Giro d'Italia Giro d'Italia 2026, Stage 10: Viareggio – Massa, 42.0k (ITT)

[Brullnux]

There are no discussion in this thread and it's one of the pivotal stages for a GC.

Never ever i have seen such impactful ITT generate so little interest from fans.

I understand that Ganna win is given, but still.

It is also because the GC is a given (Vingegaard gains time on Gall).

The only question really is what happens to 2nd and 3rd, but it's natural that this excites people less than discussing who will win the stage and/or the GC.

 

[QueenStagiaire]

Arensman will take at least two minutes on Gall, maybe three if the Austrian fares badly, but I doubt it matters in the long run.

 

[tobydawq]

Imagine , if one had told us 20-years ago that one day we would be singing praises to GT organizers and doing a victory lap completely naked through our living rooms because of a 42km TT.

Thank God we have you to remind us of this every time there is a TT or every time there is not a TT.

 

[PetPaima]

Wishing for a strong gusts of headwind too...

Few names to watch tomorrow :

Alec Segaert
Movistar-trio of Milesi, Oliveira and Romo
Mikkel Bjerg (for once he is likely to be let to ride for himself)
Andreas Leknessund
Remi Cavagna (still even if past his prime)

My surprise pick to Top18 - Mirco Maestri

 

[Zoetemelk-fan]

Wishing for a strong gusts of headwind too...

All hopes for strong gusts as headwinds are pretty much fragile, this although with the mountains raising right up next to the lido you sometimes experience the unexpected as sudden gusts down the mountains, but I highly doubt it will apply tomorrow

Various weather forecast mentions 3-4 m/s, all day, in the morning from the east, i.e. along the lido in complete shelter from the Apennines (with the rich marble deposits that the area is known for), changing wind direction to almost downright tail winds from south for the crucial long lido stretch.

Regarding showers the time table for drying up have moved a bit. Yesterday forecast dry from about 2pm to now round 3-4pm.
So if only a little further shift in wet timeframe, 17-19°C and light wind, light drizzle 0.2-0.4mm precipitation, I think there may still be slippery spots when the GC riders passes through.

Also depends on whether new asphalt has been laid, which together with road stripes can make it a risky business especially for early starters like Ganna.
(In 2009 when I visited the area myself, the surface was terrible on some sections around Viareggio and then random fresh asphalt towards Massa).

So if the wind can't give an extra spice, at least a varible of light rain and more precise time for permanent clearing
I would think that it may be enough to create at least some small surprises.

 

[Gratemans]

Ugh, I don't mind TT's. (Although I'm not gonna sit there the entire day and watch everything either).
But what I do mind is the different weather circumstances riders get to deal with.
It can hugely mess up the GC battle in a really random way. You can't do anything about it either, but it just kinda feels wrong to me. Let's hope it just either rains all day, or it's dry all day.

 

[PetPaima]

Ugh, I don't mind TT's. (Although I'm not gonna sit there the entire day and watch everything either).
But what I do mind is the different weather circumstances riders get to deal with.
It can hugely mess up the GC battle in a really random way. You can't do anything about it either, but it just kinda feels wrong to me. Let's hope it just either rains all day, or it's dry all day.

Ain't we already deep enough to the race that all the GC guys (even fringe ones) have already been separated from chaff?

Meaning that there should not be huge difference in weather between them - even if early starters get different (usually better IF) conditions and can cause some stage result surprises?

 

[dazaau]

There are no discussion in this thread and it's one of the pivotal stages for a GC.

Never ever i have seen such impactful ITT generate so little interest from fans.

I understand that Ganna win is given, but still.

It's going to be great. But in fairness the strongest climber (Jonas) with a lead over his rivals is expected to destroy them, and the closest rivals in GC (Gall) are expected to do extremely poorly. And as you say Ganna should win the stage.

So the only tension is the podium contender shuffle - but that's going to be really good so in here for it!

 

[Kazistuta]

The main question is: Will Eulalio keep his maglia rosa? And how much time will he lose today?

I say he's gonna finish outside the top20 on the stage, lose the jersey and lose five minutes to Ganna today.

 

[search]

According to the official Giro weather provider (3bmeteo), light rain should stop around 10-11 in the morning, so it's likely to be dry for everyone. The wind is mainly cross/tail, getting significantly weaker during the day, and in some models slightly changing direction to cross around 3 in the afternoon.

 

[Krzysztof_O]

Main two questions: how much will Gall lose to Vingo? How much will other podium candidates lose to Arensman?

 

[Bavarianrider]

okay, yeah, would definitely make sense, even when it doesn't really come with a financial benefit.

Going by this tweet, I'd doubt it's likely to still happen this year, though

https://twitter.com/x/status/2014305159011086840

View: https://twitter.com/rockets_cycling/status/2014305159011086840

What a beauty this would be without the whack ass Mantis position. I don`t get why UCI doesn`t ban it.

 

[Bavarianrider]

There are no discussion in this thread and it's one of the pivotal stages for a GC.

Never ever i have seen such impactful ITT generate so little interest from fans.

I understand that Ganna win is given, but still.

Well, everyone knows who will win the Giro and the field is incrediby dull and boring. No star power no glamour, just a bunch of grey faces.

 

[Berniece]

Main two questions: how much will Gall lose to Vingo? How much will other podium candidates lose to Arensman?

a. 1min30s
b. Vingegaard around 30-45s, everyone else around 2min

 

[Krzysztof_O]

a. 1min30s
b. Vingegaard around 30-45s, everyone else around 2min

So you are assuming Arensman will ride much better than Vingo and Gall not worse than other guys (Hindley and co). We'll see. For a) I have a bit under 2' and for b) 1'30'' loss by Hindley. Vingo and Arensman similar (the Dutch better but not by much), Gall around 30'' behind Hindley.

 

[Berniece]

So you are assuming Arensman will ride much better than Vingo and Gall not worse than other guys (Hindley and co). We'll see. For a) I have a bit under 2' and for b) 1'30'' loss by Hindley. Vingo and Arensman similar (the Dutch better but not by much), Gall around 30'' behind Hindley.

I wasn't that impressed with Vingegaard's ITT last year. So not sure what to expect here. He doesn't seem in his best shape, he's saving that for TDF. Arensman on the other hand will be close to his best form. That's why I think he'll be better on such a long ITT.

I also only see a couple of real podium contenders still. Vingegaard, Arensman, Gall, Hindley and Pellizzari. That's assuming those last two were able to recover a bit yesterday from their stomach flu. Because of that flu, I wouldn't be surprised if Gall, Hindley and Pellizzari are actually close to each other this ITT.

 

[Krzysztof_O]

I wasn't that impressed with Vingegaard's ITT last year. So not sure what to expect here. He doesn't seem in his best shape, he's saving that for TDF. Arensman on the other hand will be close to his best form. That's why I think he'll be better on such a long ITT.

Yes, Vingo's last Tour ITT was pretty poor. I assumed he would be more consistent today but maybe it's wrong and he'll lose to Arensman more indeed.

 

[Peteturbo2]

i think Vingegaard is matching his performance to the competition, so i think he will want to see a minute on his rivals but wont bother with the red jersey in particular. it is a long ITT so he might accidentally take 2 minutes.
Gall should be worried, but he claims he isnt.

 

[Wyndbrook]

Gall will likely lose time today, but his biggest concern is to avoid having an issue later in the race, no losing time on a descent, crashing, getting detached et al.

 

[Red Rick]

Arensman beating Vingegaard in this ITT is pretty likely to me because its cake flat

 

[Zoetemelk-fan]

According to the official Giro weather provider (3bmeteo), light rain should stop around 10-11 in the morning, so it's likely to be dry for everyone. The wind is mainly cross/tail, getting significantly weaker during the day, and in some models slightly changing direction to cross around 3 in the afternoon.

Yes, luckily forecasts have changed to the better.
Seems like dry roads right from first starter.
And the (vague) winds seems to be more tails than cross for early starters while GC guys seems to accommodate more cross winds. But nothing able to make serious troubles.

 

[Bavarianrider]

Gall wouldn`t be the first climber who suprises in a flat TT when he is in super shape and GC leader contention.

 

[Kopfsteinpflaster]

Kaiser Felix loses 2 minutes to Koning Thymen, so he stays a second ahead of him. You read it here first.

 

[search]

Italian media reports that Hindley is affected by the sickness at Red Bull as well. Neither him nor Moscon and Pellizzari touched their bike yesterday. The latter two went out for a short walk instead.

 

[Unterlenkerfahrend]

I don't really understand why so many are worried about the conditions. This is the perfect ITT for *** weather. No descending, super non-technical, I think a total (!) of 13 bents in the whole 40km? Honestly perfect for GC riders to ride the corners safely without risking to loose much time. Stage win will also be out of reach because Ganna will cook everyone.

Does anyone have a timetable with the key riders to watch out for?