th will, I think, be very close.
Looks like a good prediction.
 
Reactions: Sandisfan
How much do people reckon can Almeida gain here? There are still a few riders in front of him that he might be able to catch. That said, it's pretty insane how huge the gc gaps become behind him. Dan Martin is gonna finish in the top 10 likely more than 17 minutes behind the winner. That seems more than usual.
 
Reactions: Sandisfan
How much do people reckon can Almeida gain here? There are still a few riders in front of him that he might be able to catch. That said, it's pretty insane how huge the gc gaps become behind him. Dan Martin is gonna finish in the top 10 likely more than 17 minutes behind the winner. That seems more than usual.
I think he can get 6th in GC. Vlasov is too far in front, and Martinez is too good of a TT'er to catch a minute on.
 

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