Giro d'Italia 2011 Red Jersey

[PedalCastro]

So, with the Giro fast approaching, who are the likely candidates for the red points jersey? Lots of MTF's to test their legs!

 

[Havetts]

Edit: blegh, mistake

 

[jobiwan]

I could see Visconti going for it, I think he'll get at least one stage, and he can do well on those last hilly stages in the 3rd week.
But it will probably go to a top 5 GC guy (i.e. Contador)

 

[Mambo95]

So, with the Giro fast approaching, who are the likely candidates for the red points jersey? Lots of MTF's to test their legs!

On this course, the same candidates as for GC. The Giro awards the same points for all stages and the climbing stages outnumber those suitable for sprinters (few of which will keep going into the third week anyway).

 

[Archibald]

Evans took it last year, so I'd expect someone like Nibali or Scarponi, maybe Anton to come away with it

 

[El Pistolero]

Hoping for a puncheur to win this, but Italy doesn't have those anymore.

 

[taiwan]

Maybe one of the guys that would otherwise be looking or a GC top ten like le Mevel or Carrara/Hoogerland, or maybe someone like Wegmann or a climbing sprinter could target it.

I suppose the race will decide, though.

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

Hoping for a puncheur to win this, but Italy doesn't have those anymore.

Cunego feels insulted

 

[c&cfan]

Cunego feels insulted

what happened to the puncheurs?

----------

anyway, lol at the person that said nibali. really, where's the reason in that?

if the race has an hard pace, contador.

if the race is slow, someone á la di luca (but not di luca).

 

[El Pistolero]

Cunego feels insulted

I think Cunego became a GT contender again the moment he decided he was a classics specialist.

Story of his life.

No, I seriously don't know what's wrong with that guy. It's like he's all of a sudden clean and wasn't before. Never seen such an established cyclist plummet so much in his ability to do will in his races without anything happening to him.

 

[Parrulo]

I think Cunego became a GT contender again the moment he decided he was a classics specialist.

Story of his life.

No, I seriously don't know what's wrong with that guy. It's like he's all of a sudden clean and wasn't before. Never seen such an established cyclist plummet so much in his ability to do will in his races without anything happening to him.

now thats just stealing other people's theories

but ya i also can't understand what happened to him. i hope he manages to fix it.

 

[c&cfan]

now thats just stealing other people's theories

but ya i also can't understand what happened to him. i hope he manages to fix it.

maybe the same that happened to julich.

 

[Michielveedeebee]

Contador me thinks

 

[Sasquatch]

Contador or Rodriguez

 

[greenedge]

Soler? But otherwise JROD, or maybe Scarponi?????

 

[PedalCastro]

Le Mevel could do it if he gets into a long break methinks? Wegmann doesnt seem too strong this year

 

[Timmy-loves-Rabo]

Soler? But otherwise JROD, or maybe Scarponi?????

soler has been riding like crap since... forever.
Anyway I don't think he is racing.

The red will probably go to a contender, if not the winner.
This race is very hard, a lot of MTF and if the big guys don't give break aways much it will be difficult.

I assume the giro also rewards the last climb double points? I can't remember.

probably conta.
maybe scarponi, rujano, jrod, anton also.

 

[taiwan]

I may not have a realistic idea of how it usually plays out. I'll check the roll of honour

Yeah, Rodiguez seems a decent bet.

I see it was taken by a sprinter in 2008: Bennati. Unlucky.

Maybe one non-GC rider apart from Visconti with a chance is Ventoso? He will be placing in the sprints anyway, and he's one of the best climbers among sprinters.

 

[Squire]

Le Mevel could do it if he gets into a long break methinks? Wegmann doesnt seem too strong this year

I assume the giro also rewards the last climb double points? I can't remember.

The red jersey is the points jersey, if there was any confusion.

 

[Tuarts]

Look at the start list. Take out the GC contenders. Take out the sprinters. Put all over names in a hat. Draw one out.

About as much chance as predicting who'll win it.

 

[Barrus]

Look at the start list. Take out the GC contenders. Take out the sprinters. Put all over names in a hat. Draw one out.

About as much chance as predicting who'll win it.

I actually think a GC contender will have a reasonable chance of winning this

 

[Sasquatch]

Look at the start list. Take out the GC contenders. Take out the sprinters. Put all over names in a hat. Draw one out.

About as much chance as predicting who'll win it.

It's either going to a sprinter or GC contender that wins the Red.