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Giro d'Italia Giro d‘Italia 2024, Stage 4 Acqui Terme-Andora, 190 km

Let‘s go, plagiarism!!! Thanks, @Devil's Elbow

Stage 4: Acqui Terme – Andora, 190.0k​



A remarkably similar stage to the previous one, meaning we’re getting our second of three consecutive sprint opportunities in an area with lots of potential for a good mid-mountain stage. Factor in that having a sprint here necessitates a rather dangerous finale and you really wonder what RCS were thinking…



The route

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The stage starts from Acqui Terme, already a spa resort in the Roman era. The other key component of the town’s economy is winemaking, but the vineyards mostly disappear shortly after the start as the riders head into the Apennines, leaving Piedmont for the first time this race in the process.. In fact, the majority of the stage is spent in the Apennines, but with precious little in the way of climbing to show for it as RCS have once again seen fit to stick mostly to valley roads. The sole KOM of the day is the Colle del Melogno, from its easiest side.

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Rather than descend directly to the Ligurian coast, the riders turn back on themselves to head for Savona, the third city in Liguria by population. The route loops over the short but stingy Colle del Bresca in the process.

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From here, it’s a straightforward run down the coast on the same main road used in Milano-Sanremo. The penultimate port of call is Laigueglia, where the eponymous Trofeo marks the start of the Italian cycling season each year. Two roads link it to Andora: the steep Colla Micheri, focal point of said race, and the easy Capo Mele. So naturally, RCS went with option two.

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The climb is only marginally easier (1.6k at 5.1%) than the one used at the end of the Fossano stage, but I expect this one to be less selective because a) the road is far wider, b) there are no curves to stretch things out whereas the climb into Fossano had two hairpins, and c) the road is rather exposed. So we should have close to a complete peloton heading into the final 2.7 kilometres, and as everyone knows, the safest thing to have in the finale of a sprint stage is a descent. Speeds will be north of 80 kilometres an hour on the descent, which lasts until 700 metres from the line, and the peloton should be tightly packed given that there are no significant curves to stretch things out. It has the potential to end in disaster, and just to cap things off there’s a roundabout at 400 metres to go.

Okay, rant over, I guess I haven’t said anything about the finish town yet. Andora was first settled in the 8th century BC, and was one of the more important towns on the Ligurian coast until a sacking by the Milanese coupled with the swamping and subsequent rise of malaria in its hinterland caused it to decline from the 15th century onwards. The development of the Italian Riviera as a tourist destination caused it to rebound, thanks in part to having one of the better beaches in the area.

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What to expect?

Assuming no crash, a bigger sprint than on Monday.
 
Do you realize this group of sprinters in this Giro is probably the strongest group in recent cycling history ?
Jacobsen and Ballerini not even able to follow the peloton. Vendrame 21, Hofstetter 19, Pithie 17, Kanter 16, Van Poppel 15, Bauhaus 14, Ewan 13, Groves 12, Molano 11, Dainese 10, Gaviria 9, Vernon 7, Kooij 6, Andresen 5, Biermans 4, Girmay 3, Milan 2, Merlier 1. All of those sprinters are able to finish top 5 in most sprintarrivals.
 
Do you realize this group of sprinters in this Giro is probably the strongest group in recent cycling history ?
Jacobsen and Ballerini not even able to follow the peloton. Vendrame 21, Hofstetter 19, Pithie 17, Kanter 16, Van Poppel 15, Bauhaus 14, Ewan 13, Groves 12, Molano 11, Dainese 10, Gaviria 9, Vernon 7, Kooij 6, Andresen 5, Biermans 4, Girmay 3, Milan 2, Merlier 1. All of those sprinters are able to finish top 5 in most sprintarrivals.
Poor Aniolkowski.
 
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Do you realize this group of sprinters in this Giro is probably the strongest group in recent cycling history ?
Jacobsen and Ballerini not even able to follow the peloton. Vendrame 21, Hofstetter 19, Pithie 17, Kanter 16, Van Poppel 15, Bauhaus 14, Ewan 13, Groves 12, Molano 11, Dainese 10, Gaviria 9, Vernon 7, Kooij 6, Andresen 5, Biermans 4, Girmay 3, Milan 2, Merlier 1. All of those sprinters are able to finish top 5 in most sprintarrivals.
That's because this Giro has the least amount of climbing in recent memory, so more stages for the sprinters.
 
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The last part of the stage is too flat, less selective than yesterday, but, looking at the last 5 km, the last climb is closer to the finish, at least there is just 0,5 Km of flat..yesterday was 3 km more or less flat after the climb. it is a stage for the people were yesterday on the first position. Maybe more for people as Vernon, Merlier, than pure sprinters, even for Ganna...but Poggi you never knows..I think he want bonus, give spectacle, and to have some margin just in case he is not super some monbtain stage of the last week. We dont know if he pay this efforts more than the time he could get, of if his recovey say it is not a problem. Thomas did the same effort yesterday...

But main problem is Ineos has an stronger team. UAE is not weak, but to control the race is not enough...if people as Bardet, Arensman, Lipowith... dont lose more than 10 minutes before the first part of the Giro...wont be easy control those attacks and Thomas could take advantaje. Dont forget Thomas put time on Roglic last year in the flat ITT and in the long Queen stage of Bondone.

So, Pogacar is the favourite, but he doesnt have margin for mistakes IMO..and if he thinks on le Tour, with more reason.

So, I think we will see and interesting race, and wont be won by pogacar first week. Everything can happend till the end.