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Giro dell'Emilia 2024 (Oct. 5)

It's time for another edition of this Italian hilly classic ending with a steep San Luca climb (2.1 km at 9.4%), which will be tackled 5 times in a row. This time longer than before (215 km).

This is the first time Tadej Pogacar rides in the rainbow jersey. The Slovenian is a top favourite of the race and will want to win (he was the runner in the previous two editions). His compatriot Primoz Roglic is another favorite (and 3-times winner). Roglstomp incoming? Maybe a longer course means that Rogla will weaken after 200 km...Remco is another star of the race.

There are a lot of top cyclists on the start list:

POGAČAR Tadej
EVENEPOEL Remco
ROGLIČ Primož
JORGENSON Matteo
YATES Adam
MAS Enric
WILLIAMS Stephen
PIDCOCK Thomas
TIBERI Antonio


giro-dell-emilia-2024-result-profile-d506c154ac.jpg



More info: https://www.procyclingstats.com/race/giro-dell-emilia/2024
 
Looking at this startlist it's a little confusing how nine years ago, we had a podium in this race consisting of Jan Bakelants, Andrea Fedi and Ángel Madrazo...
2015 was the last year it took place after lombardia, so most of the big boys had gone on holidays. The switch in 2016 massively improved the start list quality, as it became a lombardia prep race rather than something like the current giro del Veneto, for instance
 
I believe rog is spent on the season. Remco seems fairly strong. I don’t think pog has to do anything more than to jump on the final ascent. But hard to tell what he’ll do. Seems to have deep reserves. WC is the first time in a long time I’ve seen the bottom of his tank and that’s after a 100km attack.
He will top 3. This race just suits him too good. But Pogacar is too good this year
 
The extra distance disfavours Roglic as otherwise this is a great course for him as San Luca is to Roglic what Mur de Huy was to Valverde.

Like Red Rick I think this version of Pogacar is just too strong right now to succumb to his usual sub top results pre Lombardia.

Jorgensen looked good in Montreal but was not as prominent in the Worlds as I expected so who knows what he has left in the tank.
 
Pogacar is flying, he should win, with 5 laps and the finish on San Luca. Roglic seems running on empty, if he can grab a podium he should be satisfied. I think, whilst he was a little disappointing at the worlds, Remco has been in great form and is having the best season of his life. If in the unlikely case Pogacar can't win Remco is 2nd most likely. Yes, very hot field at this race.
 
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Pogacar is flying, he should win, with 5 laps and the finish on San Luca. Roglic seems running on empty, if he can grab a podium he should be satisfied. I think, whilst he was a little disappointing at the worlds, Remco has been in great form and is having the best season of his life. If in the unlikely case Pogacar can't win Remco is 2nd most likely. Yes, very hot field at this race.
I think Remco had a better season 2022.
 
The extra distance disfavours Roglic as otherwise this is a great course for him as San Luca is to Roglic what Mur de Huy was to Valverde.

Like Red Rick I think this version of Pogacar is just too strong right now to succumb to his usual sub top results pre Lombardia.

Jorgensen looked good in Montreal but was not as prominent in the Worlds as I expected so who knows what he has left in the tank.
Extra distance is less important than how long the finale is. Finale is the exact same.
 
Can't see anyone else taking this but Pogi. Taking off 2-3 laps to go and Ciao e Arrivederci! He's in top top shape, heck it's week after Worlds and he ain't laying his hammer down atm.

Remco may do something nice because there's no pressure now and it's trade team not national team. Maybe second place for Remco. Maybe Pogi goes with Remco and just drops him in the final 200 like Vingo in the Tour finals. Just to play with him nicely but...
 
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I think Remco had a better season 2022.
Well I just checked the official numbers and they don't support your claim. Plus, the first Giro Tour double since 1998 and the first triple crown since 1987 should speak for itself?

Here are the numbers for Pogacar 2024 and Remco 2022 (from Procycling stats):
  • Pogacar 2024 (so far): 9431 km in 55 days | PCS points: 4188 | UCI points: 10655
  • Remco 2022 (full season): 11046 km in 68 days | PCS points: 2754 | UCI points: 4402.5
 
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Well I just checked the official numbers and they don't support your claim. Plus, the first Giro Tour double since 1998 and the first triple crown since 1987 should speak for itself?

Here are the numbers for Pogacar 2024 and Remco 2022 (from Procycling stats):
  • Pogacar 2024 (so far): 9431 km in 55 days | PCS points: 4188 | UCI points: 10655
  • Remco 2022 (full season): 11046 km in 68 days | PCS points: 2754 | UCI points: 4402.5
Remco 2022 vs Remco 2024. Don't compare with the GOAT.
 
LBL, Vuelta and Worlds.
Much weaker 2022 Vuelta compared to 2024 Tour. And he won the world TT title this year so that cancels out 2022. So your argument sits on LBL but this is swamped by the official points.

LBL 2022 was 500 UCI points.
Podium in 2024 Tour is worth 880 points.

And Remco was way stronger in this years Tour than he was in the 2022 Vuelta. Anyway if your opinion can't be swayed that's fine.