After 2 weeks Vuelta. Who will win it?

[Miburo]

Alright we're going in to the last week of the vuelta and it seems it's going to be Contador vs Purito. Still don't count out Valverde and Froome. They've a very strong team.

Anyway after almost 2 weeks the vuelta, who will win the vuelta?

I say Contador.

The real mountains start now, we'll get stages with 4 mountains in 1 stage. The harder the better for him. He keeps getting better, that's obviously visible and he's just the best climber in the world.

Purito is strong and he showed consistency in the giro but Alberto is on a different level than those of the giro.

 

[Eshnar]

Contador
.
.
.
.
Purito
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
Valverde & Froome.

 

[LaFlorecita]

Alberto
Purito +1'
Valverde +2'30" (just cos I want a spanish podium )
Froome +3'

 

[cineteq]

Hope Gesink makes you look bad for not including him.

1. Rodriguez
2. Contador
3. Gesink

 

[SafeBet]

I'm confident Contador will win it. And not by a slight margin.

 

[Miburo]

Hope Gesink makes you look bad for not including him.

1. Rodriguez
2. Contador
3. Gesink

I was going to do put option 5 in it 'other'. But that's something you do at the beginning of the vuelta. It's obvious it's one of those 4. Don't think anyone will question that.

 

[SafeBet]

I was going to do put option 5 in it 'other'. But that's something you do at the beginning of the vuelta. It's obvious it's one of those 4. Don't think anyone will question that.

Vino could still win it.

 

[The Hitch]

Hope Gesink makes you look bad for not including him.

And yet even you dont think he can win

1. Rodriguez
2. Contador
3. Gesink

 

[Pentacycle]

Contador is on course ftw, though I'm still hoping Rodriguez will take it.

Why are Valverde and Froome included here? They both rode the whole Tour, and they're looking tired out.
This thread is about winning this Vuelta, not who'll get the podium spots.

 

[The Hitch]

Funny thing, i remember this poll at the same time last year (in fact we were well in the mountains by then).

something like 60% said Nibali and 30% said Wiggins.

Few went for Froome and Cobo.

 

[SafeBet]

Funny thing, i remember this poll at the same time last year (in fact we were well in the mountains by then).

something like 60% said Nibali and 30% said Wiggins.

Few went for Froome and Cobo.

True that.
It's Nibali's to lose was the most read comment of those days.

 

[cineteq]

And yet even you dont think he can win

I think he can win, but I can only choose the one who's most likely to win.

It's obvious it's one of those 4. Don't think anyone will question that.

Obviously, I questioned it. The rationale is, if you put Froome and Valverde, Gesink must be there as well, as he's improving and the big mountains suits his riding.

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

1 Contador
2 Rodriguez
3 Valverde
4 Gesink

Froome wil fade I think

 

[LaFlorecita]

The one who wins the polls never wins the race. Wiggins this year was an exception but then again he was almost tied with Evans

 

[Netserk]

1 Contador
2 Rodriguez
3 Valverde
4 Gesink

Froome wil fade I think

+1

This Vuelta is designed to a all Spanish podium.

 

[cineteq]

The one who wins the polls never wins the race. Wiggins this year was an exception but then again he was almost tied with Evans

So that means Alberto is jinxed?

 

[Nick C.]

1 Contador
2 Rodriguez
3 Valverde
4 Gesink

Froome wil fade I think

make that +2

anyone able to quickly link the poll from last year? I probably, in fact I'm sure I was, in the Nibali's to lose camp. Wasn't the last week last year mostly flat stages other than maybe Angrilu somewhere in the middle of the week at best?

 

[icefire]

I checked a few days ago the results of the ITT last year and found that Cobo was more than 1:30 down on GC then. That's a bit more than what Purito has on Froome, so if you want to see a better Vuelta than last year pray for Gesink to win

 

[LaFlorecita]

So that means Alberto is jinxed?

I hope not

 

[sultanofhyd]

make that +2

anyone able to quickly link the poll from last year? I probably, in fact I'm sure I was, in the Nibali's to lose camp. Wasn't the last week last year mostly flat stages other than maybe Angrilu somewhere in the middle of the week at best?

Angliru and Pena Cabarga.

 

[SafeBet]

make that +2

anyone able to quickly link the poll from last year? I probably, in fact I'm sure I was, in the Nibali's to lose camp. Wasn't the last week last year mostly flat stages other than maybe Angrilu somewhere in the middle of the week at best?

Take a look by yourself: http://www.cicloweb.it/analisi_percorso/vuelta-a-espana-2011.html

I can't find words to describe how poorly designed that third week was. Angliru was actually at the end of second week.

 

[spalco]

still keeping hope for a non-contador win alive. go purito!

 

[royalpig180]

I do think Contador will pull back Purito once we hit the toughest mountain stages and he will win this Vuelta. That said, I don't think Purito can be written off completely and I don't think Contador will win easily or by a large margin. Contador's yet to show any stupendous level of form and if Purito can handle the high mountains the way he did in the Giro, it'll at least be interesting...

 

[airstream]

I don't know. On one hand, Purito has never been a consistent climber before the Giro whereas Contador obv is not on the level of his best patterns. Contador can get stronger, but will that be enough to beat Purito? And at last why the man in form of his life can not withstand agaist this Contador? I wouldn't totally rely on criteria of palmares. Nonetheless, voted for the Froome just cos I don't like to be like majority.

 

[Carols]

Contador
Purito
Valverde

I've lost to much $$ on Gesink to ever consider him again LOL He will probably crash going uphill