Giro d'Italia 2020, stage 21: Cernusco sul Naviglio – Milano 15.7 km ITT

[Red Rick]

Lads, it's D day.

Can Rohan Dennis ride everyon outside the time limit? I think it's gonna be close.

Stage 21: Cernusco sul Naviglio – Milano 15.7 km ITT
Sunday, October 25th, 13:20 CEST

Technical Overview:
The last stage is again a short ITT, but unlike last year’s this one is pan flat, on long straights that will hugely favour specialists and cause some significant gaps. There is not much to talk about the route here. The stage starts in the outskirts of Milan and the only checkpoint will be at km 10.3, two thirds of the way and already in the city, which is a bit weird. The finish will be in front of the famous Duomo.

What to expect:
The last chance for everyone. Good gaps can still be made so the riders will have to give it their all. And then, finally, the podium and the trophy.

Duomo di Milano

 

[solo80k]

Heads you win, tails you lose.

 

[danielovichdk2]

Tao takes pink jersey tomorrow.

 

[DanielSong39]

I think he's Ganna do it again

 

[richwallone]

I think he's Ganna do it again

Yep, it's hard to see how not

 

[richwallone]

Tao takes pink jersey tomorrow.

Same here... I think he's got it tomorrow

 

[bob.a.feet]

Today's the day for Jai to do a Tadej, ay?

 

[luckyboy]

Hindley lost 17 seconds to TGH on the 7.5km flat run between checkpoint 2 and 3 of the stage 14 time trial.

He lost 1:15 to TGH in total.

20-25 seconds loss sounds about right.

 

[Samu Cuenca]

Dennis will win the stage, which will confirm that this has been the Commonwealth Games all along, thereby explaining the absence of bags.

 

[Devil's Elbow]

Dennis will win the stage, which will confirm that this has been the Commonwealth Games all along, thereby explaining the absence of any bags.

All that's missing is a breakout 17th place for a Kenyan rider.

 

[Samu Cuenca]

All that's missing is a breakout 17th place for a Kenyan rider.

O'Connor is half South African.

 

[DanielSong39]

My guesses on the odds:
Stage:
Ganna 75%
Dennis 10%
Field (all others) 15%

GC:
Hart 72%
Hindley 25%
Kelderman 3% (LOL)

 

[DanielSong39]

Today's the day for Jai to do a Tadej, ay?

Jai has a decent chance, heck Wilco can win if he pulls a Tadej

 

[richwallone]

Jai has a decent chance, heck Wilco can win if he pulls a Tadej

Anybody but not Wilco Please!

 

[Red Rick]

Anybody but not Wilco Please!

Need to realise Pogacar gained 2s/minute on Roglic.

Kelderman needs more like 5s/minute

 

[Eclipse]

Ganna hat trick

Feeling good for Tao but riders can conjure up insane TT's when it's all on the line and they're in the form of their life, so not going to write off Jai.

Wilco surely can't do 1'30 unless someone has a mare.

Almeida should nick 4th off Bilbao

 

[richwallone]

Need to realise Pogacar gained 2s/minute on Roglic.

Kelderman needs more like 5s/minute

Thanks calming me down I really hope there is no chance for him to win tomorrow.

 

[richwallone]

Ganna hat trick

Feeling good for Tao but riders can conjure up insane TT's when it's all on the line and they're in the form of their life, so not going to write off Jai.

Wilco surely can't do 1'30 unless someone has a mare.

Almeida should nick 4th off Bilbao

I can live with that He is the world champ after all.

 

[Devil's Elbow]

Ganna hat trick

Feeling good for Tao but riders can conjure up insane TT's when it's all on the line and they're in the form of their life, so not going to write off Jai.

Wilco surely can't do 1'30 unless someone has a mare.

Almeida should nick 4th off Bilbao

Bilbao's odds of retaining his GC position are much better than Hindley's though, he's a solid time-trialist himself.

 

[Lequack]

Timetrial comparison from races where both Tao and Jai took part:

 

[Eclipse]

Bilbao's odds of retaining his GC position are much better than Hindley's though, he's a solid time-trialist himself.

He is, but last TT Almeida put 1'20 into him in 30k. I think Almeida looked fresher today too (Bilbao's legs have to be running on pretty much empty at this point) and even if it's only 16k I think that's enough.

 

[Devil's Elbow]

He is, but last TT Almeida put 1'20 into him in 30k. I think Almeida looked fresher today too (Bilbao's legs have to be running on pretty much empty at this point) and even if it's only 16k I think that's enough.

Last TT had some punchy climbs which (theoretically) favours Almeida, and Bilbao obviously is more experienced in dealing with the length of GTs. Agree that Almeida is still the favourite to take 4th on GC though.

 

[RedheadDane]

When was the last time a GT - and in recent year, I'm pretty sure that would mean the Giro - has had a frikkin' tie before heading into the final ITT?
Has that ever actually happened?

 

[SafeBet]

When was the last time a GT - and in recent year, I'm pretty sure that would mean the Giro - has had a frikkin' tie before heading into the final ITT?
Has that ever actually happened?

Never happened, regardless if the final stage was a TT or a road stage.

 

[RedheadDane]

Never happened, regardless if the final stage was a TT or a road stage.

Of course this would be the year it would happen, because... 2020. We've got two - at least initially - domestiques tied for the win before heading into the final stage of the Giro, which was held in October.