The Cycling Betting Thread

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Apr 12, 2015
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Did my first ever cycling betting today : 5$ kwiatkowski @ 6.5 :D
Was doubting wether or not to place an extra bet on him when Nibali/Kelderman were having 30 sec, Kwiatkowski odds raised to 9. Unfortanately I didn't.
Also put 1$ @ 40 on Kelderman right before he landed in a potato field.
 
Aug 31, 2012
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So where does everyone think the value is with the Giro GC. I don't think Contador is a good bet at anything below even odds. Maybe Richie at 3.75? I think giving him 30% to win isn't unreasonable.
 
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SeriousSam said:
So where does everyone think the value is with the Giro GC. I don't think Contador is a good bet at anything below even odds. Maybe Richie at 3.75? I think giving him 30% to win isn't unreasonable.
Contador is the best GC rider here, but evens is never tempting. Porte has still something to prove over three weeks, so I would probably go for a small bet on Pozzovivo (currently 40/1 at Betfair) on an exchange market in hope that he will be near the front in the first week and a half.
 
Jan 5, 2013
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Netserk said:
Contador has more than 50% chance to win, so even is fine. Porte has like 10% chance at best.
I don't think your >50% statement is a good estimate, as I think the odds of failure through injury/illness/other bad luck can make up a fair percentage.

But I'm surprised, 10%! Who are the other lucky guys you think are able to win? I'd put Uran equal to Porte, at the max., not much more. Unless you give Contador 70% chance, that's the only reason I could see for Porte only getting 10%. More like 25%, I'd personally say.
 
Aug 31, 2012
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If you really think Porte has at best 10% you should hurry and quickly bet against him on betfair exchange. Right now you can lay him; Risk 4x euros, win x euro if he doesn't come first and lose 4x euro if he does come first. If he comes first with at best 10% chance, that's a very good bet, ie it has substantial positive expectation.

As for Contador, 50-55% sound about right.
 
Aug 4, 2010
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I very much recomend you odds for tomorow stage of Giro...looks like bookmakers are drunk or never seen a profile of Berico and Crosara. ;)

Good luck
 
Aug 4, 2010
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Red Rick said:
Alright, what is the best site to go to if I want to try cycling sports betting and that doesn't ban winning punters? Don't want to have to worry about stuff like that
Best way to bet is to have at least 4 sites and then bet with better odds.betfair,paddypower,williamhill,bet365,betfred etc :D

Made a mistake with Rigo today, :mad: but still great balance in past weeks.
 
Sep 16, 2009
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Uran is $10 in the betting without Contador market. Definitely on that. I can see him grinding Aru down this week to take 2nd to Contador.
 
Aug 4, 2010
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Sasquatch said:
Uran is $10 in the betting without Contador market. Definitely on that. I can see him grinding Aru down this week to take 2nd to Contador.
ehmm I dont believe he will, but would like to, good luck :)
 
Sep 16, 2009
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Hopefully there are some odds on the nationals this weekend. I know last year you could bet on the Belgium, French and British. French odds are out

Bouhanni: $3.50
Coquard: $5
Demare: $7
Alaphillipe: $15
Voeckler: $15
Gallopin: $15
 

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