Who will win the 2013 Giro? Final poll

[18-Valve. (pithy)]

Cast your votes...

 

[airstream]

Wiggins
Nibbs / Hesjedal +3'30-4'30

I for myself will root for Gesink, Hesjedal and Wiggo's MTF win because I really consider him a superclimber.

 

[kjetilraknerud]

I have big hopes for the Giro this year. Voted Nibali, though Wiggins still is the biggest favourite in my mind. My hope is that the Skytrain derails on one or two big mountains, leaving Wiggins isolated.

 

[theyoungest]

Voted Hesjedal. The third dog in the fight.

 

[Archibald]

reckon Nibbles will jag this one, although I'd prefer to see Samu or Evans win it

 

[Ferminal]

I'm pretty happy with that option!

 

[SafeBet]

Still voted for Bobby G, although I'm pretty sure this is for Sir Wiggo.

 

[hayzer114]

On current form and the fact that Wiggins has done very little not to mention not winning a race so far this year in comparison to his tour form last year I have voted for Nibali.

 

[wwabbit]

Voted Nibali, though Wiggins still is the biggest favourite in my mind.

Poll says "Who will win", not "Who do you wish will win".

 

[airstream]

Oddly enough people should bet on Vincenzo now even more given Trentino, but... Apparently the stage Kostyan owned made a disadvantageous impression to them.

 

[wwabbit]

I think Nibali's biggest hope will be a huge collapse in Wiggin's TT form, which may be possible considering we haven't seen Wiggins TT at all so far this season.

 

[SafeBet]

I think Nibali's biggest hope will be a huge collapse in Wiggin's TT form, which may be possible considering we haven't seen Wiggins TT at all so far this season.

Aggressive riding. That's the only thing Niblles can count on. If his biggest hope is Wiggo's decline in TTs then he's ****ed.

 

[airstream]

Which is objective invisible TT handicap Wiggins starts with? 3'30 as minimum?

 

[kjetilraknerud]

Poll says "Who will win", not "Who do you wish will win".

I don't care.

 

[kjetilraknerud]

Poll says "Who will win", not "Who do you wish will win".

And by the way, the biggest favourite doesn't always win.

 

[iZnoGouD]

fail poll, where is Machado?

 

[Netserk]

Which is objective invisible TT handicap Wiggins starts with? 3'30 as minimum?

In the TTT, ITT and MTT Nibali will lose less than 3'.

 

[Waterloo Sunrise]

In the TTT, ITT and MTT Nibali will lose less than 3'.

That would be an 80th percentile result for Nibali - possible but unlikely.

 

[theyoungest]

That would be an 80th percentile result for Nibali - possible but unlikely.

In the TTT he's not likely to lose more than 10 seconds or so. The longer TT suits him in the sense that it's technical, a few difficult descents with switchbacks, lots of uphill. And in the uphill TT he lost half a minute to Contador the last time, so that will be 20 seconds max to Wiggins.

3 minutes might not be too far off the mark.

 

[Waterloo Sunrise]

In the TTT he's not likely to lose more than 10 seconds or so. The longer TT suits him in the sense that it's technical, a few difficult descents with switchbacks, lots of uphill. And in the uphill TT he lost half a minute to Contador the last time, so that will be 20 seconds max to Wiggins.

3 minutes might not be too far off the mark.

He lost 3 minutes 40 in a shorter TT last GT they raced - technical or no I struggle to believe the median possibility is 2:30 loss or less.

The MTT is longer than the one you compare to, has some flatter sections and is at a gradient which you could almost pick as ideal for Wiggins. I'm pretty agnostic on gap there to be honest, but if Wiggins is still in control by that stage of the race, I could see a pretty big win quite easily.

 

[airstream]

I suppose the relief of long TT is secondary. The longer it is — the more it suits Wiggins. As for mountain TT it is not difficult and on any relatively power sections, up to 7-8%, Wiggins will have a significant edge. Total 3 minutes would be a real feat for Nibali. It is very interesting how Hesjedal goes TTs compared to Nibali.

 

[Carols]

Nibali, because I just cannot vote for Wiggins Not rational, just the way it is; there is more to a bike race than numbers.

 

[PedalCastro]

Hoping- Nibali

Thinking- Wiggins

Voted- Nibali

 

[Leonardus]

I'm not sure anymore about the certainty that Wiggins will win this Giro. He's still a top favorite but he hasn't shown much this season. Still, this is his big objective for this season, he will most certainly have a decent advantage after the TT and he has his army of Skyborgs.
Nibali on the other hand has won two stage races this season, his Astana team looks also very strong and with his aggressive race style he might take some time and boni seconds in a number of mountain stages.
So, 50/50 for me but I think the TT's will create bigger gaps then a number of MTF's so Wiggo it is.

 

[cineteq]

Nibali of course. Skyborgs will be crushed.

Nice to see all favorites are there, and Vino option is gone.