Fair point.
OK so Rogla to Ineos. Sleeping giant Rogla would need to awaken. Hard task to do, still Rogla has a decade of experience and a good track record with that. The question is on how serious is the other side.
Rogla to Bora. A risk, especially due to moving away from arguably the best team in the peloton, still Bora is a team that has good foundations. It's just missing that something extra. I mean Bora already has an A team to support a rider like Rogla at the Tour. You don't get to there without some serious know how.
Remco to Ineos. Likely that would indicate Remco would go to Ineos in any case. Merger being the consequence. Is Remco the type of rider to turn Ineos around at this point? Likely too young for that. Direct expectation to win the Tour would likely do more harm then good.
Remco to merged team. Would likely make sense for both Remco and the team. Remco could progress further in an environment that seem to know on how to tackle this. The team would likely not sustain a big hit in loss of wins. Due to Rogla leaving. Tour likely reserved for Jonas in foreseeable future. Winning other GT's could become more easy, or not. That is Remco would need to do it with a B team.
Rogla at this point must focus on winning the Tour while Remco technically doesn't need to worry just about that. So for Rogla leadership at the Tour and A team support is at this point much more important, then for Remco. If the idea is for Remco to go to merged team and to force Tour leadership, by pushing Jonas back, then likely the merged team will pay a price for it.
We'll see.