- Jul 29, 2012
- 11,703
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If there's any mod who want to make the poll, here's my list, add one if you can missed someone relevant (don't think i can make the poll)
You can look at here at the stage profiles http://www.letour.fr/le-tour/2015/us/overall-route.html
So the dauphine is done, tour du sud still to come but i don't think it'll give us much info on the riders but usually a week before the tour another poll will make so right now who do you think will win it?
Suisse has no one gc relevant imo, at least FTW.
Quintana hasn't raced in 2 months but won TA with a very impressive MTF. But that's his only relevant result, in romandie he was rather eh. I expect him to be 100% though, if he survives the first week he'll have a good shot it but it won't be easy for him and i'm doubtful he'll be able to ride away from the rest.
Nibali will be ready for the tour. 2014 shape? I would say he'd be close to it. His bad year so far doesn't mean anything since the same happened last year. And his team will be amazing i think.
Froome is ready too. He's not as insane as 2013 but he'll be very close to that level. The dauphine proved that but no ITT isn't good for him but in 2013 that wasn't an issue then again i don't think he'll be at the same level, close though.
Contador. Well who knows, i've no clue. If his plan was really to do the giro at 90% and he can somehow be 100% at the tour i would definitely put my money on him. But that's a big if though, his team is potentially the best one if everyone is 100%.
Purito looked very good in the dauphine, especially for him who usually isn't that great pretour races (unlike a froome for example). Can podium it, don't think he can win it as he has never proven to be the best climber in the tour and much of all or nothing attitude in a gt and he would need that to win.
Tj looks to be in the form in his life, he's the only one in the dauphine who could somewhat stay close to froome. But this parcours isn't really suited for him, but a very good TTT of his team can put him in a very good position.
Piti looked poor, i expect him to be way better than this knowing how his year went so far. He looked amazing in april, i don't expect as much anymore from him. This tour is perfect for him but he's never proven to win it anyways and especially how he looked now. He might have been toying around, i expect him to still win on the mur.
So who is gonna win it?
A lot can change but based on what i've seen from nibali in tour '14 and his team so far this year he has the best chance to win it. The parcours is one that also suits nibali's downhill powers for example
According to hinault and riders who finished the dauphine this year, this is the most dangerous descend they've ever done. A nibali can easily gain 1 minute on it, i would even go as far to say 2 min. Will the others even risk it? And where will you take it back on him? Especially if you already lost time on the cobbles for example
Nibali wins the tour imo.
You can look at here at the stage profiles http://www.letour.fr/le-tour/2015/us/overall-route.html
So the dauphine is done, tour du sud still to come but i don't think it'll give us much info on the riders but usually a week before the tour another poll will make so right now who do you think will win it?
Suisse has no one gc relevant imo, at least FTW.
Quintana hasn't raced in 2 months but won TA with a very impressive MTF. But that's his only relevant result, in romandie he was rather eh. I expect him to be 100% though, if he survives the first week he'll have a good shot it but it won't be easy for him and i'm doubtful he'll be able to ride away from the rest.
Nibali will be ready for the tour. 2014 shape? I would say he'd be close to it. His bad year so far doesn't mean anything since the same happened last year. And his team will be amazing i think.
Froome is ready too. He's not as insane as 2013 but he'll be very close to that level. The dauphine proved that but no ITT isn't good for him but in 2013 that wasn't an issue then again i don't think he'll be at the same level, close though.
Contador. Well who knows, i've no clue. If his plan was really to do the giro at 90% and he can somehow be 100% at the tour i would definitely put my money on him. But that's a big if though, his team is potentially the best one if everyone is 100%.
Purito looked very good in the dauphine, especially for him who usually isn't that great pretour races (unlike a froome for example). Can podium it, don't think he can win it as he has never proven to be the best climber in the tour and much of all or nothing attitude in a gt and he would need that to win.
Tj looks to be in the form in his life, he's the only one in the dauphine who could somewhat stay close to froome. But this parcours isn't really suited for him, but a very good TTT of his team can put him in a very good position.
Piti looked poor, i expect him to be way better than this knowing how his year went so far. He looked amazing in april, i don't expect as much anymore from him. This tour is perfect for him but he's never proven to win it anyways and especially how he looked now. He might have been toying around, i expect him to still win on the mur.
So who is gonna win it?
A lot can change but based on what i've seen from nibali in tour '14 and his team so far this year he has the best chance to win it. The parcours is one that also suits nibali's downhill powers for example
According to hinault and riders who finished the dauphine this year, this is the most dangerous descend they've ever done. A nibali can easily gain 1 minute on it, i would even go as far to say 2 min. Will the others even risk it? And where will you take it back on him? Especially if you already lost time on the cobbles for example
Nibali wins the tour imo.
but he'll be superdom for sure
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