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Future GT Winner (Edition 2024)

Page 3 - Get up to date with the latest news, scores & standings from the Cycling News Community.

Who will win a Grand Tour?


  • Total voters
    85
  • Poll closed .
I voted for Rodriguez last year and for Martinez (2021) and Hindley (2020). I apparently didn't vote in 2022, but the poll was still open, so I've selected everyone just now.

Ayuso and Almeida are my picks here, but I'm leaning towards Jorgenson having a better shot than them.
 
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Maybe my memory tricks me (most possible) or I'm thinking another forum following more frequent, but isn't it possible to change your vote registration here??

Fumbled on my mobile by scrolling made non-intentional votings (e.g. BOC is unfortunately of a vintage, so he'll end up always fighting someone better than himself, unless neither of them participate or crash heavily), and did not manage to pick the most obvious candidate for me for a bright GT future:

Juan Ayuso.

The whole package.
Tremendous forces and stamina from a very young age, besides a natural talent to dose his tank, distributed over 3 grand weeks, not to speak of his TT capabilities.

Interesting listing João Almeida.
I would certainly cheer for a true fighter hitting top spot on the podium, but I hardly doubt it will happen.
 
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Voted Ayuso, Almeida and Tiberi.

Ayuso and Almeida have been thoroughly discussed. I think with a year or two of further development, Tiberi could have finished 2nd behind Pog in this year's Giro. And that is probably enough to win a lucky Giro with a weak field. It's likely we'll have some Giri in the next five or so years where no absolute elite GT rider shows up, starting with next year (Almeida perhaps likely though).

And I do believe one day everything will favour Mas (provided none of the big 3 show up to La Vuelta)
I really hope you're right! But I think there will be some doubling up with Tour/Vuelta in the coming years. Vingegaard for sure next year, and probably for more years to come. Pog will surely try it soon, too.
 
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I don’t feel able to back any of those on the list. Del Toro feels more likely than any of those in the poll and whilst like many have said a lot of these riders should have a good shot at the Giro next year with the big 4 looking likely to skip it I would not feel good backing any of them with money. Another win for Hindley or Carapaz seems more feasible to me.
 
This is a tricky one.

As others have pointed out, much depends on how the mutants plan their schedules. Honestly, I don’t see Pogacar or Vingegaard doing the Giro in the next few years at least. However, both will compete in the Tour for many years to come, and I think at least one of them will also ride in the Vuelta regularly (and possibly both).

In this context, riding for UAE might actually be a blessing for Ayuso. On any other team, he’s too talented not to do the Tour, but at UAE, he might be pushed into doing the Giro. The same applies to Almeida, although he seems slightly less talented than Ayuso and more likely to accept a role as a domestique for Pogacar in the Tour.

Since we’re talking about the Giro, which has the weakest lineup of the three Grand Tours, Tiberi and Lipowitz seem the most likely—after Ayuso—to win one. I’ve never been fully convinced of Tiberi’s climbing ability, but he impressed me this year. Lipowitz is more of an unknown, but he seems promising.

I don’t have faith in anyone else in the poll, and in the end, I only voted for Ayuso. There’s also a new generation of riders coming up that will make things even more challenging.
 
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I can only think of 1 rider his length that ever won the TDF, and that's Wiggins

If you go back to the 20th Century, there was this guy, Miguel, he did ok even though he raced at 76kg. Of course, the Tour in 95 had over 100km of TT (prologue, TTT, 2xITT). To be fair, I don't think those days will be coming back.

To stay on poll topic, I choose 'none of the above.'
 
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I voted for Ayuso, Tiberi and Skjelmose.

Ayuso is probably the biggest talent, but he needs to come to terms with his place in the team. Next year it would be best for him to do the Giro as leader and the Tour as a domestique. Otherwise he remains a candidate to win the Vuelta in one of the next years.

Tiberi is the big Italian hope. He looks like a plausible candidate to win a Giro without the big guns.

Skjelmose still needs to improve, but he's young and he seems dedicated, so a Vuelta seems realistic at some point.
 
It's not hard to imagine that none of them ever wins one, but as there are always some odd winners, I guess one will.
I voted Almeida, Ayuso, Lipowitz. The latter because he came late to the sport and showed promise this season, and had a very very decent first finished GT. Almeida is still pretty young, so I assume he has a good chance of getting a GT when others don't show up and he can manage to in on top form. Ayuso is stagnating, but that doesn't mean he can't still improve and he's also very young so the chances to score a "easier" GT win aren't bad.
 
There’s also a new generation of riders coming up that will make things even more challenging.
I don't think this is such a big hurdle, really. If the new talents are much better than the likes of Almeida and Ayuso, they are likely to target the Tour more often than not. And the Tour seems off-limits to most guys in this poll anyway as long as Pog and Vingegaard stay at their top level. And if the new guys are not much better than the Almeidas of this world, then they're by definition not such a major challenge. You could of course argue that the new guys will all slot in between the top 2-3 and the rest, but I have a hard time believing that the average level of the top 10 or so GT riders will increase that much when Del Toro, Nordhagen, Widar, Torres etc. get going and replace some of the older guys. The level of the top mutants we have now is already such a big historical anomaly.
 
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If you go back to the 20th Century, there was this guy, Miguel, he did ok even though he raced at 76kg. Of course, the Tour in 95 had over 100km of TT (prologue, TTT, 2xITT). To be fair, I don't think those days will be coming back.

To stay on poll topic, I choose 'none of the above.'
There was this guy who was a decent rider but to heavy until a teammate told him about dr EPO
On topic , hard to see if anyone can get to the level of the top two or top four atm. Very high ceiling if those riders are present
 
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