Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Stage 1 (Copenhagen – Copenhagen, 13.2k/ITT)

[bob.a.feet]

I'd be going Ganna and then WVA. Be interesting how VDP, Kung etc do too as they've a chance at yellow by stage 5 if they keep close to or beat WVA here.

On current form, Kung can probably wait until stage 20 for yellow.

 

[Tonton]

Ganna has to be the favorite, but it's not a sure thing. I can see 5-6 riders less than 15" from first place. I give a small edge to Rog vs. Pog, Thomas should do well. Over the years, I found Uran to be a good ITT measuring stick for GC contenders and pretenders. Let's see how they fare compared to Rigo.

 

[WKA311]

Ganna go brrrr

 

[Tim Cahill]

The Chicken from Tølløse makes his return to The Tour!

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1541694867289554944

 

[Armchair cyclist]

The trickiest bit comes in the second half of the course, as the road narrows for the sinuous passage between the Kastellet (the Citadel) and the Little Mermaid statue.

Fun fact: my nephew holds the Strava record for a circuit of the Kastellet (running).

Just saying...

 

[Tonton]

The Chicken from Tølløse makes his return to The Tour!

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1541694867289554944

Not too qualified to discuss ITT, IMO. Next thing he falls from his stool...twice.

 

[JosefK]

Pog to win the stage 1 TT by a minute over Ganna and Wout. All the other GC guys pick up their toys and go home. Forum seizes up due to posting frenzy.

 

[Nick2413]

No magic white jersey for Pog so maybe his Tour TT superpowers will come to an end and the big drama will be him losing 5 seconds to Rog or Vingo.

Would be cool for Kung to capitalize on his great form and get the win, but hard to see past Ganna.

 

[tobydawq]

Cykelslange is also the Danish word for an inner tube.

Or a bike snake.

 

[sir fly]

I'd never expect such a rich fauna in Denmark.

What's your take on speed and times, folks?

 

[Earns1985]

Would love to see a performance of Pogacar which is not so inhuman, that the tour will stay exciting at least for a few stages.
But based on what I saw the last month and years I would say that Ganna will win this and Pogacar will come second at this stage pretty close to Ganna. All other GC contenders will lose already seconds if not minutes to Pogacar here..
Would love to be wrong...

 

[CyclistAbi]

Pog to win the stage 1 TT by a minute over Ganna and Wout. All the other GC guys pick up their toys and go home. Forum seizes up due to posting frenzy.

Yes. That pretty much sums up the pre-race state of things and predictions. Not much more to add to that. Maybe you are just a bit too modest. As only 1 minute? Best to add 10 minutes as that is way better then a mere 1 minute?

 

[KZD]

Would love to see a performance of Pogacar which is not so inhuman, that the tour will stay exciting at least for a few stages.
But based on what I saw the last month and years I would say that Ganna will win this and Pogacar will come second at this stage pretty close to Ganna. All other GC contenders will lose already seconds if not minutes to Pogacar here..
Would love to be wrong...

Pogačar can't beat all of Van Aert, Van der Poel, Küng and Bissegger in such a short flat TT. Nobody relevant for GC will lose minutes either.

 

[tobydawq]

Would love to see a performance of Pogacar which is not so inhuman, that the tour will stay exciting at least for a few stages.
But based on what I saw the last month and years I would say that Ganna will win this and Pogacar will come second at this stage pretty close to Ganna. All other GC contenders will lose already seconds if not minutes to Pogacar here..
Would love to be wrong...

I think you will be... How will Roglic and Vingegaard lose minutes to Pogacar on 13 kms?

How will Pogacar beat Bissegger or Van Aert?

 

[DJ Sprtsch]

Does anyone know if there's a video somewhere showing a ride on the route from start to finish?

 

[Earns1985]

I think you will be... How will Roglic and Vingegaard lose minutes to Pogacar on 13 kms?

How will Pogacar beat Bissegger or Van Aert?

I said "seconds if not minutes ". So the better time trialists Roglic and Vingegaard will lose seconds. I would say 10 Roglic and 20 Vingegaard. Guys like Ben O'Connor can lose a minute here.
I think it´s possible that Pogacar will be faster than Bissegger and van Aert here..

 

[tobydawq]

I think it´s possible that Pogacar will be faster than Bissegger and van Aert here..

How?

 

[Unterlenkerfahrend]

Have a good feeling that Roglic will take 10-15 seconds on Pogacar which should make for an interesting first week as I think Pog will ride the cobbles and other stages aggressively.

 

[stonerider]

I think it´s possible that Pogacar will be faster than Bissegger and van Aert here..

Only if Wout isn't in top form.

 

[danielovichdk2]

There is a rainy forecast for the riders that start latest. The course is super technical so bike handling skills will be needed.

Asgreen to take the opener

 

[tobydawq]

There is a rainy forecast for the riders that start latest. The course is super technical so bike handling skills will be needed.

Asgreen to take the opener

Not according to DMI. At least not before 11 pm.

 

[BR2]

I think this is an interesting first stage because of the city route and the competitors. Ganna, Van Aert, Roglic, Küng, Pogacar, van der Poel sounds good for a time trial, even if very short. Should it not be Ganna who takes yellow this could shape tactics, too.

 

[Kwibus]

There is a rainy forecast for the riders that start latest. The course is super technical so bike handling skills will be needed.

Asgreen to take the opener

In the OP it states that the course is not very technical. I've heard people say it's not technical at all, except for the final 1/4 and I've also heard it's a very technical course.

Not to mention all the different weather forecasts. How am I able to predict this TT now?

 

[Earns1985]

How?

Bissegger had Covid a few days ago and van Aert had problems with his knee..

 

[tobydawq]

and van Aert had problems with his knee..

Sure he did.