Il Lombardia 2022, one day monument, October 8, farewell to Nibali and Valverde

[Blanco]

Imagine if it ends up being a 2-man battle between Valverde and Nibali.

Outcome will depend from where it starts to be a 2-man battle. If it starts already at Civiglio, than Nibali has a chance. If it starts after than he will lose.

 

[Blanco]

I heard Alaphilippe broke a wheel and had to finish the race on Devenyns ' bike in Emilia, which is why he lost 10 minutes.

It makes sense then, he looked strong at Bernocchi. Although, not that strong, but things could change after 5 days, and Ala is a strange beast. He can be a contender certainly.

 

[sir fly]

It makes sense then, he looked strong at Bernocchi. Although, not that strong, but things could change after 5 days, and Ala is a strange beast. He can be a contender certainly.

The overwhelming focus on the two from Emilia and Vinegar to a certain point opens possibilities for those in the background. And if there's a solid team around - the better.

 

[BR2]

I heard Alaphilippe broke a wheel and had to finish the race on Devenyns ' bike in Emilia, which is why he lost 10 minutes.

And I thought his bad luck must be running out now that he's got rid of the stripes.

 

[topcat]

I was starting to suspect it, when he wasn't selected for any of the warm-up races.



His presence wouldn't have made a difference. He's no longer the rider who won two stages of the Vuelta, and Lombardia back in 2018.

So after Pinot beat Nibali in 2018, Nibali decided to voodoo Pinot's entire career.

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

So Alaphilippe's own bike is motorized

Devenyns just drained his batteries sooner most likely.

Seriously though, Devenyns is a bit taller and i expect that would not be ideal, especially when you already lost time due to the actual incident.

 

[Lequack]

What if Almeida wins it?

 

[Peyroteo94]

What if Almeida wins it?

He is going to help Pogi.

 

[tobydawq]

What if Almeida wins it?

Then he will have won a monument.

 

[Escarabajo]

Can't see past Mas, Pog or Jonas. The rest are long shots.

I disagree. This is not the Tour. Even if these three are the main favorites the dynamics of the one day races can change so much. Sometimes difficult to control. The other ones have a shot, not long though. IMHO.

 

[SafeBet]

Active riders with multiple Monument wins:

Gilbert 5
Valverde 4
Nibali 3
Terpstra 2
Sagan 2
Kristoff 2
Degenkolb 2
Van der Poel 2
Pogacar 2
Fuglsang 2

This list will look a little different in a few weeks.

 

[SafeBet]

Also, is Vingo a favorite? The way I see it, he's surely not in Pog's tier.

 

[topcat]

With Pinot, Gaudu and Roglic out, Bardet is the only one left for the housewives to cheer for. Bardet is in reasonable shape and is a good one day racer.
I'm hoping for a Nibali attack on the descent because I'm not a housewife.

 

[BR2]

With Pinot, Gaudu and Roglic out, Bardet is the only one left for the housewives to cheer for. Bardet is in reasonable shape and is a good one day racer.
I'm hoping for a Nibali attack on the descent because I'm not a housewife.

I'm a part-time housewife and I'm cheering for Bardet, but also for Ala and Powless.

 

[Blanco]

Also, is Vingo a favorite? The way I see it, he's surely not in Pog's tier.

He's not in Pog's tier for sure, but he can win. If he's able drop them them all uphill, he can certainly win.

 

[RedheadDane]

With Pinot, Gaudu and Roglic out, Bardet is the only one left for the housewives to cheer for. Bardet is in reasonable shape and is a good one day racer.
I'm hoping for a Nibali attack on the descent because I'm not a housewife.

I don't have a house, and I'm not a wife. I just hope for a great race.
Please, don't tell me you're only allowed to cheer for those guys if you're a housewife.

I'm a part-time housewife and I'm cheering for Bardet, but also for Ala and Powless.

Some times you have a house, or some times you're a wife?

Active riders with multiple Monument wins:

Gilbert 5
Valverde 4
Nibali 3
Terpstra 2
Sagan 2
Kristoff 2
Degenkolb 2
Van der Poel 2
Pogacar 2
Fuglsang 2

This list will look a little different in a few weeks.

Could look a little different by the end of this week.

 

[BR2]

Some times you have a house, or some times you're a wife?

It was about my inner housewife, not about my real or material situation.

 

[VayaVayaVaya]

Active riders with multiple Monument wins:

Gilbert 5
Valverde 4
Nibali 3
Terpstra 2
Sagan 2
Kristoff 2
Degenkolb 2
Van der Poel 2
Pogacar 2
Fuglsang 2

This list will look a little different in a few weeks.

Gosh Sagan and WvA have underdelivered

 

[Krzysztof_O]

Also, is Vingo a favorite? The way I see it, he's surely not in Pog's tier.

According to dr Inigo Milan Pogi's metabolism is unequalled but even he has has a problem with digesting fishes. Vinge is his kryptonite.

 

[Red Rick]

Also, is Vingo a favorite? The way I see it, he's surely not in Pog's tier.

2nd favorite for me.

Basically meaning I think Pogacar is a massively overwhelming favorite, and I believe in Vingegaard more than in Mas.

 

[SafeBet]

According to dr Inigo Milan Pogi's metabolism is unequalled but even he has has a problem with digesting fishes. Vinge is his kryptonite.

Perhaps on long climbs over three weeks of racing, but on shortish hills in a one day race I very much doubt he can beat Pogacar.

 

[topcat]

Perhaps on long climbs over three weeks of racing, but on shortish hills in a one day race I very much doubt he can beat Pogacar.

Unless he shows something we haven't seen before (like at the tour). I too doubt it, but I wouldn't rule it out.

 

[Sciatic]

Thibaut Pinot will not be at the start. The winner of Lombardia 2018 has closed his season and will not be at the start on Saturday of the great classic which will close in 2022. For him the last race of the season remains the Vuelta.

Probably his Tour mountaintop stage win was a bigger deal in France, but I can see his Lombardia win as his biggest victory. Opposing viewpoints welcome

 

[Sciatic]

Hey, anything can happen in the race Saturday—after all, the Seattle Mariners baseball team broke their streak of 21 years without making the postseason, and will be playing in their 1st playoff series (over that span) on Saturday as well.

p.s. I was lucky enough to be at the game last Friday when they clinched a playoff spot and it was pandemonium at the end of the game!

 

[Sciatic]

Everyone on this forum would need to change their pants

Speak for yourself—the races are on early enough in the morning here that I’m not wearing pants yet