I think Almeida will start strong again and will probably have the Maglia Rosa for a number of days during the first half of the race but I would not be surprised if he drops out of the top 10 in the second half on some of those proper mountain stages.About Almeida: Although it's hard to find a scenario where he actually wins, I think he's now getting underestimated a bit. True, he never was among the absolut best climbers, but what I find amazing about him is how he just keeps on fighting and then comes back when he's already been long dropped. He knows how to limit his losses and overall seems pretty consistent.
This season he was third at UAE, behind Pogacar and A Yates, 6th at TA and 6th on Prato di Tivo, 7th at Catalunya. Look who he left behind him, those are some big names. If Masnada is in great form, there is no reason why Almeida shouldn't be. We just haven't seen him in a stage race since Catalunya, maybe that's also a reason why he's not the talk of the town?
About that scenario: What if the major favourites all have their problems, Evenepoel loses time early on and does actually work for him? (And Masnada as well.) And he has a team with Cavagna, Honoré and Knox dedicated to him?