Who will win Milano-Sanremo 2024?

[Netserk]

If you find the answer trivial, predict the manner of victory.

 

[bNator]

Pog finally able to distance everyone on Poggio.

 

[Red Rick]

He was the great revelation of the Vuelta last year.

Sprinter Ganna shall bask in glory

 

[topcat]

Alaphilippe

 

[Berniece]

MVDP, 1-on-1 sprint with Pogacar

 

[Devil's Elbow]

The most underappreciated thing about Sanremo is that it never seems to play out the way you expect. So, one year after Van der Poel's dominance and the biggest time gaps in decades, it would be right up this race's alley if we get a much more tactical race now when most people don't see it coming.

So on that note, Alberto Bettiol to become the most random double monument winner of the 21st century in similar fashion to Stuyven in 2021.

 

[seasidehiking]

there will only be one: Tadej!

 

[tobydawq]

First time since 2010 I will not be rooting for Sagan to break the duck. That's gonna be odd.

I voted Mathieu but I agree with Devil's Elbow's point that it is so unpredictable that a winning formula can never be repeated.

So probably Laporte because Visma always win.

 

[Red Rick]

The most underappreciated thing about Sanremo is that it never seems to play out the way you expect. So, one year after Van der Poel's dominance and the biggest time gaps in decades, it would be right up this race's alley if we get a much more tactical race now when most people don't see it coming.

So on that note, Alberto Bettiol to become the most random double monument winner of the 21st century in similar fashion to Stuyven in 2021.

I think Pogacars presence at least drastically narrows down the scenarios and range of contenders.

 

[Alien Performance]

95% chance it'll be Pogacar or MDVP - hoping for the former but expecting the latter

 

[Alien Performance]

He was the great revelation of the Vuelta last year.

Sprinter Ganna shall bask in glory

would be a decent bet if this was a non-Olympics year

 

[Kwaremonster]

Tadej decides the winner. If he's so good this year that he can drop everyone and can stay ahead after, he obviously wins himself, but if it's like last year, he will drop everyone bar three of four riders who probably have a faster sprint. If he doesn't turn it on, a big group will be more likely and then a olav kooij or Jasper philipsen might take it.

Mvdp has a good chance on paper in many of these scenarios, but he will he less of an underdog than last year, when he didn't seem in form at all beforehand.

Because of the unpredictable nature of this race I decided to gamble on laporte, who seems in decent shape so far.

 

[Savant12]

Alaphilippe

So under the radar that he only shows up on sonar.

 

[Savant12]

Pog to win if he gets to the Poggio descent on his own. But, I fear like last year, he'll drag a small group across and get countered.

 

[LookProGoSlow]

This is MvdP again. Climbing better than last year according to Remco who said: "Matthieu is able to hang onto my wheel for longer in Spain than last year" Pogo won't drop him on Poggio. Still fast as f*ck in a Mano a Mano sprint in a small selection if it comes to a sprint to the line.

 

[DNP-Old]

Mathieu will repeat.

 

[Wyndbrook]

If MvDP wins on season debut following Pog at Strade, will that mean the demise of early season races and everyone in training camps.

 

[carolina]

Pedersen FTW

 

[Netserk]

If MvDP wins on season debut following Pog at Strade, will that mean the demise of early season races and everyone in training camps.

For the stars maybe, but points pull in the other direction. So at least the smaller teams will race where they can.

 

[frisenfruitig]

Mathieu is everyone's big favourite and rightfully so. I think Pedersen has a bigger chance of beating him than Pogacar. He's been looking solid all year and if it comes to a small group sprint he has a chance against MVDP. I don't really believe Pogacar is able to do better than last year.

The fact that UAE is going for the win with Pogacar means the race is much less unpredictable than in the past. You can bet your house on it that they will try to make sure everyone is as tired as possible when they arrive at the Poggio. Guys like Milan or Philipsen might as well stay at home for this one.

 

[tonymikejoe]

Disgraced former team boss Johan Bruyneel has a remarkable record in picking winners.
He says it will be Mads Pedersen this year because he believes he will stay with Poggio attacks and then be favourite in the sprint.

 

[Nerlo]

Disgraced former team boss Johan Bruyneel has a remarkable record in picking winners.
He says it will be Mads Pedersen this year because he believes he will stay with Poggio attacks and then be favourite in the sprint.

I agree with him. He’s probably the fastest in a reduced sprint and everyone is going to be marking Pog and mvdp.

 

[ice&fire]

You might as well replace the Vino option for the Sagan option

 

[Brullnux]

Pedersen is definitely a decent bet – he has the advantage that if he follows a select group over the Poggio, he can choose whether to work or not as he'd have a good shot at winning a larger bunch sprint, too.

Lidl-Trek, as ever, have an interesting selection of riders so can hopefully perform well.

 

[Barkintheeye]

I'll stick my nose out and say Pog drops everyone on Poggio but gets caught over the final metres. Same quartet as in Glasgow battles it out. Inches decide and WVA nips it for the second time.