Time gaps for Podium contenders in Stage 16 TT

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I was very much thinking of such a thread, and then this appeared in the Paul Seixas thread:

... Since I dont see the thread for the TT stage, I will put it here: I expect relative gaps between the GC riders something like this (of course this is expectation, doesnt have to end exactly like that, but that is my gauge of their current level on a TT like this)

Evenepoel fastest
Pogacar 15"
Seixas 35"
Lipowitz 1'10"
Ayuso 1'20"
Del Toro 1'35"

am I so wrong?

My guess:
Evenepoel
Pogacar +8
Seixas +25
Del Toro + 30
Ayuso + 50
Lipowitz + 1:05

Lowest aggregate error to be declared the winner
 
Evenepoel
Pogacar + 25
Seixas + 50
Lipowitz + 1’05
Ayuso + 1’20
Del Toro + 1’35
 
Remco
Pog +30
Sexias +1:05
Lipo +1:20
Ayuso + 1:45
Del Toro +2.20
 
POGAČAR
Remco +11
SEIXAS +37
Lipo +1:01
Del Toro +1:36
AYUSO+1:39
 
Wouldn't be surprised by this. ITT in 3rd week of GT is something different

Its not a flat or standalone TT but Remco is looking good. Should be rather close between them and Remco has a good chance to win.
 
I think the rest day and start positioning of the climb will save Evenepoel, there's 10k at 4% and Pogacar's performances on shallow gradients have been mutant.
 
Remco
Pog +21
Seixas +42
Ayuso +1:06
Lipo +1:20
Del boy: +1:57
 
Evenepoel to take a minute+ out of Pog and all his fans get excited.

Tbh it could be what the race needs to stop Pog from babysitting random teammates.

At least Teddy won't babysit the Bull tomorrow and on Tuesday!
 
Its not a flat or standalone TT but Remco is looking good. Should be rather close between them and Remco has a good chance to win.
We'll know after intermediate time 2. I think Pogacar needs at least 20-30s
 
It should be very close between Evenepoel and Pogacar, with Seixas in 3rd. The descent might be the decider. If Pogacar is as good there as in the Nice TT, then he should win.
 
Remco
Pogačar +2
Seixas +37
Lipowitz +1‘03“
Ayuso +1‘21“
Del Toro +1‘23“
 
Remco
Messiah + 35
Pog + 40
Lipo + 1’20
Ayuso + 1’30
Del Toro + 1’35
 
Remco
Pogi +9
Seixas +41
Ayuso +1:09
Del Toro +1:20
Lipowitz +1:37
 
since Del Toro only starts 2 min ahead of Remco, he likely gets caught
Not sure that will be the case. Del Toro isn’t great at it, but losing 2min when you are in form yourself
 

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