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World Championships 2024: Men's Road Race (September 29)

Four years after Covid forced the cancellation of the would-be hardest World Championship road race ever in Aigle-Martigny, it's time to do battle for the rainbow jersey on Swiss soil after all. Instead of Alpine scenery, however, we find ourselves in the country's largest city, and also its most significant in terms of cycling history. Can Zürich rival the heroics of Glasgow?

Zürich was initially founded by the Romans, and has been among the more important cities of what is now Switzerland since at least the second half of the Middle Ages. In the early 16th century, the Protestant Reformation in Switzerland started here. From the 18th century onwards, the city developed into the country's economic centre, initially off the back of its textile industry but later, of course, above all as one of the world's banking capitals. Today, as you would expect from Switzerland, it ranks near the very top of the world in terms of both quality and cost of living.

As the largest city in the country, it is the national centre for much more than banking - it has the largest university, largest airport, the stock exchange, the FIFA headquarters, and so on - and cycling is no exception. It has hosted the World Championships three times already, albeit in the early days: in 1923 (when the race was still amateur-only), 1929, and 1946. However, that is only the smaller part of its cycling heritage, as it was always the host of Züri-Metzgete too. Running since 1914 and part of the World Cup since its inception, it was as important as any non-monument classic until it became the biggest victim of the fallout of Operación Puerto in 2007. Since the race has disappeared, not even the Tour de Suisse has been in Zürich, making these World Championships the first time in 18 years the peloton sets foot in the city.

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Startlist

The route

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The riders set out from Winterthur, the sixth-largest city in the country. An industrial centre as well as Zürich's largest satellite town, it is quite literally the last city in Switzerland you'd go to as a tourist, but its location close to Zürich means we are spared of the kind of long, flat run-in to the circuit that this race sometimes gets saddled with. In fact, the point-to-point section of the race is only about 70 kilometres and contains three hills, The one up to Buch am Irchel is pretty easy (don't have a profile), the one to Kyburg not so much.
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The climb to Ebmatingen culminates at the entrance to the circuit.
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After doing the back half of the lap to make it to the finish line, still at Sechseläutenplatz, there are... only seven laps left to race? There's a pretty simple reason: aside from the last-minute 2020 route in Imola, this is the longest final circuit since Ostuni in 1976. And the laps are pretty hard, too - upon closer inspection, the difference with something like Bergen 2017 seems more pronounced than suggested by the many comparisons made.
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Each circuit starts with a short flat section through the city centre, ending at the Kunsthaus. Here, the first of the two marked climbs., Zürichbergstrasse, starts. The steep section isn't that long, but these are still gradients unlike what was present in either Bergen or most other reduced bunch sprint editions of the 00s and 10s.
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The next 1.5 kilometres are slightly downhill, then it's time for the big climb. The main road to the suburb of Witzikon certainly isn't the hardest, steepest or most scenic climb above the lake, but if tactics are to play any role here, two of those points count in its favour in the current day and age. Importantly, it's still hard enough for big attacks.
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The middle section of the circuit is rolling, with three small hills in there: Breitmoos, Zumikon and Schmalzgrueb. The latter has some surprisingly hard ramps, but the descent into it should blunt its effect.
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After Schmalzgrueb, it's time for the main descent, much less scary than the one in the TT. Unlike said TT, we don't immediately head for the wide, flat road along the shore, instead taking in one last easy hill up to Goldbach.
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At 2.5 kilometres to go, the riders finally make it to the lake again, and this remaining section is identical to the closing stages of the TT.
 
I do. There's only 1 climb he will be dropped at, and after that it's still 19km's to the finish. I can see him comeback. It all depends on how hard the race is. Slovenia needs to make it as hard as possible if they want to be sure Pogacar wins.

where is VDP getting back on terms with Pog or Remco once he's dropped?

Remco alone would simply cause the gap to expand like he always does
 
Why would Remco work with Pogacar? It would make it much harder for him to win. I would let other riders get back and attack then, so they might look at each other.
I think if Remco is able to follow Pog's attack, he'll work with Pogi 90% of the time. Don't think he'll be willing to let others come back (most likely including MVDP) and risk others attacking when everyone else is going to look at Pog, Remco, and MVDP. Yeah, you said he can attack on the flat but it depends. Maybe he cooks his legs following Pog. Just depends on who has the legs after 260 km of hard racing. I just think Remco would take his chance in a 1v1 sprint against Pog. Pog may be faster but Remco is also a good sprinter himself.
 
a match race is his best chance to win. Gives him a chance to drop Pog on the flat sections and TT away.

Let's not forget, Remco also can sprint. He's not Slowco from the 2021 Giro
Don't see how he would drop Pogacar on flat sections in a 1-v-1. Pogacar will immediately jump on his wheel, it's not like Evenepoel is much stronger than him after 260km's.

I can also see the race end like WC 2013. Roglic (Rodriguez) is riding away, Pogacar (Valverde) doesn't close the gap to Hirschi (Costa) because he's looking at Evenepoel (Nibali). Hirschi wins the sprint from Roglic, and Pogacar from Evenepoel.
 
Christmas Eve around the corner!

The only thing I can frown on is a route that is perhaps a little too hard, with the risk of it becoming a total dissapointment of a snoozefest. I don't know whether Martigný would have been that much better compared to Imola, it turned out to be a dull fest, with only Pogi getting away on the penultimate lap. Highly due to all favorites were afraid to expose themselves too early.

On the other hand, we have since witnessed that the new superstars are not afraid to expose themselves. And those who are least afraid are the two favourites in advance here.

However, still the risk of pure snooze party if it turns out to be a two man battle, the one reading soft spots in his competitors defense and rapidly get it done with a few punches and, hence, a race that is decided long before the finish line.

That's exactly why I like well-thought-out route designs - which give the chance to both classic riders, GC riders, sprinters, puncheurs, etc. And then sometimes with a weather that delivers an extra unknown compared to again other types with higher stamina under severe conditions.

In fact, if I have to be a bit harsh, I actually think much better of Harrogate's and Leuven's route designs, which in my world have given us some of the best WC RRs in history.

But basically. It's my Christmas Eve.
And the same thing has happened throughout all +40 years, I get completely electric all the way out in the chair, whether it's an early morning break where absolutely nothing happens. And especially when watching a TV broadcast where there is no chatter of indifferences constantly (which just punctures the balloon, less is more) but rather little heist stories, while nothing really happens.

Either way, I can feel what's happening to me right now into my bones and nerves just reading the OP's rundown here. Full thrills.

I'm ready. Game on!
 
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I honestly can't see anyone else but Pog win this, and Pog himself is very very eager to win the jersey as it's one of the few prizes he hasn't won.

An Evenepoel in very good shape could be a match (but I don't see him ever dominating a Pog in very good shape), and one can only hope we get to see this, if not, it could be Liege / Strade / Montreal all-over. With Pog (and Evenepoel but Pog is the biggest factor) the finale will start before the last round.

I honestly cannot see MvdP win this / follow moves, but contrary to the cobbled classics where he dominates, he may surprise me and make it exciting (so we have more real contenders). I think a big reason why MvdP got beaten by Evenepoel in the Olympics, was tart MvdP thought his first attack was the race-defining move and those who couldn't follow were weak and already beaten, even when allowed to come back. He underestimated the fact that Evenepoel didn't follow his first move simply because he was out of position, much more than he didn't have legs so Evenepoel could surprise him at his weakest moment and thanks to WvA he got beaten tactically as well. MvdP won't make that mistake again, and for sure not with Pog around: he will be glued to Pogs wheel but for how long?
 
A lot will probably quite depend on how confident Remco feels. Slovenia will have a hard time controlling this when everyone and their dog will try to get ahead before the last 2 laps before Pogacar goes.
If Belgium, or maybe even the Netherlands help to control then I actually expect a bit of a meh race before it'll be an eventual showdown between the big 3 (and Pog wins).