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Who will win the Tour de France 2018?

Who will win the Tour de France 2018?

  • Chris Froome

    Votes: 41 31.5%
  • Richie Porte

    Votes: 17 13.1%
  • Nairo Quintana

    Votes: 19 14.6%
  • Mikel Landa

    Votes: 4 3.1%
  • Vincenzo Nibali

    Votes: 20 15.4%
  • Romain Bardet

    Votes: 5 3.8%
  • Tom Dumoulin

    Votes: 2 1.5%
  • Geraint Thomas

    Votes: 1 0.8%
  • Adam Yates

    Votes: 1 0.8%
  • Other: Roglic, Fuglsang, Uran, Bernal, Zakarin, Kruijswijk, Mollema, Valverde

    Votes: 20 15.4%

  • Total voters
    130
  • Poll closed .
Heart says Froome or Uran
Head says it's one of those GTs when Nibali is in a perfect position to capitalise from the field not being as strong as it could possibly be (both Froome and Dumoulin being tired after Giro) or maybe Movistar to make use of their numbers if they survive the first week
 
I agree with the comments that this is Quintana's to lose. Froome has this aura of invicability around him right now, for various reasons, but the Giro in his legs will be too much. If Quintana is close to top form (2016 Vuelta / 2015 Tour) he should win comfortably, he should survive the cobbles and will tear the race apart in the Pyrenees.

Wouldn't be surprised to see another Movistar rider on the podium as well. They're all in for the Tour this year.
 
Roglic to wear the yellow jersey for the biggest part of the race (Kruijswijk, Gesink & Tolhoek will provide the support to do that) and only losing it due to his lack of experience in three-week racing (like Yates). Simply because he's the best climber and TT for a certain period of the race.
Winner? Froome, Quintana, Nibali or Dumoulin.
 
Re: Re:

Koronin said:
SHAD0W93 said:
Valverde to surprise everyone.

Now that would be a huge surprise.

Why?

The guy has won 8 of his 9 latest stage races and except for the Dauphiné and the Ruta del Sol stage last year has won every mountain stage he has raced in the 2017 and 2018 seasons.

It's as if people are blinded by that number, though. 38.
 
Re:

DFA123 said:
I agree with the comments that this is Quintana's to lose. Froome has this aura of invicability around him right now, for various reasons, but the Giro in his legs will be too much. If Quintana is close to top form (2016 Vuelta / 2015 Tour) he should win comfortably, he should survive the cobbles and will tear the race apart in the Pyrenees.

Wouldn't be surprised to see another Movistar rider on the podium as well. They're all in for the Tour this year.
The 2016 Vuelta form is highly likely not going to be enough. Back then he wasn't considerably stronger than Froome and that's a big if could he have won without that race-splitting move at fuente-de stage. Quintana as well as Bardet should pretty much kill everyone uphill to win the Tour at least until both Porte and Froome are good enough. Imprerious climbing. reproduced from 2013-2015 3rd week level, is the only key.
 
I reckon Porte has a good shot at it if he stays upright, no Giro in his legs and his TDF form last year was exceptional, I think he would have pushed Froome all the way if he hadn't come off. The Giro has to take a fair bit out of Froome, looking at historical Giro / Tour doubles, riders attempting it have not performed well in July.
 

Singer01

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Re: Re:

tobydawq said:
Koronin said:
SHAD0W93 said:
Valverde to surprise everyone.

Now that would be a huge surprise.

Why?

The guy has won 8 of his 9 latest stage races and except for the Dauphiné and the Ruta del Sol stage last year has won every mountain stage he has raced in the 2017 and 2018 seasons.

It's as if people are blinded by that number, though. 38.
Because he's completed loads of 3 week races, been there or thereabouts loads. But won only 1, and that's because it was a weak field.
 
Re: Re:

Singer01 said:
tobydawq said:
Koronin said:
SHAD0W93 said:
Valverde to surprise everyone.

Now that would be a huge surprise.

Why?

The guy has won 8 of his 9 latest stage races and except for the Dauphiné and the Ruta del Sol stage last year has won every mountain stage he has raced in the 2017 and 2018 seasons.

It's as if people are blinded by that number, though. 38.
Because he's completed loads of 3 week races, been there or thereabouts loads. But won only 1, and that's because it was a weak field.

Evans, Basso, Samu, Mosquera, Gesink, Purito, Cunego was not a weak field back then by any means...
Yes, he completed loads of GT's, won "only" one, podium "only" seven more, and was a contender practically every time he showed on the start line. And how many of them won more, or equal? Just a handful..., so in my eyes he's certainly a contender.