Re: Re:
42x16ss said:
yaco said:
greenedge said:
The hard question will be choosing which one not to pick? Is it Storer who is the best ITTer of them all/ has the best WT result, or Hindley who has proved he's a great climber, or Hamilton who is insanely strong? Personally i'd sign Storer (just because he seems like he could develop into a pure GC rider) and then have a really hard choice between the other two (if they only pick two out of 3).
Reckon they will sign one rider for 2018 - I suspect it will be Hamilton - Storer is of interest as he is a decent TTer for a potential GC team - Hindley is probably the best pure climber but probably needs more consistency - Stannard is the wild card as he turns 19 in September but already won a stage in a 2.2 race against seasoned pros. Have to think he is still 2 years from WT.
A poster like 42 or Stryder should have more information.
As said above, the young guys coming through have varying skill sets. I think Orica's choice depends on who they can retain. If Plaza doesn't stay around then I suspect that they will look at another rider for rolling hills and medium mountains. If Hayman doesn't ride another year then they will also want some classics support for Keukeleire and Durbridge. Then there's Tuft.
The GC team is starting to look very solid, with Haig, Howson, Verona, Kreuziger and an improving Power so I don't know if they need to spend up on young climbers ATM. The squad has gotten to the point where they don't have to restrict their attention to Australian talent anymore. Other teams will also be looking at these guys and Orica might not even get a look in.
Re GC; Howson is already showing that at worst he is a very valuable & versatile climbing domestique. Whilst its debateable that he will ever be a GT contender in his own right; top 10 finishes at WT stage races aren't out of the question. Far too early to get a realistic gauge on Haig's long term potential but on signs to date, he should at worst be of Howson status. We won't know until later in the year just what value Kreuziger & Verona are actually delivering.
Not sure I'd use the word "improving" with regards to Power given we haven't seen ANY meaningful performances. Its just too early given he lost his neo-pro year and is still really short of condition. He'll almost certainly get another 2 years; late next year we may have a better read on his value. Plaza - would be surprised if he stays.
I think ORS WILL have their eyes on a couple of these touted u23s but I do agree that its likely there will be market interest and its no done deal where they may end up.
As for the end of year/end of contract situation for ORS; this is my current read:
Tuft - almost certain retirement
Gerrans - 80% bet on retirement
Plaza - suspect he won't be retained
Haig - may see some sniffs from other teams but can't see ORS letting him go
Edmondson - similar to Haig, they won't be letting him go
Albasini- if he wants to continue then he'll be re-signed. Possibly another 2 year deal with the second year being an "option"
Keukeleire - his GW 2nd may attract some market interest but he is a rider who the team has brought on and has been very happy in this environment. Would be surprised to see him go unless its $$$$
Cort - may well attract some market interest but I suspect they will not let him go easily unless he has become disenchanted with the team
Juul-Jensen - was probably needing to lift after a rather anonymous 1st season but has most certainly done so with some results in his own right (SB) plus demonstrating versatility with regards to terrain. Suspect he's a stayer unless there's some better $$$ on offer somewhere
Docker - after a couple of injury plagued years, probably needing some results. Has arguably delivered some 2nd level results so far and some useful rides but may be struggling to find a spot in any GT line-ups
Hepburn - probably needing some results in order to be secure and to date has delivered at least one plus demonstrated some wider utility. What may be in his favour will be Tuft's likely retirement and the continued need for such an engine. Rate his retention chances higher than Docker's
Mezgec - tricky to judge. Has delivered some useful 2nd tier results in his own right and is useful over cobbles. What may mitigate against him is ORS' continued move away from bunch sprinting and the need for lead-out men. However, if Kluge continues to be "p'd off" then he may still have a spot until end 2018 when Ewan goes off contract
Lok - barring any new major sponsor being from his part of the world and demanding "representation", he's gone
Power - will get another 2 years to show something unless he decides he wants out
I'm looking at 4 fairly solid "outs" with the potential for maybe 2 others/3-4 at most. This DOES give scope to take on maybe 2 of those touted but exactly who, I would not hazard to guess. Clearly they will also look to give themselves scope to 'dabble in the market' so they clearly won't be going all-in on AUS youngsters