And yet Jumbo has had multiple riders in the front group of every cobble classic this year. So I wouldn't count on bad luck stopping them, although the absence of Van Baarle clearly makes the team weaker.
I'm just saying we shouldn't be 100% confident it will be a mano a mano battle among Van Aert, Pogacar and Van der Poel.
MVP and Pogacar will make sure the race is intense enough to drop almost all other guys. If Laporte is strong enough to stay with them, so be it.