Tour de France 2020 Rest Day 1 Poll: Who is going to win?

Tour de France 2020 Rest Day 1 Poll: Who is going to win?

  • 1- ROGLIČ Primož

    Votes: 36 42.9%
  • 2- BERNAL Egan

    Votes: 25 29.8%
  • 3- MARTIN Guillaume

    Votes: 1 1.2%
  • 4- BARDET Romain

    Votes: 1 1.2%
  • 5- QUINTANA Nairo

    Votes: 3 3.6%
  • 6- URÁN Rigoberto

    Votes: 1 1.2%
  • 7- POGAČAR Tadej

    Votes: 16 19.0%
  • 8- YATES Adam

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 9- LÓPEZ Miguel Ángel

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 10- LANDA Mikel

    Votes: 1 1.2%

  • Total voters
    84
  • Poll closed .
Tier 1 favs : Roglic, Bernal
Tier 2 favs: Pogacar, Quintana

From these four I think we are gonna see the podium as well.
My pick for now is Roglic but Bernal is close. TJV needs to recover their climbers.
 
Reactions: gregrowlerson
Idk, I think nobody except Pogacar and I'm just not sure if he has the top level climbing (yet) to gain enough time in the Alps to win it all. So Roglic is probably the rational option although I'm still not 100% convinced about how well peak Roglic is actually climbing and I can still see him fading in the 3rd week.
That said I didn't really want to vote for the boring option Roglic so instead I voted Bernal. I expect his shape to get quite a lot better and I still think peak Bernal drops peak Roglic on a HC mtf quite substantially. Whether he hits that peak, well that's the big question but I don't think it's all that unlikely.
 
I feel like it's going to be Pogacar. He's looked the strongest so far. I can see him cracking Roglic at some point (I presume he needs to have some advantage ahead of the final ITT). The rest doesn't even look that strong.
 
Idk, I think nobody except Pogacar and I'm just not sure if he has the top level climbing (yet) to gain enough time in the Alps to win it all. So Roglic is probably the rational option although I'm still not 100% convinced about how well peak Roglic is actually climbing and I can still see him fading in the 3rd week.
That said I didn't really want to vote for the boring option Roglic so instead I voted Bernal. I expect his shape to get quite a lot better and I still think peak Bernal drops peak Roglic on a HC mtf quite substantially. Whether he hits that peak, well that's the big question but I don't think it's all that unlikely.
Bernal and Pogacar are obviousy gonna destroy each other for the white jersey. Dumoulin is there to bring Roglic the popcorn.

But yeah I think Roglic is gonna be too solid. I don't really think Grand Colombier is that great anymore. Col de la Loze alone is probably not enough. Tons of climbs you can put next to Col de la Loze, and I don't think the super long climbs have the massive differences at the front. Typical Ineos one climb blowouts are just having the strongest climber in the race, the strongest team in the race and then just drilling it till everyone's dead. I don't see how they have the team to isolate Jumbo and then beat Roglic for a really big amount of time.

Pogacar definitely makes a better impression on me, but he has no team.
 
Reactions: Sandisfan
Roglic because until he looks like being droppable I see no reason to doubt him. He's basically completely impervious.

That said I think JV have made some real mistakes with not punishing those who were struggling and Bernal could punish them in turn if he's survived through his struggles.
 
Reactions: gregrowlerson
Top 6 is looking fairly set already IMO:

Roglic
Bernal/Pogacar fighting for 2nd and 3rd
4th to 6th between Landa, Quintana and Martin, in that order.

Only potential partycrashers I'm seeing are Bardet and Uran.

Porte, Mas, Yates and the others will continue to drift down the GC as the race goes on.
 
Bernal with one attack, one knockout blow will complete the route in the shortest time but lose to Roglic on bonuses (which is completely fair). Pogicar to lose his competitive advantage over the field but get a clear third.
 

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