People tend to forget.
Last year Dani Martinez won the Dauphine, ahead of Pinot and Martin - Pogacar was 4th.
At the Tour Martinez got 28th, Pinot 77th and Martin 11th.
Warm up races don't mean sh!t
Well Roglic dominated most of the Dauphine last year, only because of his crash at the penultimate stage he quitted as a cautionary measure. Because of his Dauphine performance he had been seen as the "Man to beat" at last years tour, which had been true in the end.
Ok Pinot crashed out already at the first stage at last years tour and his team manager now says, that it has been a big mistake not to take him out of the race.
So there are still two outliers:
One is Martinez at last years tour, which had been much worse then his performance at the Dauphine. Don´t remember it that good, but I think he mostly had been there as a helper for Higuita.
Second one is Pogacar who performed in the end a lot better at the tour then at the Dauphine.
So one can say it´s not like in the old years where the winner of the Dauphine mostly had also been the winner of the tour (Armstrong, Froome), but the Dauphine remains in my eyes still a significant indicator for the tour...