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Tour de France Who will win the 2024 Tour de France? Pre-race poll.

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Who will win the 2024 Tour de France?


  • Total voters
    207
  • Poll closed .
Implied probability to win TDF using odds from today. Numbers not too different from the poll.

Edit: I made one mistake typing the numbers in. Rodriguez has the same odds as Ayuso at 33:1 or 2.94%.

odds.png
 
I'm surprised Jorgenson isn't rated higher. He should basically be top 3 among the dudes who don't have a chance in hell
I"m guessing the bettors are mostly European, I think few Americans wager on professional cycling.
And when it comes to long shots, people bet on their countrymen before a foreigner.
Thus, fewer betting on Jorgenson and he gets longer odds.
 
Implied probability to win TDF using odds from today. Numbers not too different from the poll.

Edit: I made one mistake typing the numbers in. Rodriguez has the same odds as Ayuso at 33:1 or 2.94%.

odds.png
Some people always asking for the preferred rider being low on the pecking order. But this is where the money is.
For once I really think they have it wrong with Jonas and Remco. And more Jonas than Remco. But the way they see it they probably believe a Jonas at 80% could have a better chance than the others below him. We'll see.
 
My hunch is that no matter what happens we will have loads of posters here whining how boring it is and they will claim they won't watch it anymore, and then they will keep watching and posting after saying the wouldn't.
My hunch is the Tour is a re-run of the Giro and Teddy is elevated to the ranks of Holy Roman Emperor or Pope or some such person with infallibility. I await the Teddy icons and claims of a virgin birth. Maybe a stop at Lourdes on the parcours could conjure up a miracle or two.:)
 
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Some people always asking for the preferred rider being low on the pecking order. But this is where the money is.
For once I really think they have it wrong with Jonas and Remco. And more Jonas than Remco. But the way they see it they probably believe a Jonas at 80% could have a better chance than the others below him. We'll see.
Or they think a fully fit Vingegaard has 80% chance of winning but there’s a fairly low chance of that happening.
 
My hunch is the Tour is a re-run of the Giro and Teddy is elevated to the ranks of Holy Roman Emperor or Pope or some such person with infallibility. I await the Teddy icons and claims of a virgin birth. Maybe a stop at Lourdes on the parcours could conjure up a miracle or two.:)
I don’t think it will be that big of a domination if Vingegaard is not up to scratch. Then again Pogi has proved me wrong previously.
 
It is the strongest Tour ever. The expectations are enormous. That is precisely why I fear that we will all be somewhat disappointed.
Because of a few crashes from topriders. Or because Poga appears to be in Giro form that does not weaken during the second half of the Tour. Destroying the field (boring). Or because Vingegaard turns out to be good against all the rules of medicine, riding everyone home during the second half of the Tour. Or because.....

I continue to hope for a huge battle and changing leaders in the rankings. But I have doubts.
 
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Remember early Tour hype about the Big4? Well, somehow all of them made it to the start line so it's time for a big show! So how are they doing?

Pogi is doing final touches to his form in the middle of his Giro-Tour attempt.
Vingo is getting better every day after his hard crash.
Rogla is attaching pillows to his body, just in case...
Remco is making quick progress in w/kg department (reducing denominator).
 
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